Friday, 22 August 2014

Radio FM958 interview with Daniel Loh: Will the September Market continues its ascent?

US Market

1)    When we attended DJ’s Yi Xin programme 2 weeks ago, we mentioned that when DOW drops to 16300, we can take the opportunity to enter US market. At that time we predicted 16300 to be a strong support. And on that day, DOW indeed drops to a low point of 16330 before rebounding.
2)    We predicted 16300 to be a strong support as 16300 is the figure for 200day MA.
3)     Looking at the 200day MA, it shows that the bull market is still intact. We do not need to worry if the market is going to enter a bear market soon. Anytime the market drops sharply, it will rebound.
4)    At this moment,we are still optimistic regarding September’s market 3 reasons why:
5)     The first is that the 2nd quarter earnings results is good. For the S&P500 companies, the growth rate is 7.6% versus 4.8% last quarter. Given such good results, we think this will last until October.
6)     The 2nd reason is that the FED chairwoman Janet Yellen has not discussed about raising interest rate. In the recent meeting, Yellen even says that the recent sharp fall in unemployment rate may be just a fluke.
7)     The 3rd reason is that US economy is showing good improvement in the economy. Unemployment rate is still dropping, ISM report this month remains very good. The whole US economy is going well.
8)     However we hope that the 3rd quarterly earnings results in October is good. If not, we got to be careful in October. There may be a minor correction.
9)     The best industry to invest in for these one of two months is the Technological industry. Apple will be launching their iphone 6 on 9th September. Alibaba IPO in October will also bring about hype in the tech sector.

Singapore Market

·         2 weeks ago, we did mention the best area to invest STI is 3250-3300. If STI goes below 3300 and below, may buy a bit to test the water. If it continues to go up, buy somemore.
·         Truly, STI broke 3300 support and goes to a low of 3277.
·         Now, STI seems continuously going up a bit every day
·         We still maintain our view that in this quarter, STI will be travelling between 3300-3450 again.
·         Looking at the emerging market, we don’t think STI will drop too much. Jakarta index is back near its historical high of 5250 while India index Sensex is still running.
·         Hence investors can be calm, we still believe that the Singapore stock market is still healthy.
·         However we know that it seems not a lot of stocks are running. It will take a bit of hardwork and effort to locate good stocks that shows good earnings.

China Market

·         Recently Shanghai composite performance has been quite good. Now it is at 2235.
·         Although it has been good, there seems to be a resistance at 2250. These few days it seems the index has difficulty breaking through 2250. Why?
·         Because these 2 years the composite is consolidating in between 2000-2500. Hence 2250 being the middle point of the support 2000 and resistance 2500 is also a resistance.
·         We hope there may be a breakthrough soon.
·         Recently the performance of the Chinese internet companies have been quite good. Do take note of them. The reason may be because of Alibaba listing.

HongKong Market

·         2 weeks ago, we mentioned to take note of Hangseng index and hong kong stocks as we think the Dow has reached a bottom. At that time, the index is 24300. Because of China-Hongkong cross border trading system, we did predict that it will go above 25000.

·         We still think that Hang Seng has potential to go further up. We think that it is one of the most watchable index in Asia. The cross border trading will start in October and I think Hang Seng might continue to be bullish till then. 

