Tuesday, 30 April 2013

In Conversation with Investment Guru Mr Hu Li Yang: Be careful of stock market now

Dear Friends,

My mentor Mr Hu Li Yang, is interviewed by Sharesinvestment recently. An article is written on the interview.

http://www.sharesinv.com/articles/2013/04/30/hu-li-yang-cautious-about-stocks/

A glimpse of his views on the stock market now:

"He advises investors who are determined to invest, that stock markets are known to suffer from panics at least twice a year. During such panics, people will dump stocks and these stocks can drop to a level that is below its fundamental valuations. During such a time, investors should act and pick up such stocks at a bargain price.
Towards the end of our short interview, Hu advised me to make it clear to readers that now is not the time to speculate and gamble. Greed is not something that is good to have at this juncture."


Rgds
Daniel

US Stock Tip: Will Apple make a good comeback with this product hope?

Dear Friends,

Apple lacks a product release and today there are some news about speculation on whether Apple will release a 5 inch i-phone. Well, that piece of news is enough to push Apple $15 ahead! This is the power of a new product release.

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/04/29/can-apple-make-a-5-inch-iphone-this-year/

Did you remember we talk about to BUY BIG if Apple does release a I-TV this year. Of course, if this happen, dont hesitate! Just go in with a bang on Apple.

Having said that, if Apple did have a 5 inch i-phone new product, expect the stock to also continue its climb.

Apple will also be declaring a $3.05 dividend on 9th May 2013, an increase from its quarterly dividend of $2.65. Let us see if this run continues...

Sunday, 28 April 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Sembcorp making healthy progress off $5 like what we mentioned

Dear Friends,

We did said that $5 is a delicious price for semb corp, and encourage investors to take a look at this stock. We also mentioned that $4.70 - $4.80 is an accumulation phase. Recently it dropped to $4.90 lowest, and rebounded.

Article on 10th April
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/04/singapore-stock-tip-semb-corp.html

Now it is at $5.13 on friday closing. I believed it has a momentum building. However we also feel that price will be going to be a bit tricky at $5.20-$5.30 range. It might take a rest.

Let us in the meantime celebrate STI victory of advancing past 3330. And thank semb corp of a little contribution.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Thursday, 25 April 2013

Will STI finally break the 3330 curse?

Dear Friends,

STI after consolidating so long between 3240 and 3330, seems poised to break the 3330 curse, powered by a run in Genting and the 3 financial banks. After an Upgrade To Buy From Neutral By Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, Genting goes up 6 cts today. These 2 days, Genting has gone up near to 10 cts.

Tat Hong today also leap forward 6 cts. I am wondering will this run in mid priced stock trigger a run in some other mid priced stocks too? I will monitor closely. Stocks that are in mind are stocks like Yoma, Ezion. Sometimes stocks travel in flocks. A surge in confidence in some stocks can create an avalanche and spill over to similar priced stocks.

Having said that, I am also placing my sight on the US market. Currently there has not been a sure signal that Dow Jones is about to go into a mid term bear run. S&P500 1540 strong support is holding well. But do take note should it break 1540, we need to be careful.

According to Goldman Sachs latest report on the market, the "SELL in MAY and GO Away" effect may not happen this year.
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/04/24/sell-in-may-and-go-away-not-if-youre-goldman-sachs/

My view is that there will be a correction coming soon, but the big question is WHEN?

My advice is if mid price stocks has a run, short term play is preferred to long term investment.

Rgds
Daniel

Tuesday, 23 April 2013

What will happen to Apple 2moro? A stock that drops by half in 6 months

Dear Friends,

We retailers always like something that falls in price by HALF just 6 months back. And you know what? One of the world's top 3 largest market capitalization companies, with the most cash reserve companies in the world, Apple, happens to be one of the them.

Such an unfairness to the world of stocks? Why on earth does Apple deserve such fate? A fall in price by half 6 months back is UNIMAGINABLE! I am sure no analysts on earth would have predicted this outcome. $697.80 in September, $385 is lowest reached yesterday!

