Thursday, 31 May 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 31 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 49.64% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 49.01% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 53.00% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 26.19%   (BULLISH signal: BULL Alert on 29 May)

(Energy Sector has changed in sentiment to BULLISH)


5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 69.14% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 37.66% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish)


The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Thank you for supporting our website blog! Our first 100,000 views

Dear Friends,

Thank you of your kind support of our website. We are deeply thankful for your views all these months. It has been 5 months since we started this blog in January and have received tremendous response. It has given us joy to serve you better and contribute more investment articles in future.

Hope you can recommend this blog to more who want to gain knowledge on investment.

Thank you and with best regards!

Daniel and team

Latest Update on Apple: Broke $575 as predicted!

Dear Friends,

In my earlier email, I mentioned that Apple is Strong and about to break $575 anytime soon. It did within 1 hour and burst off. Now it is about to hit $580. This is the last barrier for it to travel to $595. I think it is about to break soon too.

Probably there is a very likely chance this stock will gap up in price 2moro, maybe above $580. This stock is going crazy now!

Today I exited this position with an overall profit of US$3800 in 1 day's work.

10 lots X 100 shares X ($21.40-18.05) = US$3350
3 lots X 100 shares X ($21.40-19.90) = US$450
Total profit = US$3800

BTW, don't you think making $ is EASY??? If you think it is tough, probably you have not acquired the skills of a GOOD TRADER yet!

Join us in our investment programme! Learn how to treat the market like a ATM!

Rgds
Daniel

My trade:

-----------------------------------------------------

Btw Join us in a Free Sharing Seminar to learn how I do it day after day:

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>   



31 May (Thu) English Session OR 5 June (Tues) English Session
 
Do recommend your friends to this workshop, thks!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

 Date: 31 May (Thu) English Session OR 
Date: 5th June (Tue) English Session

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS
<Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Dow down 160 points in mid day trading, but I have no doubt Apple is STRONG!

Dear Friends,

Today Dow proved to be weak again, down 160 points in mid day after its Pending home sales reported -5% when forecast is 0%. It is a BAD figure. The old Europe problem about Spain, Greece and Italy were brought up again. Tomorrow starts 2 days of Jam-packed economical reports from US, China and Europe.

2moro in US, we have Chicago PMI and ADP employment report which will no doubt start to shake the market. Whether 2moro direction is up or down, will depend on these 2 reports. It will also provide a curtain raiser to the important ISM and Non-farm payroll and unemployment rate on Friday!

Hence, I think it is better to stay on the sidelines and wait for the reports before any entry.

Btw, today Dow went down big. These few days I have been focusing on my beloved darling Apple again! Tonight, I have little doubt that Apple stock looks really strong. She did not go down much, just $1-2 down when whole market collapse.

Anytime these few days from now, she is about to break its $575 resistance. Let us get our cash ready!

I am waiting in fact for her to rev up the engines to go on Turbo power. But of course, if market is bad on Friday, this maiden flight will be delayed for a while.

Just watch tightly!!!

Rgds
Daniel

----------------------------------------------------------

(Btw, I will be holding a monthly LIVE Trading session on this Friday, 1 June for our Advanced course Options graduates! 

Do bring your computer and we shall trade through the night... Only 20 seats available ... 8pm to 12am at least, be prepared to take taxi home ;)


I will show you how to day trade LIVE as a TRADER! But please SMS me ASAP to book your seat. First come first served. SMS 93676623 <NAME><Email><LIVE TRADE> Confirmation SMS will be sent to you, if seats are filled, we will let u know.)


If you are not our Options Advanced Course Graduates, pls do not register, thank you!




Tuesday, 29 May 2012

Will the market Crash in June like in May?

Dear Friends,

It has not been a good May so far. Dow Jones has been declining in 15 out of 19 sessions in May, dropping a total of 760 points. STI has also declined 180 points so far in May. The market has been right on the "Sell in May and Go Away" cliche.

Apart from Europe problems and the disastrous Jobs reports in US, I think US companies' miss in fundamental Earnings Expectations probably escalated the fall.

Influential companies like Cisco, Priceline, Herbalife and Starbucks who are leaders in their respective industries have missed their Earnings Whispers number. (Earnings Whispers are earnings numbers that Wall Street traders think the companies might have. It is sometimes more accurate than analyst's figures). The shortfall in these industrial leaders caused the whole industry to fall.

