Saturday, 31 March 2012

Sigh, Chicago PMI below expectation

Dear Friends,

Not that a good news today with Chicago PMI below expectation. we would encourage all to hold our guns before ISM is released on Monday night now. Judging by the figures, we not expecting a good ISM figure on Monday. We do not want to predict how ISM will come out, but chances of a miss is higher now. Though Dow increased by 50 points at noon now, we are not convinced yet.

Our strategy is to be patient now and wait for next week movement. Today is the last day of the quarter, there may be some Big Boys winding their position for the quarter. That may be the reason why some large caps like Apple are down this couple of days.

Enjoy the weekend though after a terrific 3 months run.

Rgds
Daniel

Friday, 30 March 2012

Europe off to Strong Start- Good News for Dow

Dear Friends,

Good Opening from Europe. Let us see whether there will be good opening from US Market tonight. Chicago PMI will be released on 9.45pm tonight. If figure ok, some US market stocks likely to have a strong rebound. For our graduates that received my Stock Tips email, let us get ready...

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/europe-stocks-higher-led-by-bnp-paribas-total-2012-03-30

Market Sentiment Indicator for 30 Mar

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 75.30% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.64% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.40% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   


Energy Sentiment indicator: 60.46%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on S&P 500 energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!) 

Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Bad Miss in Jobless Claims and GDP again pulls the Market Down

Dear Friends,

Today is a Redful Day. 71% of stocks are declining compared to 16% advancing. Both Jobless Claims and GDP miss the expectations by analysts.

Let us hope that 2moro's Chicago PMI data and Monday's ISM data is good. If not, expect more backlash. Please hold your trigger since the major reports will be out 2moro. I am waiting for a good Jobless claim data today. But it sure disappoint.

The strategy now is to hold the trigger and wait for Manufacturing Data to determine the next move.

Rgds
Daniel

Thursday, 29 March 2012

Last Call on Investment Seminar by 曾渊沧博士

要穩中求變考功夫


前日,美國聯儲局主席伯南克說:「更寬鬆的貨幣政策可以改善失業率。」就憑這句話,道指周一急升 160點,收報 13242點,已經很接近再創 4年高位的水平,昨日港股也馬上跟着轉勢,恒生指數急升 378點,收市報 21046點。
 

在美股急升支持下,剛宣佈純利大降 45%的國壽( 2628)股價不跌反升,升幅更跑贏恒指,達 2.72%。

勝獅貨櫃( 716)昨公佈業績,純利增長 50%至 10.9億元,是航運股中表現最好的,不過,大家也不妨留意,勝獅貨櫃的股價走勢,與其他航運股在過去經常有相當顯著的差距,並非同步。


兗煤( 1171)前日公佈業績,不過不失,此股去年出現過炒作,股價創出歷史新高,目前石油價格高漲,煤與石油皆是主要的傳統能源,有一定的替代作用,石油價格高漲對煤價是利好消息,我也留意到兗煤派息相當不錯,周息率超過四厘。


推薦博客:投資錦囊

政府民望與經濟呈反比
中國解放後,經過前 30年的吃大鍋飯生活,結果人人不事生產,全民皆窮,鄧小平求變,大力的變,變出天翻地覆的新景象,今日中國富強了,部份人先富起來,湧到香港買豪宅,買名牌手袋、珠寶手錶。


不過,貧富差距擴大了,不滿的聲音也不少,曾蔭權治港七年,經濟發展確是不斷進步,可是曾蔭權民望卻與香港經濟發展呈反比,經濟增長加快,民意則下滑,理由也是貧富問題加深了,今日地產霸權的口號深入民間,仇富心態高漲。


梁振英的競選口號之一是「穩中求變」,不過,「穩」與「變」這兩個字本身就存在對立的,「求變」一定會帶來不明朗,不明朗帶來不穩定,要穩定就一定得少變,甚至不變,因此,「穩」與「變」本身就是一種平衡的藝術,不是很容易。


-------------------------------

曾渊沧博士投资讲座

《2012年第一季度投资讲座》


报名网站:
http://2012q1seminar-rbi.eventbrite.com/


Promotional Code:   rbi_si1q


(请在网页报名购票时注入 我们公司RBI优惠代码,享有$30优惠!)
(Pls click "promotional code" and enter the above quote to enjoy a $30 discount! )  

Price: $78
----------------------------------------------------------


As time is near, if you want to register, you may also find me on that day. Call me at 93676623 Daniel.


