Thursday, 24 December 2015

Merry Christmas trading kakis! A white christmas present from STI?

Merry Christmas to all trading friends!

Wishing you a wonderful white christmas from our family!

Great that STI may have really bottomed like what we suggested at 2790 - 2840 on 11th dec 2015.

Thursday, 17 December 2015

Daniel Loh 12月17日 FM958电台访问:新加坡买入区2790-2840点

·          美国股市9年半以来第一次加息

美国昨晚闭市在17749点。昨晚涨了223点。

涨的原因是因为美国联储局主席耶伦正式宣布美国利率增加0.25%。我们几个月前在节目中有提过大家不用害怕利率增加,增加代表经济开始走强。昨晚增加了,美国股市还大涨。

这一次全世界都很关注利率增加是因为这是美国这9年半以来第一次增加利率。已经80个联储会议没加息了。上一次加息是在2006年美国发生次贷危机之前。

那这样大的转折点对投资家会有什么影响呢?

我有3个建议,大家经供参考:

1) 我认为可以开始看银行股。利率上升银行股绝对收益。昨晚利息公布过后,美国银行Wells Fargo马上把跟银行借钱的利息增加,人民存款的利息却保持不变。我觉得接下来全世界的银行都会跟风。银行给的钱少了,拿的钱多了,利润绝对增加。

2) 利率开始增加也证明全世界的经济开始见底,大家可以开始多留意跟经济好转有关系的领域。其中一个就是大众商品领域。我知道现在的石油,黄金,农务大众商品价格都很差。但是30年的数据显示大众商品通常在利率上升的年代平均会增长25%,远远好过股市的9%的增长。

3) 大家绝对要避开高盈利的债券,特别是公司发行的债券。在美国很多这些产品都已经出现大问题

总结来说,我们不觉得2016年是熊市的开始,经济好转我觉得股市在2016年的表现会比2015还要好。

·         新加坡海指买入去2790-2840

海指现在是接近2860点。最近海指已经进入我们的买入区。我们判断海指的买入区是2790-2840点。大家留意,是2790-2840。刚好这几天跌了进去这个区域,我认为超跌了。

如果要的话,我认为大家可以留意一些跟海指直接有关的股票。比如银行股。现在都属于超跌了。如果指数反弹,银行股也会反弹。更何况利率涨,银行股会收益。

但是我也鼓励大家要有好的资金管理。可以先投资一点点来测试水温,看2790-2840是不是最低,如果指数真的往上走,再加股。如果继续掉,就再等下一个支持区域再进场。


·        看好中国2016年经济复苏

中国股市我们一直都认为已经稳定了,还在牛市当中,不要害怕。这一个月都一直在3400-3600点之间,很健康的盘整。大家也不再看到恐慌了。

我们在节目中有提过我们预测,中国经济明年4-6月份就可能见底,开始好转。

我鼓励大家留意一些中国房地产领域的公司。我们预测这几个月中国利率还会下滑,房地产公司可能会获利。


Wednesday, 16 December 2015

Ben Bernanke is a visionary!

Dear Friends,

I always believe this is the guy that brings the US stock market back from her death in 2009 due to subprime mortgage crisis! I always believe if not for him, we would most likely have a double dip recession like THE GREAT DEPRESSION in 1929.

It is amazing that in 2002, he already advocated printing continuous money as a solution to recessions like 1929 Great Depression and 2001 Internet Bubble burst.

Below is what he said in 2002:

"In 2002, following coverage of concerns about deflation in the business news, Bernanke gave a speech about the topic. In that speech, he mentioned that the government in a fiat money system owns the physical means of creating money and to maintain market liquidity. Control of the money supply implies that the government can always avoid deflation by simply issuing more money. He said "The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost."

I am sure in years to come, he will be remembered as the VISIONARY.

If you want to know more about the bull and bear market psychological cycles, please watch our website www.danielloh.com to check out the Free seminars for next year!



I will be starting my holidays soon.... next year, till we meet!


Below is marketwatch interview with him on the recent interest rates issues...



Merry Christmas!
Daniel




Friday, 11 December 2015

STI 2790-2840 is my accumulation zone! (11th December 2015)

Dear Friends,

It has been a long time since I update on the trend of Singapore market and STI. The market has really been bad! A lot of friends has asked me about my prediction of STI bottom.

I have been patient looking for STI to reach my accumulation zone too!

Looking at the chart, you will see that STI has dropped from 3100 on 26th October to now 2841 lowest as of today on 11th December.

In recent years, we have always tried to spot the bottom of STI when nobody is talking about it yet.

Today might be the day again! STI has indeed reached what we called the accumulation zone again

The zone I am looking to pick up STI is 2790 - 2840!

Hope I am right again. It is never easy to spot a bottom of an index when it is falling like a knife.

And it takes a lot of courage to call for it now that everyone is so pessimistic. But as the saying goes, 

NO PAIN NO GAIN!



Just a word of caution, if you are also accumulating, try to test the water by going in a bit first. Add up position as it goes according to what we want.


Happy Merry Christmas!

Ho Ho Ho,

Daniel Loh
The Gutsy Analyst
www.danielloh.com


Thursday, 3 December 2015

FREE Investment Seminar by Andy Yew (in Singapore)

Has STI bottomed?

5 Step to Consistently Pick the Biggest Winner in Stock market


- Seminar by Andy Yew (Live FM93.8 Market Analyst)

STI has fallen below 2900 recently. It is the one of the worst performing indices in Asia this year. Has STI bottomed?

Come and join Andy Yew to find out.

There are many mistakes a retail investor make when selecting the right stock. In this seminar, Andy Yew, an experienced remisier and trader, will share his systematic method on how to eliminate the mistakes.

Andy will also share the situation about local market now and whether singapore stocks is poised for a recovery in the last few months of 2015!

What you will learn:

Where is STI support now?
5 steps to pick the right stocks?
Money management rules to follow?
What sector to look at and which sector to avoid ?
Market outlook and individual Singapore stocks analysis using Technical Analysis


Dates: (Choose one)

3 Dec 2015, Thurs    (English)    7pm - 10pm
4 Dec 2015, 星期五   (华文讲座)   7pm - 10pm  

10 Dec 2015, Thurs    (English)    7pm - 10pm
11 Dec 2015, 星期五   (华文讲座)   7pm - 10pm  


Venue: 
10 Anson Road, International Plaza #34-07 Singapore 079903
( Nearest MRT Tanjong Pagar )

Fee: Free

Speaker: Mr. Andy Yew (ART system founder)


To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of

seats> to 93676623

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...