Tuesday, 28 October 2014

GET READY for a beautiful November and December Holiday Run!


This article gives us enough reasons to buy into the stock market now! Apple I-phone, Xbox One...

Merry Christmas, Ho ho ho!

Friday, 24 October 2014

Daniel Loh 10月24日 FM958 电台访问 : 股市11月12月表现如何?

美国市场

1)      美国Dow Jones昨晚大涨216点。S&P500 也涨了24点。
2)      我们两个星期前在节目中有提过,如果道琼斯掉破200天的均线,两个星期以内,美国股市将到底。我们还呼吁大家可以进场测试水温买一点。
3)      高兴的事,一切都造我们的计划。
4)      1010日,道琼斯跌破了200天的均线支持,16600点。3天后,道琼斯到了最低点15855点。从那天起,道琼斯已经跑了800点。
5)      前几天,媒体都有很多的负面新闻。说恐惧指数已经到达两年的高点。欧洲可能出现第二次欧债危机等等。
6)      我还记得上个星期我在一个讲座中有提到,这都是机会!大家不要错过这次超跌的机会。玩股票一定要跟普通人不一样。
7)      这一波跑上来,可能会跑到12月底了。那在这里我跟大家分享两个原因:
8)      第一:美国的经济数据非常健康。九月失业率跌倒了5.9%,这是这5年牛市最低点。但是我觉得接下来几个月,大家会看到更低的失业率因为我们将进入很忙的假期季节。很多公司将采用更多员工。企业报告也会反应比较好的数据。这些好的经济报告会让市场和消费者更有信心。
9)      第二:由于美国将进入感恩节和圣诞,这个喜气的节日将为股市冲喜。这几个月消费者的数据显示今年美国人可能会消费多一点。感恩节是1127日。很多美国人在两个星期前就会开始买礼物,去购物。1128日,感恩节一天后是黑色星期五。这一天,全美国将会有大减价。预期数字显示今年这个周末的消费量会比以往年来得好。最近我们也看到苹果卖的iPhone 6的业绩非常好。这也显示今年美国人肯花钱。我相信这种信心会带动股市往历史高点买进。
10)   当然这两个月我们不排除可能可怕的Ebola病毒可能会是到股市有些波动。今早美国就发现有医生已换上病毒,驶到期货指数掉了一点。
11)   但是大家要记得,只要这个问题不会影响公司长远的业绩表现,任何下滑都会回啦的。
12)   这次十月的下滑是市场给我们的圣诞礼物。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡股市因为受到美国的影响,所以最近也掉到了3155点的最低价位。
·         我们两个星期前有提到,大家必须等美国股市稳定再进场。
·         这几天因为美国大涨,海峡指数也涨了接近70点。现在是3220点。
·         我知道新加坡公司将开始陆陆续续报告业绩。我想信当中因该有业绩不错的股票。
·         这是一个非常好的机会,找出业绩不错下得比较多的股票进场,大家不要错过这次机会。
·         最近石油下得太多了,这也是我们没有预测到的。但是我觉得现在也是机会!
·         石油大跌到$80,我觉得已经差不多是最低点,鼓励大家看一下能源领域的股票。
·         石油的价格成本价是$60。我相信在这个经济面这样好的环境,我不相信会跌倒靠近成本价。
·         第二,很多美国能源领域公司已经进入短期熊市。S&P500的能源领域公司,96%已经超跌了,因此我们觉得能源领域的公司会有一个技术性 的反弹。
·         新加坡能源领域的公司,如果有超跌,但是业绩还不错的,都值得投资。


中国市场

·         上证指数这个星期是下滑的。似乎跟美国股市是跷跷板。从最高点2391点下滑到现在2308点。
·         最近的下滑因为沪港通延迟了开始的计划。
·         目前我们还觉得上证还不算便宜。有机会跌回2100点我们再看。
·         24502500点是上证今年很强的阻力。

香港市场

·         香港现在是23300点。
·         目前亚洲股市当中我最看好恒生指数。
·         从技术图表来看,只要横生在23000点以下,我都觉得是机会。2250023000这个范围都是支持。

日本市场

·         日经期货指数昨天一天涨了接近400点,涨了4%。除了美国好转带动日经,更大的原因是政府将把全国退休金投资在日本股票,从12%增长到25%
·         这个是一笔相当庞大的数目。
我觉得有这个利好的因素,大家值得考虑投资在日本股票。

Thursday, 23 October 2014

With this October fall, get ready for a good November and December market!