The most important thing is, Will this fall continue in June, a month where the it is jam-packed with lots of soccer games in Euro 2012 starting from 8th June. Somehow I feel it might be good news as a lot of European traders and media shift their mindset off their country's economical problems. They will be busy cheering Ronaldo or Rooney instead of panicking.

I suggest we should all focus on this Friday's US Economical Reports. It would drive the direction of the month. Last month we predicted a shortfall in Non-farm payroll report which we got it right. For this month, our forecast is that the Jobs report this month won't be as bad as in April or May. From our research, we think that there is a good chance the Jobs report will be in-line or better than expectations.

Our concern would be the manufacturing ISM report. Looking at the Chicago PMI report on Thursday would provide a glimpse of the ISM report. I am not certain if Enterprises would drive up production in this Summer Holiday season.

Let us just pay attention to this Friday to know the actual market reactions. If Friday proves to be an up day, it might probably suggest a rebound up in the market in June. If Friday drops, it might mean a volatile month again.

I do believe that further downside risk has been limited. Judging by the last week, we can see that the slide has slowed. It has started on a 100-point up day in Dow Jones last week.

Let us see if it is Bottom Fishing time! Keep a lookout at our analysis after Friday's results.

Regards
Daniel

-----------------------------------------------------

Btw Join us in a Free Sharing Seminar to learn how I do it:

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>  
《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 


on  30 May (Wed) Chinese Session OR 31 May (Thu) English Session OR
 
Do recommend your friends to this workshop, thks!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date: 30 May (Wed) Chinese Session (华文)OR
Date: 31 May (Thu) English Session OR 
Date: 5th June (Tue) English Session

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS
<Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623


Monday, 28 May 2012

Bargain Hunting for Singapore Stocks? Stocks At Strong Support

Are you starting to bargain hunt? As the market falls, there are a few stocks that are resting at their supports. Although in this volatile market, it is hard to predict when such a ‘fall’ will come, we can always “get ready” for bargain hunting.

Stocks at their supports simply mean that there is demand at that price level. A good practice for traders would be to buy when the stocks touch and stand above their support lines.

Raffles Medical Group

Raffles Medical Group (RafflesMG) is a very low volume stock. It has been trading side-ways, ranging between $2.05 to $2.50 since late 2010. Currently, the support is at $2.05. We believe that there is a strong support here because it has been tested four times in the past two years. Testament to its strength, this support still holds even when the market is seen going down recently. As a saying goes, “What doesn’t kills you, makes you stronger”, should the market turns around, RafflesMG is one stock worth looking at.

If you wish to enter, make sure the low of the daily candle is above $2.05 while stop-loss can be placed at $1.95. RafflesMG is suitable for a mid to long term trade.


Neptune Orient Lines

Neptune Orient Lines (NOL) is near its  lowest point since 2003. Currently, it still trending downwards. However, the fall has slowed as the price nears the strong support at $1.00. This support has been tested three times for past one year. Will this be the point for the triple bottom reversal? We will not know until it happens. Right now, it is a good point to watch as the downside is limited.

If you wish to enter, you may want to enter on an up day. If the $1.00 support is broken, a stop-loss can be placed at $0.95. NOL is suitable for mid to long term trade.


This analysis is purely based on technical analysis. Do exercise your own judgement before entering any positions.

Article by ART System Founder Andy Yew

———————————————————————

Btw we will be conducting an upcoming FREE seminar. Details are as follows:

Topic: Trade your Way to Success using Indicators (Parabolic? Channel? CCI?)

What will you learn in the seminar,
  1. Trade for a living by implementing a proven successful swing trade strategy.
  2. How Professional Traders manage their short term trades.
  3. Learn about the importance of using the “TEST” system.
  4. The essential skills and rules needed to survive in the trading world.
Date: 7 June 2012, Thursday (English Seminar) or  8 June 2012, Friday (Chinese Seminar)
Time: 7pm – 10pm

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Cost:  FREE  (Limited Seats)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Singapore Stock Tip: Frasers commercial Trust


Possible to enter only when it breaks, if it manages to increase, just be careful at $1. If you see it falls back needs to get out fast. If not, ride the profit. This is a resistant stock in an uncertain market.