Daniel Loh 8月22日 FM958 电台访问 《美国和新加坡股市九月还会继续上吗?》

美国市场

1)      两个星期前我上易欣的节目有提过只要道指跌到16300点,大家可以进场投资美国股市。我们当时预测16300点是相当强的一个支持。结果那天道指到了最低16330点真的就开始反弹。
2)      我们判断16300点是因为从技术图表来看,16300点是200天的均线的点数。
3)      200天往上升的均线来看,现在我们还是处于一个大牛市。大家不用太担心股市会不会进入一个熊市。只要美国股票跌深了,必定会反弹。
4)      我们暂时对九月份的股市还是保持乐观的判断,3个原因:
5)      第一是这个第2季度的整体业绩报告都相当理想。S&P500的公司当中,平均的成长率是7.6%,比上个季度的4.8%还要高。那这样好的成绩我觉得有可能会保持到至少10
6)      第二是联储局的主席耶伦还没有表示利率短期内会上升。最近在会议上,耶伦甚至说失业率的跌幅可能是一个假象,暂时不会调高利率。只要耶伦不提利率的事,我们觉得股市就不会有大动荡。
7)      第三是美国的经济都一直显示相当健康的状态。失业率一直下滑,制造业的报告这个月也相当好。整体的经济都不错。
8)      但是希望大家可以留意10月美国公司第三季度的业绩。如果不好,大家10月还是要谨慎。
9)      美国这一两个月最好投资的领域我觉得是科技领域。苹果9Iphone6的推出以及Alibaba10月的上市可能会带动科技股有好的表现。

新加坡市场

·         两个星期前,我们在节目有提过海指在3250-3300点之间都是很好买入的机会。如果到了3300以下,可以买一些测试水温。如果往上走,可以继续买上去。
·         结果真的,海指有一天跌破3300点到了最低3277点。
·         现在海指几乎每天上涨一点,现在是3300点。
·         我们还是保持我们的观点,海指这个季度因该在3300-3450点之间。
·         从新兴市场短期走势来看,我不认为海指会继续大跌。印尼雅加达指数又回到接近历史高点5250点了,印度股市也还在高点没什么大掉。
·         因此我觉得大家可以放心,我们觉得短期新加坡股市还是比较健康的。
·         我们也发现不是每一支新加坡股票都在好。但是这个季度确实还是有业绩相当不错的公司。这可能就要靠大家摘选股票的功夫了。



中国市场

·         中国股市最近表现还是不错的。现在是2235点。
·         虽然不错,但是从技术图表来说,上证指数在2250点也是相当强的一个阻力。这几天一直想突破但似乎有压力。为什么2250点呢?
·         因为这两年上证都一直在2000-2500点之间徘徊。所以2250就是中间的点位。阻力和支持的中间往往都也是一个阻力。
·         我们希望有机会冲破。
·         最近中国股市的上升是因为沪港通和政府的一些小的刺激政策有关系。
·         我们就希望中国股市可以复活。
·         最近中国在海外上市的网络科技领域公司,表现都不错,大家可以留意。这也可能跟Alibaba快要上市的原因有关。


香港市场

·         刚好两个星期前我们判断美国股市会反转,让大家留意香港股票和恒生指数。当时是24300点。因为沪港通的关系,我们判断25000点会破。
·         我们的预测是港股还是值得留意的,会是我们在亚洲投资非常留意的一个股市。因为十月沪港通才真正开始。有可能继续跑到那个时候。


日本市场

·         我们暂时都一直看不好日经指数。请避开。现在日经期货指数在15500点。高进16000点的大管卡,我们觉得上涨空间相当有限。
·         相比之下,我觉得亚洲香港股市比较值得看和投资。

 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

下个星期我们有一场免费投资讲座。

主题是《美国大熊市几时来?投资者因该如何预备?》

日期:

826日(星期二) English 
827日(星期三) 华文演讲

时间:晚上7点 到 10

地点:141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light



To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

第8频道《早安你好》骆伟嵩 8月22日 现场采访:Oxley 是一支成长股,值得看

      1) 美国市场
两个星期前我上节目中有提过道琼斯跌到16300点有可能会反弹。结果真的到了16300点就跑到现在,只差历史高点只有100点了。
我们觉得创历史高点因该没有问题。
但是我们判断股市10月大家可能要比较小心因为是美国第三季度业绩报告的季节。如果股市一直跑,10月有可能会调整。

2)新加坡市场
两个星期前,我们曾提过STI3300点以下都是机会。前几天确实到了3300点以下,但是很快反弹了。
我们一样认为第三季,STI会在3300-3450点徘徊。我们觉得海指还是有上涨的空间。