Dow Jones has fallen more than 1000 points from the historical high of 17350 to a low of 15855 reached intraday on 15th October. STI similarly spiraled downward in spectacular fashion with a more than 200 points drop to a low of 3155 recently.

A lot of investors began to get worried of the European economy and the risk of rising interest rate. The protest in Hong Kong did not help the situation.

Despite all the uncertainties, we would like to assure investors that all is well and we do anticipate the stock market to turnaround in November and December.

Below are our reasons:


1) US economy is growing at a very healthy level. This is shown in the September unemployment figures released early October. US reached a low unemployment rate of 5.9%. It proves that the three Quantitative Easing (QE) policies are working well and providing more jobs for Americans. This is the primary reason the Federal Reserve Committee set out to do when QE1 was launched in March 2009. Although it is a long wait, we believed that with more jobs created, consumer confidence and consumer spending has never been better.

We know that US property prices are rising more slowly than what the market would have liked. The reason of the slow rise is not because of poor economy but over supply of houses in the market. In this past two years, as property prices got slightly better, the Mortgage Banks are disposing off their properties in bulk which caused the market to be flushed with properties. However rest assured that inflation will kick in once these properties are consumed by the market.


2) FED transparency works wonders. It has been a well-known fact that ever since Ben Bernanke stepped on board to be the FED chairman, FED has adopted a transparent policy. They try to give monetary policy outlook in advance rather than make abrupt decisions that shock the stock market. This transparent stance is continued by the new FED chairperson, Janet Yellen. The FED recently came out with a DOT PLOT diagram that gives us a glimpse of the blueprint of the short term interest rate for the next 3 years. It was forecasted that by end of 2017, interest rate might rise to 3.75%.

What is good about this transparency is that it won’t cause the market to suffer from a market panic. A slow and expected rise in interest rate is always good for the stock market. With a slow rise in interest rate as mentioned by Janet Yellen, we don’t see a bear market forming yet. It is definitely the job of the FED to constantly provide feedback and updates on the timing of the rise of interest rate. So far, they have been doing a good job.


3) Festive rally is in the pipeline starting in November. This is especially so when Apple reports a terrific 4th quarterly earnings on Tuesday, 21 October 2014. Their good earnings is coupled with a good iPhone 6 sales. The sales beat historical iPhone launches and is poised to continue into the festive season.

Apple good earnings show something more important than strong iPhone sales. It reflects the confidence of the retail market! It shows that Americans are still willing to spend. And this optimism will likely be shown 2 weeks before the thanksgiving holiday on 27th November. I am quite optimistic about the sales of Black Friday this year on 28th November, a day whereby Americans go out on the streets to buy discounted items. This is like the Great Singapore Sale, and it is often a gauge of the retailers confidence.

With this fall in October, we do think that the festive cheers will ring on the stock market this year amid the expected good retail outlook.

Our trading strategy for now would be to look closely at the stock earnings this month. Do not miss out on the chance to invest in some of the good counters that show better than expected earnings and were already oversold.

Get ready for a good early Christmas gift this year!



For more information on the third quarter earnings results and outlook of some US and Singapore stocks, do log into our website regularly at www.danielloh.com

Free Seminar by Andy Yew:

<< Singapore Stocks that are poised for a recovery in November! >>
11月新加坡有哪些股票可能会反弹?


sharing by Andy Yew

Andy Yew has accurately the turnaound of the market recently. Join him to know how what he is looking at next month!

Dates (Select one):
23 Oct 2014, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
24 Oct 2014, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

30 Oct 2014, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
31 Oct 2014, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Topic:
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2)
 Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term
Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

With the good performance of Apple earnings, Bullish festive rally in November and December is in the cards!

Dear Friends,

We are very optimistic of the recent October fall. We think that with this fall, the market is about to rally into end of december.

Although DOW went down 100 points at one point today, we do not think this fall is sustainable. Most likely it will bounce back up soon.

This is especially so when Apple reports a terrific 4th quarterly earnings yesterday.

As reported by Marketwatch:
“Apple today announced financial results for its fiscal 2014 fourth quarter ended September 27, 2014. The Company posted quarterly revenue of $42.1 billion and quarterly net profit of $8.5 billion, or $1.42 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $37.5 billion and net profit of $7.5 billion, or $1.18 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 38 percent compared to 37 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 60 percent of the quarter’s revenue.”

Apple strong earnings show something more important than better ipone sales. It shows the confidence of the retail market! It shows Americans are still willing to spend. And this will likely be shown 2 weeks before the thanksgiving holiday on 26th November. I am this time very optimistic about the Black Friday, a day whereby Americans go out on the streets to buy discounted items. This is like the Great Singapore Sale, just that it is a one day, major shopping day in America.