Welcome to the real world of stocks, where fundamentals may not count much. Even one of the greatest hedge fund managers, David Einhorn is hopelessly wrong this time. But he got money to hold through this.


The world of stocks sometimes discard the fundamental balance sheet. It takes into account of
earnings expectations, forecasts and estimates surprise.


This is Apple's past few quarters earnings results and surprise. In the last 3 quarters, it has 2 of them in negative surprise territory, with the 4th quarter beating the expectations by only a miserable 2%. That is a complete failure to this company given its tremendous performance in past 4th quarters. Where have all the christmas rally gone? The previous year, it beats by 30%, but not last year.

The stock hence plunged!

But the good thing is stock market can be extremely forgetful and forgiving too. One quarter is enough to forgive Apple for its sluggishness in execution. Hope it happens 2moro evening when Apple issues its first quarter results.

This stock deserves a chance. A good quarter is all it takes to get the fund managers to buy it up again, will it outperform Google this quarter?

My strategy is to buy buy BIG into this stock when I-TV is expected to be released, hopefully by this year. $700 isn't a problem should it happen. I am just worried that Tim Cooks don't know hoe to rush for a new product like what Steve Jobs always does.


Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Sunday, 21 April 2013

FREE Retirement Planning Seminar by Phillip Securities

Dear Friends,

Retirement has many meanings to different people. One thing is to ensure whether you have sufficient resources to last through your ‘golden’ years. We feel that all investors should not only know how to invest stocks, but also have the adequate savings plans, your CPF and the knowhow to plan for retirement.

We would like to invite you to go for a Seminar held by Phillip Securities

In this session, you will learn

What happens when you reach age 55?
How CPF can complement part of your Retirement Income.
How you can secure your ideal retirement with a lifetime of guaranteed income?
How to safeguard your retirement income against inflation?

Event Details
Date: 24 Apr 2013 (Wednesday)
Time: 7pm to 9pm
Venue: 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub, Singapore 328104
            (Along Balestier Road beside Ren Ci Hospital)

To register, please provide your <Name><Mobile Number><Email Address> to teamstrategy@phillip.com.sg 
or SMS 9339-8022

如何拥有理想的退休生活 - Phillip Securities 免费讲座

各位朋友,

退休对于不同的人来说有很多不同的定义,但都面对一个同样的问题:
如何确保你有足够的收入来维持你的‘黄金’退休生活?

我们觉得每位投资家除了要知道如何投资股票以外,都必须有足够的知识在储蓄计划,个人的CPF处理还有准备退休的计划。

我们希望邀请您去一个Phillip Securities举办的讲座。

在本次讲座中,你会学到…

 当你55岁的时候,你的CPF会有什么样的变化?
如何充分利用CPF的资金来配合你的退休收入计划?
如何保证有固定和充足的退休收入来维持你的理想退休生活?
 如何有稳定的退休收入
  如何能够灵活的支配你的退休收入

讲座及报名详情
Date: 2013年4月27号(星期六)
Time: 2pm to 4pm
Venue: 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub, Singapore 328104

要报名的朋友,请提供您的<姓名><手机号码><电子邮件地址发>送去 teamstrategy@phillip.com.sg 
或者 短信9339-8022

Friday, 19 April 2013

Market Sentiment Indicator for 19 Apr

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 69.33% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 17 Apr)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.00% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 76.60% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 18 Apr)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 34.88%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 19 Mar)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 92.57%
(Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 74.36% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 5 Apr)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 83.02% 
(Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 18 Apr)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Thursday, 18 April 2013

Nasdaq is pressured, why? NYSE stocks has officially turned bearish

Dear Friends,

Nasdaq has been the most pressured index among all in american market. Today it dropped 1.7% while S&P500 dropped 1.37% and Dow dropped 0.89% at  mid noon now.

You may wonder why?

Do you remember that a few days back, we did mention that tech sector in our market sentiment indicator has turned bearish. This is because the tech stocks has generally turned bearish.