But please SMS me (93676623) your 

1) Name

2) Handphone
3) Email
4) Number of tickets?
5) Are you a vegetarian?  Lunch will be provided

US Stock Tip: Google and Apple might move up if today Jobless Claims is good

Dear Friends,

Today our focus will be on the US Jobless Claims report. Like what I mentioned in the last article, I have been hunting for opportunities after the drop yesterday. I particularly like to hunt for strong stocks resilient to drop in a down day.

Guess who I found?

Apple and Google. Yeah I entered yesterday. Google is on its way to $670 after clearing the $650 hurdle while Apple needs to clear its hurdle at $625 before marching on to $647. If today is good, my next step would be to put my stop loss at breakeven point, and let the stocks RUN... Barring any bad economical reports, it should.

Btw, April 11 marks the start of US earnings season for all US Stocks. Alcoa will be annoucing on that day. Within the next one month, all US stocks will start to pour in their earnings results.

And that means one thing, there will be one hell of a Run-up for some stocks before earnings. Options Graduates, time to load our weapons! Let us Pick some MONEY!!! Apple and Google are 2 of them.

Rgds
Daniel

Dissapointing Durable Goods Report Drag down Dow Jones


I have mentioned last week that there are 2 Enterprise Reports to watch out for this week. One of them is this Friday Chicago PMI, the other is today's Durable goods Report.

Today Durable Goods Report is a dissapointing 2.2% compared to forecast of 2.9%. That is one major reason why Dow is down by 80 points by noon.

But the main one this week is still Friday's Chicago PMI. 

Today I am looking at opportunities, but did not enter. Almost all stocks are dragged down by the report. But Google broke through of $650 to reach $658. It has potential to run, but because of the major market, it is down a bit by midday. Potential to run when market turns better.

Amazon takes a turn to test $200 support. See whether it lifts off this support! Great entry also if it does.

Our Market Sentiment Indicator on Energy Sector is Pinpoint Right!

Dear Friends,

Looking at our Daily Market Sentiment Indicator on Energy Sector, we already issued a warning on a trend change of Energy Sector from Bull to Bear. I am also amazed on the accuracy and sensitivity of our market sentiment indicator.

Today Energy Sector continues its terrible fall!

Read this article in marketwatch:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-tumble-as-energy-industrials-sag-2012-03-28?link=MW_home_latest_news

Wash your hands off energy related stocks now.

Regards
Daniel

Wednesday, 28 March 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 28 Mar

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.10% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.67% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.80% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   


Energy Sentiment indicator: 62.79%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on S&P 500 energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!) 

Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Singapore Stock Tip: Genting Strategy after gap up (By Lucia Chen)

Hi Friends,

Some friends are asking for the technical view for Genting Singapore as it gap up on Friday and closed at 1.74, please see below picture, we can see that Genting is currently close to his box top (around $1.8) which is also identified as the “Sell Zone”, in order to reach to the next level, we need:
 
1)      To break above $1.80 it will depend  on this few days price movement which is very significant

2)      For this few days as long as it can sustain above $1.70 support level and does not break below this level then the chance is high for it to break above $1.80

3)      $1.9 is the minor resistance, and $2.0 is what we call Psychological Resistance, which is also the resistance before which we would like to take note/ take profit before any further direction confirmation.

4)      If this few days the price not able to sustain above $1.70 and it does break below this level then next support will be $1.60.

Regards
ART Team Lucia Chen 
--------------------------------------------------

Btw, if you want to know how to be a FULL TIME Trader, please come for our Investment Seminar:

<<LIFE of a FULL TIME TRADER>>



on  29 Mar (Thu) English Session  OR  30 Mar (Fri) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) How a Full Time Trader Thinks and Strategise
2) Strategies and Techniques a Full time Trader might use
3) Habits of a Full time Trader
4) Money Management the key to a Full time trader's Success

Date: 29 Mar 2012, Thu     7pm - 10pm    (English)   OR
Date: 30 Mar 2012, Fri   7pm - 10pm    (Chinese 华文)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: KL Wong (ART Team Founder, Full time trader)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Singapore Stock Tip: Ezion my stock of the year so far!