I suggest all to look at this quarterly earnings season and get your weapons ready! 

We might be in for a good market rally this november and december!

Rgds
Daniel

Monday, 20 October 2014

Free Seminar by Daniel Loh

<<Bull and Bear Market cycles & Has DOW and STI reached a BOTTOM?>>  

By Daniel Loh 



Learn about the SECRETS of the Stock Market!

You shall learn:
1) How do you double your account in 1 year systematically even when market is bad?
2) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
3) Bull market phases and which phase are we in now?
4) Secret Strategies to increase your winning probability in trading

Date: 
20 Oct  (Mon)  English session or
21 Oct (Tue)  Chinese session 华文讲座

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
Regularly interviewed by Mediacorp FM958
Regular interviewed by Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank
Invited speaker for OCBC Securities
Invited speaker for Shares Investment
Invited speaker for Shareinvestor

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Friday, 10 October 2014

Daniel Loh 10月10日 FM958 电台访问 : 美国道琼斯和新加坡海指的支持点在哪里?

美国市场

1)      美国Dow Jones昨晚大掉335点。S&P500 掉了41点。
2)      昨晚的下滑是今年第4次美国下滑300多点但是也是最惨的一次。
3)      这也最出乎预的把星期三上升的275点全部给埋没了。
4)      似乎美国这个十月还是逃脱不了下滑的命运。
5)      道琼斯现在是16659点。
6)      从技术分析,我们两个星期前有提过16600点是道琼斯相当强的支持。
7)      如果到了,我们建议大家测试一下水温,投资一些业绩不错的股票。
8)      那为什么会是16600点呢?因为他就是200天的均线。这200天的均线是道琼斯的生命线。当这条线还是往上升,美国就还是处于牛市的状态。这200天的均线就是牛市的支持线。动到就有可能反弹。
9)      但是有没有机会跌破?有的。
10)   根据我们的调查,如果跌破了,我们就叫做超跌。超跌了,通常在两周以内,大家就可以看到最低点。
11)   因此我们呼吁大家两周后再进场多买一点。这是第二次测试水温。
12)   如果股市开始一直反弹,我们就可以开始逐步加注。
13)   从基本面来看,十月通常有周期性的调整是很正常的。我们在节目中曾经有提过。
14)   如果调整完过后,美国股市在十一月和十二月就有继续跑。
15)   这个月的经济报告其实不差的。美国的就业状况越来越好。失业率也一直下滑。上个月下滑到了5.9%。这也是我们这5年看到最低的数字。这证明美国的QE政策起作用了。
16)   因为这些好的经济数字让我觉得股市还不会进入熊市,跌多了还是机会进场。
17)   我的判断是如果十月跌的越深,十一月十二月涨得越多。
18)   这或许是市场给我们的圣诞礼物。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡股市因为受到美国的影响,所以今天也掉了30点。最近海指的股市是真的很疲弱。
·         但是如果美国真的在10月或11月反弹,新加坡也同样有机会反弹。
·         目前我们看到海指最大的支持是在3200点。
·         暂时我们呼吁大家关注美国这几天的表现。如果美国公司这两个星期业绩没问题,也动到了200天的均线,那美国反弹的机会就很大。
·         海指也因该会被带动。
·         我认为大家要保持乐观,把这次的调整当作机会。
·         我们因该十月做好功课,十月也是公司业绩报告的时候。当股市稳定了,大家就可以买到便宜。


中国市场

·         上证指数表现相当好,现在已经接近2400点了。昨天最高上到2391点。
·         从图表来看,2250点会是一个相当强的支持。
·         从月量来看,两个月的量相当好。达到33亿以上。这也代表股市信心开始回来了。
·         我们判断股市可能在2250-2500点之间。希望今年有机会突破两年的2500点阻力。2500点或许就是熊转牛的转捩点。

香港市场

·         香港现在是23100多点。
·         目前亚洲股市我最看好恒生指数。这几个星期恒指下滑更大的原因是因为学生示威的事件。
·         我觉得这个是暂时的,我也认为这个和平的示威不会长久。一旦平息了股市就会反弹。
·         香港很多人都不支持这个示威。
·         大家从泰国也可以看出来。每次示威完了,股市就有反弹的现象。
·         因此我觉得恒指在23000点以下是超卖了,可以看。

日本市场

·         日经期货指数最近动到了16500点就下滑了。
·         指数没办法维持在16000点以上两个星期。现在又跌回16000点一下。

·         现在是15200点。暂时还算比较高,暂时避开。