Friday, 1 January 2016

FREE Seminar by Daniel Loh:

<< Major market changes of 2016 that all investors must know! >>


2015 has not been a terrible year for STI! 

In fact STI has been labeled as one of the worst performing index in the world for 2015. It has dropped 14.2% for the whole year.

A lot of investors lose money in singapore stocks. 

But how will singapore market fare in 2016? 

Will STI go into a further downward spiral or will it recover and head back towards new high?

Come and find out about Singapore popular market analyst Daniel Loh's views and predictions of the market!

You shall also learn:

1) Which index in the world might have a super bull run cycle in 2016
2) What is the prediction for STI in 2016?
3) What are the sectors to watch out for in 4Q?
4) Where will the bottom be for STI?
5) How can you make money consistently in 2015 from the falling market?

Date:
13 Jan  (Wed)   English session   Time: 7pm -10pm


Venue:
International Plaza, #34-07, 10 Anson Road, S(079903)
Tanjong Pagar MRT, Exit C



Speaker: Daniel Loh

Regularly interviewed by Mediacorp FM958
Regular interviewed by Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank
Invited speaker for OCBC Securities
Invited speaker for Shares Investment
Invited speaker for Shareinvestor

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Thursday, 24 December 2015

Merry Christmas trading kakis! A white christmas present from STI?

Merry Christmas to all trading friends!

Wishing you a wonderful white christmas from our family!

Great that STI may have really bottomed like what we suggested at 2790 - 2840 on 11th dec 2015.

Thursday, 17 December 2015

Daniel Loh 12月17日 FM958电台访问:新加坡买入区2790-2840点

·          美国股市9年半以来第一次加息

美国昨晚闭市在17749点。昨晚涨了223点。

涨的原因是因为美国联储局主席耶伦正式宣布美国利率增加0.25%。我们几个月前在节目中有提过大家不用害怕利率增加,增加代表经济开始走强。昨晚增加了,美国股市还大涨。

这一次全世界都很关注利率增加是因为这是美国这9年半以来第一次增加利率。已经80个联储会议没加息了。上一次加息是在2006年美国发生次贷危机之前。

那这样大的转折点对投资家会有什么影响呢?

我有3个建议,大家经供参考:

1) 我认为可以开始看银行股。利率上升银行股绝对收益。昨晚利息公布过后,美国银行Wells Fargo马上把跟银行借钱的利息增加,人民存款的利息却保持不变。我觉得接下来全世界的银行都会跟风。银行给的钱少了,拿的钱多了,利润绝对增加。

2) 利率开始增加也证明全世界的经济开始见底,大家可以开始多留意跟经济好转有关系的领域。其中一个就是大众商品领域。我知道现在的石油,黄金,农务大众商品价格都很差。但是30年的数据显示大众商品通常在利率上升的年代平均会增长25%,远远好过股市的9%的增长。

3) 大家绝对要避开高盈利的债券,特别是公司发行的债券。在美国很多这些产品都已经出现大问题

总结来说,我们不觉得2016年是熊市的开始,经济好转我觉得股市在2016年的表现会比2015还要好。

·         新加坡海指买入去2790-2840

海指现在是接近2860点。最近海指已经进入我们的买入区。我们判断海指的买入区是2790-2840点。大家留意,是2790-2840。刚好这几天跌了进去这个区域,我认为超跌了。

如果要的话,我认为大家可以留意一些跟海指直接有关的股票。比如银行股。现在都属于超跌了。如果指数反弹,银行股也会反弹。更何况利率涨,银行股会收益。

但是我也鼓励大家要有好的资金管理。可以先投资一点点来测试水温,看2790-2840是不是最低,如果指数真的往上走,再加股。如果继续掉,就再等下一个支持区域再进场。


·        看好中国2016年经济复苏

中国股市我们一直都认为已经稳定了,还在牛市当中,不要害怕。这一个月都一直在3400-3600点之间,很健康的盘整。大家也不再看到恐慌了。

我们在节目中有提过我们预测,中国经济明年4-6月份就可能见底,开始好转。

我鼓励大家留意一些中国房地产领域的公司。我们预测这几个月中国利率还会下滑,房地产公司可能会获利。


Wednesday, 16 December 2015

Ben Bernanke is a visionary!