Singapore Penny Stock Tip: Asiasons Double Top Breakout

Dear Friends,

Looks like this stock is having a double top breakout amid the uncertain market.
If you enter, remember to put a stop loss at $0.33, guard your downside risk


曾渊沧博士文章:投資首要克服心魔



希臘國會選舉,政府難產,下個月再投票,左翼與溫和派勢均力敵,無法猜測哪一派會勝利。可是,這場選舉事關重大,若左翼勝利,歐元區會出現大震盪,全球股市 也會面對巨大的調整壓力。相反,若溫和派上台,一切無事,股市也會很快地反彈,因此現在只剩下期指炒家仍然在場內炒作。

歐債危機會影響香港樓市,因此,儘管目前許多人說香港樓市已出現泡沫,但是金管局總裁陳德霖卻說他看不透樓市,為甚麼看不透?我估計是因為不容易猜測歐債危機的發展,不容易猜測希臘政局。


5月21日,城市大學與廣東社團總會合作,辦了一個大型的講座與宴會,出席的有城大 EMBA、 MBA學生、校友及廣東社團總會商務委員的眾多理事,這個講座請來了馬時亨講投資,過去我也聽到馬時亨演講,但是談投資還是第一次。 


推薦博客:投資錦囊

手中有股 心中無股

當晚,馬時亨談投資的範圍很廣,包括股票、黃金、外滙、房地產……從他的演講中 我才知道原來馬時亨剛出道,就是做股票分析的工作,那是上個世紀70年代初期,是投資界的老行尊了,有至少40年的經驗。香港傳媒界應該多多邀請他談投 資、股市、金市,他有不少獨到的見解,過去40年,見過許多大風大浪,見過許多真假股神。牛市時,滿街都是股神。的確,當股市進入雞犬皆升的時期,當股神 太容易了。


馬時亨認為每個人在投資時,最大的敵人就是自己,克服不了自己的心魔。大多數人不懂得甚麼時候應該止蝕同止賺,只懂得道聽途說,輕信親友所提供的股票貼士。
我很同意他的觀點,我也曾多次重覆強調要成為成功的投資者,要做到「手中有股,心中無股」。


Source from Sina

香港股神曹仁超文章:欧债危机难以解决

欧债危机近日有蔓延之势,市场关注希腊会否脱离欧元区。资深投资评论家曹仁超昨认为,决定权不在于希腊本身,而在于德、法两国会否继续提供援助。他 指,截至5月希腊银行的存款已有38%被撤走,若欧洲其他国家及IMF不给予援助,希腊大小银行或面临全部破产。同时,西班牙及意大利情况亦不乐观,在可 预见的将来欧债问题难以解决。

曹仁超在中国银盛证券集团有限公司成立仪式上表示,以前香港与内地经济形势是「香港好,内地好」,但在2003年后,情况已经调转为「内地好,香港 好」。现时本港经济依靠内地拉动,他担心香港的经济繁荣到此为止,赴日本之路。因此,他认为,香港必须与深圳、澳门及珠海紧密合作,才能帮助巩固香港金融 中心的地位。

Source from香港文汇报

Sunday, 27 May 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 27 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 49.75% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 48.98% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 52.60% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 16.67%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 2 months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 2 week's time! It is SO NEAR its bottom now. Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 69.14% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 40.26% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Friday, 25 May 2012

US Market closes on Monday for Memorial Day, time to enjoy a good weekend too!

Dear Friends,

If you are playing US market tonight, my advise would be to close position and profit take before next week Tuesday open amid uncertainties in Europe. There may be some European reports coming out that may impact the market.

Today in US, market may probably go quiet after mid noon around 12 to 1am. So it is good to wind-up our positions. But of course for me, if there are opportunities at the open, I will probably day trade for the day, and get out by today or take a rest altogether.

Btw this week remains a profitable week for most of our graduates who capitalise on Apple.

By the way did you remember I mention about the Apple trade holding on to an unrealized profit of US$3950?

I got out yesterday at open with a profit of US$4460, an ROI of 27.3% in 1 day just before it drops.
    10 Lots X 100shares X ($20.76-$16.30) = US$4460


And I went in again yesterday and got out when Apple goes sideway, with a small profit of $500

All in all, this week our profits are US$13,410 amid an uncertain market... and we are not talking about starting with a big capital.

I hope that one day, you too can BECOME the Master of your DESTINY and the have freedom of a trader!