3) Oxley
   我觉得大家可以留意这支 成长股的股票。3个原因:
a)  接下来3Oxley17个房地产,利润总价值7亿还可以赚。
b)  Oxley在海外的发展相当不错,接下来几个月,他将在国外推出许多项目

c)  Oxley有一个详细的计划如何发展海外的业务,有一个有远见执行力相当强的团队

Wednesday, 20 August 2014

FREE Singapore Stock Seminar by Andy Yew

<< With STI above 3300 again, what are the Strong Stocks you can look for August?>>

STI 现在又超越3300点了,8月有哪些股票您可以看的?

sharing by Andy Yew

Andy Yew has accurately predicted the run of a lot of stocks recently including . Join him to know how he does it every week!


Dates: 
21 Aug 2014, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
28 Aug 2014, Thu (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2)
 Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term
Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Monday, 18 August 2014

Free Seminar by Daniel Loh

<< Is STI and DOW rebounding? What are the sectors and stocks to watch out for? >>

《STI 和 道琼斯会反弹吗?哪一个领域和股票能看呢?》

By Daniel Loh 


Listen to Daniel Loh's predictions again!!!

What you will learn:

1) The stock to watch out for this year!
2) What is the hot sector to look for?
3) Where is STI and DOW heading towards to???
4) How to make money consistently in the stock market every month?

Date: 

19 Aug or 26 Aug (Tue)    English session
20 Aug or 27 Aug (Wed)   华文讲座

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  
Regularly interviewed by Mediacorp FM958
Regular interviewed by Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank
Invited speaker for OCBC Securities
Invited speaker for Shares Investment
Invited speaker for Shareinvestor

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Thursday, 14 August 2014

We got Dow Jones turnaround right when we said Buy at 16300!

Dear Friends,

Amazingly, we got it right on the spot again on Dow Jones recent lowest point. On 8th August American, Dow reach a lowest point of 16300.

We did mention on TV and in radio what we expect of Dow jones. A turnaound at 16300 points.

This is the article of what we said on radio on the 8th August where we forecasted the bottom of Dow and encouraged all to buy Dow.

http://www.danielloh.com/2014/08/daniel-loh-88-fm958-16300sti3250-3300.html

This is the article of what we said on TV on the 5th August even when DOW is still dropping. 5th point is on our DOW prediction.

http://www.danielloh.com/2014/08/8-84.html

Now the Dow chart is as such:


Remember that we still continue to be bullish oon Hang Seng breakiing 25000 soon, STI to have a reversal at 3250-3300. STI should still be in the region of 3300-3450 in the 3rd quarter. KLCI is rebounding too!

Basically it seems everything is back to normal. Stay tuned to more updates and predictions from us again!

Rgds
Daniel

Monday, 11 August 2014

Free Seminar by Daniel Loh

<< Secrets to Technical Analysis >> 

《看技术图表的秘诀》
By Daniel Loh 


What you will learn:

1) Chart Patterns and its uses
2) How to identify a good breakout
3) Why is trader getting mixed signals in indicators
4) Mistakes made by chartists

Date: 

12 Aug  (Tue)    English session 
13 Aug  (Wed)    华文讲座

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  
Regularly interviewed by Mediacorp FM958
Regular interviewed by Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank
Invited speaker for OCBC Securities
Invited speaker for Shares Investment
Invited speaker for Shareinvestor

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Daniel Loh 8月8日 FM958 电台访问 《买道指在16300点,买STI在3250-3300点》