Dear Friends,

I have a principle in Investment. For those who followed my articles, you may have known. "Fundamentals determine the Direction, and Technical determines the Support and Resistance.

Ezion is the company that I like the most in Singapore. It has the best fundamentals with terrific growth rate forecast the next 5 years. I am looking at opportunites of accumulating everytime. Today it ran up to $0.97 again. Of course, $1 is the strong resistance, psychological barrier.

Looking at this stock, I feel there might be some accumulation going on these few days. Breakout chance is high, but let us watch carefully again at $1 again.


Having said that, I would like to hold a course to teach everybody a bit about "Fundamentals Analysis" if got chance.

Regards
Daniel

Congratulations on those that follow my Starhub call!

Dear Friends,

Recently I posted on Starhub, remember?  This is the article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/singapore-stock-tip-starhub-broke-out.html

I mentioned about the breakout of $2.94. I said after breaking out of $3, it has a chance of hitting $3.17. I said put your stop loss at $2.90. It is moving towards it today! Today it ends at $3.09.


Let us see this stock... Do not enter already if you have not. It has flew... Let us see if it reach our target.

If you have entered early, time to shift your stop loss to your entry point or higher!

Regards
Daniel

Singapore Stock Tip: OSIM no signs of Big Money Leaving Yet

Dear Friends,

I last updated on OSIM a few days back. At this present moment, this stock did not show strong signs that the stock will go down. Currently I don't see BIG MONEY leaving the stock, which is good news. But until it breaks out of $1.33 with a Green up candle with Long Body, nothing is conclusive.

However, if the more days go past and yet the price still sticking to $1.30, the higher the chance of breakout. However do take note that suddenly BIG MONEY might also leave given a strong down day.

Now we just watch it, with double eyes! Treat it as educational purpose... no entry recommendation ok :)

Rgds
Daniel

Martket Talk from ART Team: KepLand has Triggered

Hi Friends,
 
Singapore share prices closed higher on Tuesday with the Straits Times Index up 44.41 points to 3,018.91. Volume was 1.81 billion shares worth $1.41 billion. Gainers led losers 293 to 102.
Yesterday US market surge up more than 100 after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Monday made clear that the central bank is in no rush to reverse its ultra-loose monetary policy that was still needed to reduce unemployment. “Bernanke's words that monetary policy will be loose will provide a short term catalyst for the markets”.
If you look at the major indexes, overall the trend is upwards but our view as mentioned previously is that the upside momentum is  likely to slow down. Thus, you must know what strategy to use that suit current market condition and one of the strategy we mentioned is swing trade.
 
If you have attended our seminar before you should have learned how to trade short-term using swing trade strategy. Today KepLand has triggered at $3.44, for those who has entered please set your stop-loss at $3.36. Target will be at $3.57 based on recent high as resistant. If you have Metastock you will be able to scan out this stock last night and be ready to enter today. See below/attached chart.
Regards
ART Team Andy

Tuesday, 27 March 2012

So much Optimism in US now after Bernanke Talk!

Dear Friends,

Yesterday is a fantastic day of playing stocks! Everything moves. Everything flies.

The stocks I watch so closely, almost all broke out. Today some stocks might gap up at the open after yesterday strong finish!

Like Amazon breaking out of $200, Lulu out of $75, Apple out of $600, Baidu out of $150, Mastercard out of $430, Nuskin out of $60. KLAC going for $55, INFA off $50. Las Vegas going after $60. Priceline out of $700 going to $750!


Just to name a few stocks I have been watching. My cash register can't stop ringing!


Some to take note also this week, that seems likely to breakout...

1) Google at $650 now
2) Bank of America at $10 now


Both are poised for a breakout soon...

If you think making money is tough, think again!!! It may be just that you are playing in the wrong market using the wrong tools!

The best market hands down is US Market!  Happy Good Friday n MERRY Christmas, Santa Claus is coming this week!!!