Regards
Daniel

-----------------------------------------------------

Btw Join us in a Free Sharing Seminar to learn about US market

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>  
《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 



on  30 May (Wed) Chinese Session OR 31 May (Thu) English Session OR
 
Do help me to recommend your friends to this workshop, thks!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date:  30 May (Wed) Chinese Session (华文)OR
Date: 31 May (Thu) English Session    

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS
<Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623



Thursday, 24 May 2012

US Stock Tip using ART system: Ross Stores (ROST) the best Retailer in America!

Dear Friends,

This is a typical Growth Stock that is worth holding for long term. May play short term too! Using our ART Team - Position Trade system, we screen out this stock with a Great setup. Entry price at $62.20 tonight if it touches.

See that it almost always catches the low of the trend everytime?

Works wonderfully with Singapore Stocks too!!!


Market Sentiment Indicator for 24 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 49.32% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 49.13% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 51.80% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 18.60%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 2 months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 2 week's time! It is SO NEAR its bottom now. Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 69.14% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 40.26% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Will Apple imac conference create a hype in Apple again?

Dear Friends,

An article on Apple talking about its good sales on i mac:

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-may-make-a-splash-with-the-mac-2012-05-23?link=MW_home_latest_news

A quote taken from the article "But with Apple’s annual developers’ conference set to start on June 11, there has been growing belief that the company will soon show off a new iMac in a big way, ahead of the back-to-school and holiday-shopping seasons"

Well, the date is 11 June. Let us see if there is a run-up in the stock before this date. If June's Economical Reports are not bad, do expect to see a run-up before the event as often is the case.

Following the recent sell-off in Apple, I would expect Apple to have a run-up in price, either before or after the conference!

It would very much depend on the general market also.

I am always getting my cash ready to put my money on this maiden... ;)

Today it goes up another $8 now, probably moving towards our law of gravity of price figure of $575.

Regards
Daniel

(Updated at 3:42am: Sorry It is going crazy again: up $14 now!)

Dow drops 130 points at 2am in the morning, could not complete 3 up days yet

Dear Friends,

Today Dow ended lower amid European problems again. It could not complete a 3 consecutive up days which would probably bring confidence back into the market. Dow was dragged down by European market, where FTSE 100 ended lower by 137 points, a 2.53% drop.

It was reported that "European Union leaders will gather for an informal summit Wednesday night in Brussels to discuss jobs and growth plans."

Hence I guessed 2moro there will be some reports as to how the discussion goes.

With the uncertainty still surrounding Europe, my suggestion is to be patient and wait for next month's Economical Reports, which will happen next Friday where both Non farm payroll and ISM will be released on Friday together!

This day will decide whether June will continue its drop or whether the market will rebound. If both are better than expectations, there might be a turn in fortune! Let us hang in there and be patient. Let us not be hasty in entering any long positions yet unless situation turns.

Btw, if you want to go long, I suggest go in to day trade only. Holding position overnight involves Risk, in this recent volatile market conditions.

Regards
Daniel


(3:24am update)
Dow now stage a powerful comeback and is 50 points in the Red now! What a comeback following Europe terrible close. It is the Darn Europe again. US seems to be in a stronger position. Sigh, I hate holding position overnight, as Europe will be down causing US market to open lower. Better to learn how to Day trade now!

Btw day trading can also make you money using Options!

Today I opened another Apple position and having US$3450 unrealised profit already within 2 hours ... and it is still increasing! ;)


Wednesday, 23 May 2012

A look into Apple: US$8450 Profit; 80.86% ROI in 1 sweet day!

Dear Friends,

Remember yesterday we issued an article on Apple crazy run. Today we exited with a profit of US$8450, a 80.86% ROI within 1 single day of easy work.

10 contracts X 100 shares X ($18.90-$10.45) = US$8450 profit in 1 day


Yesterday we mentioned that we have USD$2950 unrealised profit and said that we have placed a stop so to let the profit run. Today my profit tripled! The thing is we sense that Apple is on the move up and may close at the high. We also mentioned that if Apple can close at a high, it is likely to gap up next day. See the chart today? It gaps up $10 at the open today.

Today we also showed to our Live Trading Night Class how we exited Apple beautifully. We told the class that Apple will not cross over $575 resistance, which is the "Law of Gravity of Price", a strong support and resistance price. Indeed it is, the highest it goes is $574. We exited near the high, and after that it drop to $560 at mid day.