美国市场

1)      昨晚美国跌了75点。美国从17151点下滑到现在16368点,12天里面下滑了800点。
2)      这一个下滑我觉得是因为上得太多,一些经济报告最近也不怎么理想,而造成的。
3)      比如说:这个月的ADP就业报告,芝加哥PMI和非农业薪金报告都比预期数据来得差。
4)      特别是730日当芝加哥PMI数字公布时,把市场吓坏了。真实数据52.6比预测63.2还要低11%,当天道指下滑了300多点。
5)      这个月最重要的非农业薪金报告也不怎么理想。209K比预测的231K还要少。
6)      这个月唯一不错的就只有ISM,制造业报告。
7)      虽然说这个月的经济报告不怎么理想,我还是觉得美国经济和股市还是处于蛮健康的状态。我觉得任何的下滑都是机会。
8)      我们的判断是道指的支持点就在16000-16300点。我们昨晚就到了16368点,非常接近了。
9)      如果到了16300点,可以开始测试水温,小投资一些业绩不错的股票。我们觉得16300点是道琼斯200天的均线,是一个相当强的支持就算跌破,两个星期内大家就会看到谷底。
10)   只要耶伦一直没有讨论利率的事情,我觉得股市不会掉太多的。
11)   今天日本大跌很有可能是伊拉克的事件形式越来越严重,市场不知会不会恶化。刚刚美国才宣布要帮助伊拉克用飞机去炸恐怖份子。我觉得这是小事,对经济和股市没太大的冲击。
12)   所以我认为大家要抓住这一次美国的回档而进场。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡因为美国股市的下滑,这个星期表现也不怎么好。
·         海指从一度3387点跌到现在3380点。在短短的6个交易日下滑 100点。今天早上日经指数400点的下滑,也驶到海峡指数今早表现相当弱。
·         但是我们觉得海指的支持点就在3250-3300点之间。今天正好跌到了我们的支持范围里。
·         我们觉得如果道指真的在16300点反弹,海指也很有可能这几天会反弹。
·         有些我的学生最近反映他们担心海指会继续跌:但是也不想失去这个下滑的机会,不知道怎么办?
·         如果在场的听众有同样的想法,我给于两个建议:
·         一是如果海指跌倒3250点,大家可以买一些业绩不错的股票来测试水温。不买多,就一点点测试市场。如果反弹到了3300点以上,再进场加注买上去。如果又回来3300点,这表明形式已经稳定了。
·         二是如果海指不再掉了,从3280点,这几天又站上3300点,大家一样,可以开始进场买一些业绩不错的股票来测试水温。如果继续涨,再进场。
·         从新兴市场的走势来看,我不认为海指会继续大跌。印尼雅加达指数还在5000点以上,印度股市也还在高点没什么掉。
·         因此我觉得大家可以放心,新兴市场的股市还是比较健康的。



中国市场

·         中国股市最近表现不错。这几天上证指数跑最高2226点。现在是2190点左右。
·         最近中国股市的上升是因为沪港通河政府实施一些小型刺激经济方案的原因。沪港同应该在10月正式开始,8月开始测试。这也带动中国与香港的股市。
·         小型的方案比如:降低银行储备金来借更多钱给企业,建设更多铁路和降低小企业的税务
·         我的看法是中国股市已在熊市好几年了。我们的判断是上证指数已经在熊市的最后一个阶段。
·         这几个星期的上升虽然乐观,但是我们也不要先判断。
·         让图表告诉我们几时中国进入牛市。2500点的管卡依旧是关键。两年的阻力。如果没突破,我们还处于熊市阶段。
·         突破了,有可能进入牛市。
·         我们就看着下半年是否中国股市正真能进入大牛市。

香港市场

·         香港股市这一个月相当强。一个月里,恒生冲到25000点,这个牛市的高点。当然最近接近25000,就好像高压电被电下来了。现在是24300点。
·         我的看法是24000点事近期恒生的支持。因为沪港同的关系,我觉得香港股市这一次掉不深。
·         甚至来临的几个月,大家可能可以终于看到恒生在25000点以上。最近我是蛮看好港股的。

日本市场

·         日经期货指数现在是14810点。
·         我们曾经说过日经到15700就要小心。因为我们觉得靠近16000点的大关,很难突破。
·         结果这几天他到了15700点就被电下来。7天掉了1000点。

·         我们还是比较不看好日经。请避开。