Dear Friends,

I always believe this is the guy that brings the US stock market back from her death in 2009 due to subprime mortgage crisis! I always believe if not for him, we would most likely have a double dip recession like THE GREAT DEPRESSION in 1929.

It is amazing that in 2002, he already advocated printing continuous money as a solution to recessions like 1929 Great Depression and 2001 Internet Bubble burst.

Below is what he said in 2002:

"In 2002, following coverage of concerns about deflation in the business news, Bernanke gave a speech about the topic. In that speech, he mentioned that the government in a fiat money system owns the physical means of creating money and to maintain market liquidity. Control of the money supply implies that the government can always avoid deflation by simply issuing more money. He said "The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost."

I am sure in years to come, he will be remembered as the VISIONARY.

If you want to know more about the bull and bear market psychological cycles, please watch our website www.danielloh.com to check out the Free seminars for next year!



I will be starting my holidays soon.... next year, till we meet!


Below is marketwatch interview with him on the recent interest rates issues...



Merry Christmas!
Daniel




Friday, 11 December 2015

STI 2790-2840 is my accumulation zone! (11th December 2015)

Dear Friends,

It has been a long time since I update on the trend of Singapore market and STI. The market has really been bad! A lot of friends has asked me about my prediction of STI bottom.

I have been patient looking for STI to reach my accumulation zone too!

Looking at the chart, you will see that STI has dropped from 3100 on 26th October to now 2841 lowest as of today on 11th December.

In recent years, we have always tried to spot the bottom of STI when nobody is talking about it yet.

Today might be the day again! STI has indeed reached what we called the accumulation zone again

The zone I am looking to pick up STI is 2790 - 2840!

Hope I am right again. It is never easy to spot a bottom of an index when it is falling like a knife.

And it takes a lot of courage to call for it now that everyone is so pessimistic. But as the saying goes, 

NO PAIN NO GAIN!



Just a word of caution, if you are also accumulating, try to test the water by going in a bit first. Add up position as it goes according to what we want.


Happy Merry Christmas!

Ho Ho Ho,

Daniel Loh
The Gutsy Analyst
www.danielloh.com


Thursday, 3 December 2015

FREE Investment Seminar by Andy Yew (in Singapore)

Has STI bottomed?

5 Step to Consistently Pick the Biggest Winner in Stock market


- Seminar by Andy Yew (Live FM93.8 Market Analyst)

STI has fallen below 2900 recently. It is the one of the worst performing indices in Asia this year. Has STI bottomed?

Come and join Andy Yew to find out.

There are many mistakes a retail investor make when selecting the right stock. In this seminar, Andy Yew, an experienced remisier and trader, will share his systematic method on how to eliminate the mistakes.

Andy will also share the situation about local market now and whether singapore stocks is poised for a recovery in the last few months of 2015!

What you will learn:

Where is STI support now?
5 steps to pick the right stocks?
Money management rules to follow?
What sector to look at and which sector to avoid ?
Market outlook and individual Singapore stocks analysis using Technical Analysis


Dates: (Choose one)

3 Dec 2015, Thurs    (English)    7pm - 10pm
4 Dec 2015, 星期五   (华文讲座)   7pm - 10pm  

10 Dec 2015, Thurs    (English)    7pm - 10pm
11 Dec 2015, 星期五   (华文讲座)   7pm - 10pm  


Venue: 
10 Anson Road, International Plaza #34-07 Singapore 079903
( Nearest MRT Tanjong Pagar )

Fee: Free

Speaker: Mr. Andy Yew (ART system founder)


To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of

seats> to 93676623

Thursday, 19 November 2015

Daniel Loh 11月19日 FM958电台访问:美国利率12月上升,华尔街要庆祝了!

·       美国利率12月上升,华尔街要庆祝了!