Look at our market sentiment indicator:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/04/market-sentiment-indicator-for-17-apr.html 
(Please note that NYSE stocks sentiment indicator has turned BEARISH. This may be the start of a bearish run in US. Just be careful....)

You can see it reflecting in the Nasdaq index now as most are tech stocks. Apple, a tech stock, has also touched and broke $400 briefly.

With more earnings coming from tech stocks, I am really taking a close look at what are the tech stocks that fall below expectations and these are the potential shorting targets!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

S&P500 neckline support at 1540, will it break if right shoulder is formed?

Dear Friends,

Today I did comment on what FM958 mediacorp DJ Di Cong ask, about the chart of S&P500. It indeed show a strong support at 1540. If indeed it rebounds off 1540, a head and shoulder formation seems to be showing. If a right shoulder is shown, and the neckline is broken at 1540, we need to be very careful!

1540 is point to watch out for.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Wednesday, 17 April 2013

Market Sentiment Indicator for 17 Apr

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 71.84% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 17 Apr)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.57% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 79.60% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 44.18%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 19 Mar)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 95.06% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 74.36% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 5 Apr)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 88.68% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 12 Mar)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

2 Days Property Seminar: CEOs SECRETS on Stocks and Property (25th and 26th Apr 2013)

Dear Friends,

We are launching our 2nd CEOs Secrets on Property & Stocks Course! We are inviting All who are interested in stocks & properties, whether residential or commercial to participate in this seminar.

In this seminar you shall learn:

1) How do you protect yourself from the recent cooling measures in residential property if you are an owner?
2) How do you seek a good commercial property which is virtually free from any cooling measures now and is RED HOT now?
3) 5 tips and 3 strategies you must know when investing in properties
4) What is industrial property and why are the CEOs still looking to invest in them?
5) REITS market and its future
6) Secret of the Property market cycle before the next General Election in 2016
7) How are you going to build a portfolio of properties in 5 years and RETIRE Financially FREE?
8) Making use of Banks and Leverage to the fullest advantage
9) Passive Income Strategies that is going to BLOW your mind in Stocks and Properties
10) Lowering your risks in property

Our first seminar is a sold out success!

Date: Thu, 25th Apr 2013 and Fri, 26th Apr 2013 (2 Full Days)
Time: 9am - 6pm
Venue: 141 Cecil St, Tung Ann Association Building 
#07-02 S(069541), Tanjong Pager MRT Exit G,
Walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

FEE: ONLY $98 per person
LIMITED SEATS!! SIGN UP NOW!!

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><No of Seats> to 93676623 and we will contact you.

Any inquiries, pls contact 6534 9979 to ask.

Attached is the brochure:
Please Click on brochure, right click and save the image to see the brochure.

 

Tuesday, 16 April 2013

US market on the verge of dropping?

Dear Friends,

Yesterday Dow dropped 265 points, S&P 36 points and Nasdaq 78 points.

I believe that this drop is not the end. Our market sentiment indicator shows that that the whole New York Stock Exchange stocks about to turn bearish.

As a friendly advice, we urge all short term players to liquidate short term positions. This might save you thousands of dollars.

No matter how high this bullish run continues, we believe the risk is high.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Gold conspiracy theory?

Dear Friends,

Goldman Sachs probably bring Gold to its knees these 2 days. A catastrophy indeed. Goldman last friday issued a shorting call.

It is reported on Reuters that this is the worst 2 days drop in Gold in 30 years... 30 years!!!

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/15/us-markets-global-idUSBRE88901C20130415

One friend told me that he believes some great and well known bunch of traders together shorted it. And Goldman Sachs certainly has a good hand on this. Great point.

Certainly George Soros and Jim Roger has warned us 2 months before.

This is the cruel financial world. Money changes hand from the retailers to the super wealthy.

But as a retail trader, I would like to encourage all those traders that suffer from this incident to pick themselves up and not give up learning the art of investment.