Monday, 26 March 2012

曾渊沧博士:反彈遇阻後市存憂

過去一個月,恒指兩度迫近 21800點而無功而回,並造成一個雙頂下跌的危機,過去一年,恒指兩度出現雙頂下跌的走勢,破頸位後再下跌的幅度不少,上周末,恒指已經非常迫近 20500點的頸線,走勢令人擔心。

不過,過去一個月,多隻藍籌股公佈業績,基本上都不錯,業績的增長拉低了藍籌股平均 PE值,對股市有一定的支持力,長期投資者,價值投資者是會考慮恒指平均 PE值的。


自從全國人大代表大會開幕至今, A股就反覆下跌, A股先受總理溫家寶的 7.5%經濟增長預測打擊,之後他再指內地樓價仍然遠遠未到合理價,加上滙豐中國 PMI值創 4個月新低,同時低於 50點,製造業處於收縮期,去年開始的反彈浪,的確面對很強的阻力。

 
推薦博客:投資錦囊

中資炒港地暫難定論
港股走勢同時受內地股市與美股所影響,近來 A股遇上阻力,港股有沒有力再往上升,就得靠美股了。


3 月 22日,農行( 1288)公佈業績,我認為不錯,但是市場都認為是不好, 3月 23日,農行股價下跌,市場聚焦於農行第四季盈利較第四季差,但是,為甚麼會變差?原因是撥備增加,好些企業、銀行喜歡在年終時,才一次過進行壞賬撥備, 因此,第四季撥備大增是正常的事,企業到了第四季,知道自己全年的盈利增長不錯,於是於年終日為企業增加撥備是好事,故幾家企業的業績依然以全年盈利為 主。


上星期有兩家中資企業,成功通過投標取得香港政府推出的兩幅土地,一些人大造文章,形容為類似 1997年前中資大舉入市炒起香港樓市,我認為這樣的推論是誇張了,僅僅兩宗的交易,下不了定論。


-------------------------------------------
曾渊沧博士投资讲座
 
《2012年第一季度投资讲座》

报名网站:
http://2012q1seminar-rbi.eventbrite.com/

给RBI优惠代码:   rbi_si1q


(请在网页报名购票时注入
我们公司RBI优惠代码,享有$30优惠!)
(Pls click "promotional code" and enter the above quote to enjoy a $30 discount! )


The Similarity between Hang Seng Index and STI



Did you see a similarity and how STI follows Hang Seng Index closely?

Market Sentiment Indicator for 26 Mar

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 75.24% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.18% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.40% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   


Energy Sentiment indicator: 62.79%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on S&P 500 energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!) 

Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

The reason why Dow posted its worst week for this year

Dear Friends,

Last week Dow posted the worst week of the year by dropping 150 points to end the week at 13081. Last week, we mentioned that housing reports dominate the economical calendar and will provide the direction for the Dow.

Let us look at the results from the housing reports.

Almost all fell below expectations. That is the reason why Dow drops 150 points.

As we begin to close out the month, this is an important week. We do not expect the Dow to move a lot ahead of next week. This week we shall take a look at some important enterprise reports. The reports you need to take note of are 1) Durable Goods report coming out on Wednesday, and 2) Chicago PMI coming out on Friday.

Let us see how these 2 reports' results are. Chicago PMI will affect ISM next Monday. Together, they will determine if enterprise reports are generally good for April.

So do take note.

Rgds
Daniel

Friday, 23 March 2012

曾渊沧博士:2012年第一季度投资讲座

各位朋友,

一个我很尊敬的老师,曾渊沧博士将在下个星期六,3月31日在新加坡DBS Auditorium举办一个大型讲座。我也会一起去。我鼓励大家报名!

报名网站:
http://2012q1seminar-rbi.eventbrite.com/

给RBI优惠代码:   rbi_si1q

(请在网页报名购票时注入我们公司RBI优惠代码,享有$30优惠!)
  (Pls enter our promotional code to enjoy a $30 discount! )


讲座叙述:
困扰了大家多时的欧洲债务危机是否能划上完整的句点?又或是它将会进一步延烧成为拖垮全球经济的最后一根稻草?
另一方面大西洋彼岸的美国经济,会否在选举年里乘势复苏呢?美联储又会否如外间所预期的推出第三季度的量化宽松政策,其对环球经济的走向又有何影响?
最后,亚洲经济龙头中国能否达到保八的目标,解决自身的债务问题,并避过一场灾难性的硬着陆呢?
莱佛士商学院的学员与客户现在将可以以优惠价购买讲座入门票!优惠有限,欲购从速!