This is the chart today:


Believe me, making money is easy if you know how!!! It is all about learning to understand how prices move. Prices dance around in certain predictable pattern.  

Now we are waiting for a break off $575, once it reach $575, sticks there and does not falls below $573.5, it will break out and fly!

Likely to have a strong break then... till then, this stock is in consolidation after a $45 run-up!

Rgds
Daniel

Natural Gas trend has changed - Something to be traded defensively!

Dear Friends,

We mentioned that Natural gas has probably changed its trend ever since our last article shown below on 10 May.

http://www.danielloh.com/2012/05/natural-gas-trend-has-changed-2-weeks.html

United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) has moved $2 more touching the $20 mark. Probably its upward would continue should the price crosses $20.30.

May invest in related natural gas related companies too


Tuesday, 22 May 2012

FTSE 100 up 52 points 1% now, Dow should continue rally tonight too!

Dear Friends,

Great opening by FTSE100, as positive sentiment begets positive sentiment. Market confidence is contagious and it can spread. Dow did it yesterday with a triple digit increase. Let us see whether it continues its climb now...

US Stock Tip: Dollar Tree (DLTR) lifting off strong support


A good retailer that sells discount value items. it gaps down recently even though it beats expectation by 2 cts, or 2%. Let us see if this bullish sentiment carries on.

If there is a turnaround in market, this support should hold and continue up.

Dow Jones best day in May - Apple broke $550!

Dear Friends,

I have been waiting all May for an increase in confidence in the Dow. It increases briefly over 100 points on mid day before retracing a bit now. Hope it can close 100 points up, which like I mentioned in past article, will bring some confidence back into the market.

If Dow Jones can be in green for 3 consecutive days, the down trend is likely changed.

Today indeed, more stocks are in the green. As I mentioned in last article, Apple like some other tech stocks is going crazzzy... finally after falling hard these few days...

See that it broke $550 now...

My trade on Apple today:

I entered on Apple playing stock options, and within 1 hour, is now having an unrealised profit by US$2900 using US$10000 only, now I am putting my trailing stop loss, and letting my profit ride :)

If you are new to US market and options, come to our sharing session next week to learn the Secrets of trading Options - the way to financial independence.

Rgds
Daniel

-----------------------------

1) <<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>> 《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 

on  30 May (Wed) Chinese Session OR 31 May (Thu) English Session OR
 
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date:  30 May (Wed) Chinese Session (华文)OR
Date: 31 May (Thu) English Session    


Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623




-------------------------------------------


Monday, 21 May 2012

US Stock Tip: Apple going crazy today!

Dear Friends,

When Apple goes up $10, we need to watch it! Today at midday, it went from $530 to $550 now. It seems likely to break through $550. Let us see if it does breakout. Sure seems strong and fierce today! If it ends near its high at the day, this stock is likely to gap up 2moro... if nothing big happens in Europe

Btw, PCLN Priceline seems to be on the same track as Apple, goes from $630 to $650. Now waiting for a breakout off $650.

US Stock Tip: Facebook is dead after IPO as mentioned

Dear Friends,

Facebook died after IPO on Friday. Since the bell it has now fallen from $45 to now $33 in 2 days. As what happen to Google and Baidu as I mentioned, this over hyped IPO needs a consolidation.

This is my last update on the stock before IPO:
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=1374221150056977591#editor/target=post;postID=1286712096993902453

Let it go bust before we enter! After it bust, only then will the big boys come in. No need to rush into this stock.

I think this bust is good for the stock as it will not raise expectations for its first earnings. Although I think this stock has the potential to be the next Baidu or Google, the big boys will come in normally after its first earnings, when it has proven that it is a growth stock.

So till then, let us be patient and cautious on this stock. There will be loads of opportunities on this stock! Let it become the darling of Wall Street, and we will have years to play this stock!

Rgds
Daniel

Crude Oil continues its fall since 3 May

Dear Friends,

Crude Oil has indeed fallen badly since our last article warning on 4 May because of CME margin rules:

Last article:
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=1374221150056977591#editor/target=post;postID=3775482472147175169



Market Sentiment Indicator for 21 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 50.59% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 50.12% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 52.60% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 16.28%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 2 months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 3 week's time! Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 70.37% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 44.87% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Spot Gold has reached what Mr Hu Li Yang mentions as Box Bottom

Dear Friends,

2 days ago, gold has reached the low of $1526.70 and has since rebounded $70 in the last 2 days. The box top which is the resistance is at $1800, $200 points from now.