Bear market will come again when the whole stock market collapse one more time. It always happen and we may not need to wait 30 years for it to come.

This is one good lesson learnt so that we wont be losing hundreds of thousands or millions in a stock market crash. It happened to my father in September 1998 when the clob shares incident occurs. At that time, it really affected my family deeply.

Hope such an incident won't happen again.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Market Sentiment Indicator for 16 Apr

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 72.05% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.48% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 80.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 44.18%  
(Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 19 Mar)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 95.06% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 74.36% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 5 Apr)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 90.00% 
(Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 12 Mar)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Stocks' worst day in 5 mos. as gold suffers 9% slide

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-drop-on-china-citi-deals-limit-loss-2013-04-15

Is this the start of the stock market slide???

Sunday, 14 April 2013

Secrets of US market: Will "SELL in MAY and Go Away" happen again?

Do Join our FREE Seminar on Tue (English) and Wed (华语) to learn how to capture the opportunities in Quarter 2 of Yr 2013 !!!

TOPIC: <<Will "SELL in May and Go Away" happen again this year?>>  
presentation by Daniel Loh
主题:《五月卖掉和离开股票市场今年会再发生吗?


You shall learn:
- Why is there a "Sell in May and Go Away" Theory

- What are the best months to buy and short stocks and why?
- What are the Best sectors to invest in April and May?
- Where will DOW or STI be heading in the next 2 months?


Date: 
16 Apr 2013,   Tue    7pm - 10pm   (English)
17 Apr 2013, Wed   7pm - 10pm   (Chinese 华文)
Speaker: Daniel Loh
 Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Friday, 12 April 2013

Radio FM958 (Today Fri, 12 Apr 1.15pm) talking about US historical high and its effects on Spore Market

Dear Friends,

Today I will be interviewed on radio station Capital FM958, today, Fri from 1.15pm-1.30pm with DJ  Di Cong talking about the <US historical high and its effects on Spore Market>

If you are interested to know more, just tune in to FM958... :)

Radio Station website: Listen Live
http://entertainment.xin.msn.com/zh/radio/capital958/

Need Windows Media Player 11

Thank you
Daniel Loh

Thursday, 11 April 2013

Singapore Penny Stock Tip: Did you forget HongFok?

Dear Friends,

This is one stock with low volume but seems like professional money still inside the stock...
Using our ART system, the blue arrow indicates bullish behavior.

Now: $0.695
Target 1: $0.77-$0.80
Target 2: $0.87-$0.90

Stop loss: $0.645

----------------------------------

P.S.: if you want to know which singapore stock got indicative signals, do join our FREE Singapore stock seminar every Thursday and Friday.

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

Title:  <<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this April market?>> 

sharing by Andy Yew

讲座主题:  《四月有哪一些股票可以买或卖空?》

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

On 11 Apr 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 12 Apr 2013, Fri (华语讲座Chinese Seminar).

Sharing on  
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Date: 11 Apr 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 12 Apr 2013, Fri (Chinese Seminar 华文讲座)
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder)


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

KLCI 大选后的展望


在上一则刊登的文章《KLCI会迈向1700点吗?》,我们提到KLCI有可能到达1700点的关卡。今天411日,KLCI已经冲破了1700点。KLCI在这9个月中都一直在16001700点徘徊,也经历了几个大选的波动。在43日,当很多朋友担心万一政府宣布解散国会或者宣布大选日期时,股市会不会大掉。现在来看,这些担心似乎都是多余的。国会解散了,大选日起55日也公布了,股市还是创下历史新高,突破了1700点,真是不可思议。

在这里,我特别要强调一个投资观点,了解股市的期望值很重要。当投资朋友觉得政府解散国会担心影响股市,这个恐慌的心态早已反映在股市中。所以在43日时,当我们马来西亚现任总理Najib Razak还没宣布解散国会前,KLCI先掉了60点。当事情宣布后,股市就平稳了。这种现象就称为卖在期望,买在事实””Sell on Expectation, Buy on Fact”