美国昨晚闭市在17737点。昨晚美国大涨了接近250点。虽然上个星期道指掉了接近700点,但是这几天道指也涨回了500点。

最近可能很多朋友问我,Daniel老师“你觉得利率要上升的问题会不会驶到道琼斯又掉得很深?

我的看法是不会。我觉得这一两个月股市都还相当健康。我有说过,美国股市第4季度表现因该不错。我认为这几天的下滑是机会进场。我提一下3点为什么:

第一:

我曾今有提过,美国十一月和十二月有很多的节日,从11月底的感恩节到12月的圣诞节和新年都会驶到公司的业绩增加。

通常这个期间,华尔街会忘记经济的问题,不会太操心利率的因素。也不会担心中国经济的问题。

这些老外在庆祝,他们的注意力不会在中国。大家不用担心。

第二:

昨晚刚刚凌晨2点公布的联储局的会议报告显示大部分的委员都支持利率在1215日上升。很多委员表示如果12月不上的话,反而会对打击市场对经济的信心。他们觉得10月的就业报告也相当好。

我觉得这已经是最大的明示了!12月利率应该会上升。

昨晚当这个消息宣布时,道琼斯两点后就涨了140点。这证明市场喜欢利率快点上,所以12月大家不用担心。

第三:

美国这一个月有很多公司已经公布了第三季度的业绩。标普500的公司里,463间已经公布业绩。这463间公司,有74% 的公司的盈利,Earnings per share 都比预期的数字还要高。

整体来说,美国第3季度的业绩还算不错,所以大家这一个月都看到美国股市相当强劲。
这三个原因让我觉得美国股市还相当健康,大家不用太担心。

·       
        新加坡海指2016年可能会不错的3大原因

新加坡海峡指数现在在2920点左右。大家可能会担心海指这两周表现不好,但是我觉得海指跌一点倒是一个机会。

如果美国真的12月提升利率,我觉得确实是一个好事。这样很多投资家就不用担心利率几时上的问题。利率上升也放映全世界经济都到了谷底。

大家要晓得,利率上升反映了几个好现象。

第一:

石油可能已经到了谷底。利率上代表接下来全世界经济开始复苏,这对石油的需求有帮助。新加坡有些石油的公司这一年都一直被打压,有可能在2016年有机会反弹。

第二:

中国的经济可能也开始到最低点。我相信美国政府一定很关注中国的经济。美国提升利率一定是因为觉得中国经济差不多已经到了底部了。

我觉得明年中大家就真的可以看到中国经济真的开始复苏了。这也会让有些新加坡在中国有业务的上市公司反映比较不错的业绩。

第三:

如果我们真的进入了高通货膨胀的时代,利率上升的时代,这一定会带动很多跟经济有关的领域比如船务领域,大众商品领域。

如果利率上升,我觉得整体来说,不管是石油,船务,大众商品,银行和中国有业务的公司都会有帮助。

因此我是满看好新加坡整体在2016年的表现。希望大家要为明年做好准备!


·      看好中国2016年经济复苏!

我们都一直在节目中强调,中国股市现在在牛市的第二个阶段,不要害怕。从年头开始,我们就预测上证指数都会一直在3000-4500点跑动。

现在是3570点了。我觉得还是相当便宜的。虽然大家看到中国的经济数据一直很不好,但是股市还是上了。


我鼓励大家留意一些中国房地产的公司。只要利率一直下滑,房地产公司一定获利。


Thursday, 5 November 2015

Daniel Loh 11月5日 FM958电台访问:美国股市9月到底部的3大原因!

·        美国股市9月到底部的3大原因

美国昨天闭市在17868点。很高兴的是美国股市这一个月的走势确实按照我们所说的。一个月前和两个星期前,我们都说我们确实看好美国第4季度的股市。

一个月前美国道琼斯指数还在16000点。短短一个月已经涨了1800点。现在离历史高点只差500点了。新加坡海指也从一个月前的2750点涨到了现在3030点。

今天我想提3点为什么我们当时会觉得16000点,9月的时候会是低点。以后大家就可以自己炒作。


(关于我9月和10月说的访谈)
9月10日 FM958电台访问:世界股市有救吗?