It sure looks like bullish now. If you want to get in, try considering gold ETF "GLD".

Btw, try to avoid gold mining companies as they are different.


Friday, 18 May 2012

Energy Sector BIG turnaround about to come!

Dear Friends,

Energy sector has entered into our OVERSOLD region. Our market sentiment indicator indicates only 20% of energy stocks are bullish. As a trader, sector rotation is part of our game. It is time to do our homework to pick out those fundamentally strong Energy stocks who are beaten down because of the bearishness in the energy sector.

One major reason that Singapore and US energy stocks are beaten down is because of recent worries regarding China economy. Energy sector are normally globally interconnected. I would suggest to find those energy stocks that serves domestic needs more, rather than those that have connections with China.

Energy is a big sector, we need to break it down into different industries. There are industries like Coal, Natural Gas, Oil equipment services, Oil exploration, Oil integrated, Solar related, Green Energy from Agriculture related, Oil palm (for Singapore). We need to study the different industry carefully before picking our stocks.

Of course US offers more variety of stocks for our selection.

Before I do my research, I hope that you can help me by sharing with me your information like what stocks you think is good and why. I would compile and share with everybody.

Drop me an email at daniel.loh.com.sg

Thank you.

Daniel

Market Sentiment Indicator for 18 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 52.61% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 51.41% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 55.00% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 20.93%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 2 months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 3 week's time! Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 71.61% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 47.44% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Dow Free Fall can't be stopped...

Dear Friends,

11 out of 12 days. That is the longest losing streak we have this year. Patience is needed. Greece news dominate headlines again. Fitch downgraded their debt again.

2moro Facebook will IPO. I heard that some singaporean friends have lined up to buy this stock on the first trading day. My advise is to wait. I have witnessed how Baidu, Google and Visa IPO with so much hype only to drop back. So I suggest to be patient. Let the stock run-up and bust. Only after it bust, the big boys will come in.

But I am hoping this strong IPO will light up the tech sector. Ever since our Market Sentiment Indicator indicates bearishness in Tech sector and Nasdaq, tech has been weak. Hope that this Facebook IPO can help save the Dow.

Be careful this month on any entry. Patience is the word until we see a turnaround.

Rgds
Daniel

Thursday, 17 May 2012

Foundations of Trading FREE Semianr

Foundations of Trading
投资的基础

1)    How to make consistent and easy profits by trading Stocks using a unique technique that will help you to get 70% per year on average for the last 8 years
2)   
The 4 golden rules that most traders will never learn – violate any of the rules and risk losing thousands of dollars
3)    How to trade Stocks with exact entry point and exit point
4)    How to make money by trading Stocks (whether you are trading already or complete beginner starting from scratch)

Date: Thu, 17 May(Eng) & Fri, 18 May(Chinese)

Time: 7pm - 10pm

Speaker: Mr Andy Yew/ Mr KL Wong


Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
 
                #07-02 S(069541),
 
                Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Market Sentiment Indicator for 17 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 57.94% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 54.03% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 8 May)
(Nasdaq Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)  

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 60.00% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 23.26%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 2 months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 3 week's time! Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 80.24% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 May)
(S&P500 Financial stocks has turned bearish)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 53.84% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish) 

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Fed wary of Economical Health in Minutes

Dear Friends,

2 months of bad Employment numbers is enough to get the FED worked up now. It is no wonder that today's minutes report says this. Check this minutes summary.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/minutes-show-fed-wary-of-economic-health-2012-05-16

The thing is like the last month I have said, the reports are not bad enough to warrant a QE3 yet. But the recent decline and bad employment report really seems to bring some concern back after a beautiful quarter.

A bad economical job report in June is the nail needed. If 3 consecutive months, jobs reports are bad, I think chances of a QE3 announced on 19th June is a Big possibility. That is the time when Fed meeting gives its statement.

The thing is Summer holidays period from May to July are generally bad months for Jobs as Enterprise cut down on production.