那了解这个原理对我们投资者有什么帮助?投资股票我们一定要有个计划准备。大选的成绩我们不能估计。目前从专家口中,我们只知道这次大选会是比较难打的一场战。我们的估计是大选前,股市因为美国股市强势的影响,KLCI55日前还可能上升。但是鼓励大家在55日前把手头的股票 先套利。一个星期前就可以准备套利了。

这里我想提两种可能性。假设大选结果不是很理想,股市也许会下滑,可是千万不要因为恐慌而卖掉股票。反而我鼓励大家要开始看那一支股票可以买。这就是卖在期望,买在事实的道理。我们的判断是大选后不管结果如何,只要KLCI10-15%都是买进的好时机!就算大选结果不理想,股市也不会掉500点的!因为马来西亚市场已经是一个很成熟的股票市场,不会因为恐慌掉30%的。

如果大选结果Barisan National (BN)大赢的话,那就不用 说了。股市当天就很有可能跳空上去。但是作为投资家,你也不会很高兴冲进去买股票。这个时候,你要注意哪一支股票跑得比较快,把这些股票的名字写在投资日记里。一个股票突然跑上来通常不会连续跑超过六天的。等那支股票跑累了,在横摆休息时,你才看要不要进场。

短期来讲,在大选前,我们判断KLCI可能都会在1700点以上。


Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Semb Corp accumulation zone is $4.7- $4.8, but $5 looks a bit DELICIOUS!

Dear Friends,

Professional money know what is cheap. When we play mid to long term, we need to understand that there often is a accumulation zone where big players come in to scoop up the stock. Reading from the charts, semb corp has a strong accumulation zone from $4.70-$4.80. 

The next time, when this company falls within the zone, you may want to accumulate with them. Having said that, there is also a support at $5. Now it is at $5.05.

My suggestion is to watch carefully at $5. For this stock, I am prepared to play long term to hold through any correction, meaning I am prepared to park my money there for quite a while.

My strategy is for long term play, I might buy a bit at $5 if it stands above $5 after touching it. But if it touch $4.7-$4.8, I would accumulate some more. Of course, if you have the patience to wait for $4.7-$4.8, that will be the best price to enter.

For long term play, I am always prepared to plan to average down even before I buy.

(P.S. As a note, now is not the time to buy a lot of shares and hold. I would suggest you exercise good money management by buying a little. Should the market falls, accumulate some more.)


曾淵滄專欄 2013 04 10: CY实绿悠销情

英国的戴卓尔夫人逝世了,对一些香港人而言,可能不喜欢她,认为她出卖了香港人,制造了香港回归中国的历史事实,我来自新加坡,没有这种情意结,1987年,我之所以来香港,其中一个原因就是看到当时的香港人鸡飞狗走的争着移民,本着人弃我取的原则来香港。
1979 年的英国国会大选,因为新加坡是英联邦成员国,故以学生签证入境的我也有投票权,我的一票投给了保守党,在那个年代,英国几乎天天有人罢工,很大规模的罢 工,通胀也很惊人,工会势力很大,靠工会支持而执政的工党根本想不出甚么方法解决问题,终于戴卓尔夫人上台,才彻底地改变了当时的困境,也改变了英国的政 治生态,甚至到1997年,保守党下台,工党上台后推行的竟是没有保守党的保守党政策,是全新的工党政策。

大户造淡也有顾忌
 
对了,我生平第一次买股票也跟戴卓尔夫人有关,她上台后,决定将国营企业上市卖掉,第一家就是英国宇航,当时我决定申请这只新股以示支持,支持利伯维尔场,1982年,我离开英国回新加坡之前,把这只股票卖了,赚了一倍。
 
美股不断地创历史新高,港股大鳄也不敢过度造淡,昨日恒指终于反弹152点,当然,与上周末急跌600多点比较,反弹力度依然很弱,不论短炒或长期投资,暂时仍然应该继续当个旁观者。
 