10月8日 FM958电台访问:美国股市第4季度会反转吗?
http://www.danielloh.com/2015/10/daniel-loh-108-fm9584.html


第一:
我们还是觉得美国市场还是一个大牛市当中。因为利率还是非常低。只要利率低,熊市就不会来临因为股市跌多了,热钱就会进来。大家不用害怕熊市的来临。也不要相信任何恐慌的说法。

第二:
既然美国还在牛市当中,我发现只要道指跌破200天的移动平均线(200MA),股市在两周内必定见底。如果大家会用图表,可以自己画出200天的均线。这一条线是牛市的生命线。只要跌破这一条线,我发现两周以内大家就一定看到谷底。这一次跌破了,3天就到谷底。两周后,股市刚好就在16000点。因此我们也是因为这一点一个月前跟大家说可以开始看股票了。

第三:
我们也发现,道琼斯指数如果还是一个牛市,最多会跌一个10-15%。这一次跌深了。但是也刚好只跌15%。如果大家拿最高点18351X0.85 = 15600点。这一次道指跌最深时15400点,当天就反弹了。以后大家记得,只要我们还是牛市,只要道指跌15%,通常都是非常好的机会。


·        新加坡海指3000-3250范围

一个月前,海指从2750点跑了上来。现在是3030点了。虽然已经跑了10%,但是我还是觉得还有往上升的空间。我还是看好道指第4季度的表现。美国会有许多的节日,可能还会带动股市。因此我觉得海指还有望上升。

我判断第4季度,海峡指数可能会在3000-3250点徘徊。3000点就是低点,3250点就是高点。如果到了3250点,大家一定要小心。

我鼓励大家稍微留意一下农务大众商品的股票。我觉得2016年这一类的股票有可能表现会不错。


·        谁说中国股市进入熊市??

我们都一直在节目中强调,中国股市现在在牛市的第二个阶段,不要害怕。我们预测上证指数都会一直在3000-4500点跑动。现在是3450点了。我觉得还是相当便宜的。虽然大家看到中国的经济数据一直很不好,但是股市还是上了。


我鼓励大家留意一些中国房地产的公司。只要利率一直下滑,房地产公司一定获利。


Wednesday, 4 November 2015

TV8 Hello Singapore interview: Why is Singapore Economy Worse off this year at 2-2.5%?

Dear Friends,

I will be on mediacorp TV8 talking about "Why is Singapore Economy Worse off this year at 2-2.5% and will Singapore Jobs Market be affected" in 狮城有约 Hello Singapore.

Date: Tomorrow 5th November 2015
Time: 6.30pm

See you!
Daniel


Saturday, 24 October 2015

Thursday, 22 October 2015

FREE Investment Seminar by Andy Yew (in Singapore)

5 Step to Consistently Pick the Biggest Winner in Stock market


- Seminar by Andy Yew (Live FM93.8 Market Analyst)

There are many mistakes a retail investor make when selecting the right stock. In this seminar, Andy Yew, an experienced remisier and trader, will share his systematic method on how to eliminate the mistakes.

Andy will also share the situation about local market now and whether singapore stocks is poised for a recovery in the last few months of 2015!

What you will learn:

5 steps to pick the right stocks?
Money management rules to follow?
What sector to look at and which sector to avoid ?
Market outlook and individual Singapore stocks analysis using Technical Analysis


Dates:

28 Oct 2015, 星期三      (华文讲座)   7pm - 10pm  

29 Oct 2015, Thursday (English)    7pm - 10pm

(Please note there is a change in the Dates as I wrote the day wrong initially)


Venue: 
10 Anson Road, International Plaza #34-07 Singapore 079903
( Nearest MRT Tanjong Pagar )

Fee: Free

Speaker: Mr. Andy Yew (ART system founder)


To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of 

seats> to 93676623