Let us keep a lookout. I would post my feelings on the job report when this month comes to an end after I do a study. But so far, FED is not sleeping well over the summer holidays. Certainly no holidays for them.

Regards
Daniel

It's a Weak Weak Week so far for US and Spore market

Dear Friends,

Dow Jones has been falling 9 out of 10 sessions. However today, now Dow is in the green at 40 points. This has been a weak week so far. Europe problems still in the radar every single day. Patience is needed. I am still looking at the market for any sign of bullishness but cant find any.

Singapore today isn't good either with STI dropping 45 points. What a drop! Few counters are spared.

Like what I mention last week, I am looking for confidence to come back in the US market. Lots of counters look attractive now. How do you know if confidence is back?

2 signs you need to see:

1) Dow Jones closes 100 points up - A triple digit increase in Dow signifies some confidence coming back into market. It hasn't happen so far in May. No single day that is 100 points in the green now.

2) Dow Jones has 3 consecutive up days - 3 consecutive up days always signify a change in trend. But sometimes if there are 2 very bullish days with a long body candle, it signifies a change in trend too

Btw, Dow has been falling for 2 weeks now. We have entered into the 2nd half of the month. See whether there is a change in trend. Somehow, I still feel there might be a stop to this drop. But wait till that happens, it is good to protect our capital.

2moro there is a weekly Jobless claims report coming out. This month's Jobless claims reports are important as it will show whether next month's employment reports continue to be weak. So pay attention to it.

On Friday, Facebook will IPO, so far it's IPO has not impact the market yet, though a lot of people are queuing to get their hands on it. Friday may be the spark the market needs to light up the fire again.

Let us see!

Rgds
Daniel

Tuesday, 15 May 2012

Dr Alexandra Elder Article: A re-election year suggests a low in August

Dear Friends,

Interesting article by Dr Alexander Elder and his partner on election year run-up to elections. They think August might have a bottom based on historical chart. Let us see...

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-re-election-year-suggests-a-low-in-august-2012-05-14

Rgds
Daniel

Singapore Stock Tip: CWT and Genting contrasting fortunes after Earnings


1) CWT – Good earnings causes gap up on 8 May – Consider Buying

 
CWT Ltd breaks above the short term down trendline (Black line) after reporting a net profit of $26.4 million for January-March, up from S$8.4 million a year ago, driven by its new commodities trading business. This is what we called, the type of stock to watch this quarter as strong fundamental earnings will drive the stock price.

From the chart, we can see that this stock is travelling in the long term up trend Channel, now it just bounced off the support and break the Short term trend line. This signifies the bullishness in this stock. The fundamental rule of technical analysis teaches us to buy at support and sell at resistance. The support is at $1.21 hence stop loss can be placed at $1.18, below the support. Target price can be set at the resistance $1.38.

2) Genting SP – Poor earnings causes gap down – Hold and see


Genting SP suffered a sharp dip after announcing their Q1 result on Friday, the price fell to the low of $1.595 during the day and came back to $1.625 at closing. Before the announcement, the technical view of this stock is still good compared to most stocks in the market as the price of Genting Sp was staying strong above the 200MA, furthermore, the 20MA and 40MA is also sloping up. 

From the chart, we can see that the price is travelling in the upward sloping price channel (black line) which has been supported for several times previously and it is also hanging on the 200ma(Red line). The long term trend is still strong but the mid-term trend is weak. Will we see the short-term rebound soon? Although this might be a good time to buy at support, but the risk of falling further is equally high. For short term, the trend is down as we see a lower low and a lower high recently.  

It is to better WAIT for the candle to stand above the supporting trendline before we go long.

--------------------------------------------------

Btw this week, we are having a FREE Seminar for you on Singapore Stocks!

Foundations of Trading
投资的基础

1)    How to make consistent and easy profits by trading Stocks using a unique technique that will help you to get 70% per year on average for the last 8 years
2)   
The 4 golden rules that most traders will never learn – violate any of the rules and risk losing thousands of dollars
3)    How to trade Stocks with exact entry point and exit point
4)    How to make money by trading Stocks (whether you are trading already or complete beginner starting from scratch)

Date: Thu, 17 May(Eng) & Fri, 18 May(Chinese)

Time: 7pm - 10pm

Speaker: Mr Andy Yew/ Mr KL Wong


Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
 
                #07-02 S(069541),
 
                Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623


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·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...