绿悠雅苑首日开售,40%准买家放弃买楼资格,相信对这件事最开心的人是梁振英,及他的几位负责处理房屋政策的司局长,过去大半年,特区政府推出多项打压楼 市措施,总是被传媒形容为「废招」,这一次有30%价格优惠的绿悠雅苑准买家「缩沙」,显示特区政府已成功塑造楼价不会只升不跌的预期。

Tuesday, 9 April 2013

US Tech sector has turned bearish

Dear Friends,

US technological sector, one of the most important sectors in US has turned bearish last Friday 5th April on our market sentiment indicator. This serves as a cautionary signal for us who are still very bullish about the market.

We shall see whether the US tech stocks this quarter declare better than expected results. Yesterday Alcoa did quite well beating earnings estimates. Do take note that tech sector tends to slowdown in their earnings following the powerful 4th quarter results in January.

For me now, I would prefer to be on the sidelines waiting for the consolidation to arrive. May consider shorting the US tech sector ETF, or short some tech stocks.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Market Sentiment Indicator for 9 Apr

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 74.21% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 65.54% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 80.40% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 55.81%  
(Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 19 Mar)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 93.83% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 71.75% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 5 Apr)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 90.57% 
(Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 12 Mar)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Friday, 5 April 2013

Market Sentiment Indicator for 5 Apr

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 75.14% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 66.07% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 81.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 55.81%  
(Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 19 Mar)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 93.83% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 75.64% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 90.57% 
(Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 12 Mar)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Poor Jobless Claims adds on to the list of reports that falls below expectations

Dear Friends,

It has been a "So far so bad" situation on the economical reports. Everything from the ISM manufacturing data, ISM non-manufacturing data, ADP employment to the weekly jobless claims have been worse than expectations. However what is good about the market sentiment is that it remains to be a "So far so good" situation.

Do look at our attachment below for the data figures:

With yesterday's poor jobless claims, the DOW actually still managed to close 56 points higher, S&P500 6 points higher. This shows that market still maintains its amazing stubbornly bullish stance.

Having said that, the stakes for tonight's Non farm payroll has never been higher. The economic reports' stellar performance in the first quarter may be dented by a less than expectations results, proving that the recent economical reports may be due to a temporary QE3 boost and a seasonally good first quarter performance. Second quarter may be tougher than the first.

Seasonally there is always a truth to the "Sell in May and Go Away" concept as enterprises cut down on production going into the summer holidays. Normally, the effect of the good earnings reports that were released in the 4th quarter in January gradually diminished going into the 2nd quarter.

US companies' earnings results will start to be released on Monday, 8th April starting with the first DOW company Alcoa.

All eyes are fixed on Friday's non-farm payroll. If  non-farm turns out well, this bull run may have a chance of continuation. If not, we might start to see a few bears coming out of their hideouts.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Thursday, 4 April 2013

Sector Rotation does help in downturn

Dear Friends,

A good article by marketwatch on sector rotation while calls for a downturn gets louder in Wallstreet...

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-stock-strategy-to-weather-the-downturn-2013-04-02?link=mw_home_kiosk

For local singapore stocks, K-Green, Singpost, Starhub and M1 are some defensive stocks to notice??? At least they did not drop much.

Rgds
Daniel

胡立阳老师演讲!95.8FM 理财高手系列讲座 2013

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DOW falls by triple digit!

Dear Friends,

Not a good session that DOW finally shows its triple digit drop after so many days. Today ADP employment report shows what it is like to fall short of the employment report. Coupled with SF FED president saying that Bond purchase might slow down has put a sudden brake to this bullish run.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/feds-williams-may-start-tapering-qe-this-summer-2013-04-03-15913018

It just makes Friday's Non farm payroll stake one notch higher. With ISM falling less than expectations, all eyes will be on the non farm payroll. As expectations is high that jobs reports will be good, be prepared for another backlash IF non farm falls below expectations.

My advise is not to enter position now till Friday. Only if the jobs reports report better performance, or else avoid the stock market temporarily.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...