日期:         2012年3月31日(星期六)
讲座时间:上午10时至下午5时
地点:         DBS讲堂,DBS大厦1座,3楼
票价:         $108     RBI 优惠价:$78
              (包括午餐和茶点)

主讲嘉宾:

1)     曾渊沧博士现任香港城市大学MBA课程主任、管理科学系副教授;他也是中原城市地产指数(CCI)研究小组的领导人;并曾经担任香港政府特别行政区中央政 策组顾问、深水埗区议会的区议员、江西省赣州市政府顾问及香港运筹学会主席。
曾博士在2001年荣获香港城市大学的最佳商业应用研究奖。他先后出版了13部著作和发表了3,000多篇文章,并为许多报章和杂志撰写专栏。他也经常被 中国、美国、香港及新加坡的电视、电台及媒体对经济及管理议题作评论。 
 2)    颜子伟曾担任《股市资讯》研究主任长达6年,他也曾经是AmFraser证券的高级副总裁(证券销售部)。颜子伟经常在电视U频道及电台958城市频道的节目中,对每日股市动态作评述。新加坡中华总商会在09年1月举办的讲座中,他也是主讲嘉宾之一。


Article by 曾渊沧:港股好消息出尽 破关乏力惹人担忧


今年农历新年的前后,股市出现一股炒龙B股热潮,不少人说今年是龙年,中国的出生率会特别高,利好婴孩用品股,当时我写了一篇文章,说龙年之后是蛇年,蛇年的出生率会下降,只能利好一年的股不值得炒,现在博士蛙(1698)出了事,害惨所有炒龙B概念股的人。

华润电力(836) 公布业绩,盈利44.5亿元,下跌9%,在中国投资这些与民生有关的行业是不容易的,因为价格一定受到控制,中央政府要压通胀,就不得不牺牲企业的利润, 去年,华润电力面对的最大问题是发电燃料成本急增29.4%,至今为止,燃料成本没有下降的迹象,除非电价可以向上调,否则压力仍在。

宽成品油定价杜绝黑市

美国道指已破去年高位,见13232点,这是2007年后的最高点,正在挑战2007年的历史最高点14279点,过去许多年,港股走势紧跟美股,现在多了中国股市的因素,受中国股市的影响越来越大,使到我们不得不关心中国国策,因为中国股市基本上是政策市,深受国家政策左右。

港股现在基本上是好消息出尽,但恒指依然冲不上去年8月5日裂口下跌的裂口位,的确令人担心。

全国人大闭幕后,总理温家宝到河南省一个农村访问时说,如果石油价格再上涨,国家将直接补贴农民,这意味着中国政府可能放宽成品油价格控制,面对石油价格飞涨而不让成品油价格上涨,只会带来黑市问题,放手让成品油提高价格,然后再由国家直接补贴有困难的群体,农民就是一个补贴的对象,私家车车主当然不会获补贴。如果政府放宽成品油的价格控制,中石油(857)与中石化(386)都会得益。

曾渊沧
大学教授

Avoid ALL Energy related US stocks Now! It is on fire...

Dear Friends,

At the start of March, our market sentiment indicator of S&P500 Energy stocks has started to turn Bearish. See how all these stocks start to turn their trend since early March. Most are falling madly now.



Avoid all energy related stocks now! And do take note of our daily market sentiment indicator of the market and sectors everyday. If NYSE stocks starts to turn bearish, get out of market immediately. Now it still remains bullish. But take this S&P500 Energy Sector as a lesson!

Regards
Daniel

Market Sentiment Indicator for 23 Mar

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 75.45% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.25% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.40% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   


Energy Sentiment indicator: 62.79%   (S&P Energy stocks has turned Bearish)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!) 

Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction in 1 month time. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Thursday, 22 March 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 22 Mar


New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.57% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.31% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 84.80% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09%   (S&P Energy stocks has turned Bearish)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction in 1 month time. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

胡立阳:卖股票的十大招数

1) 个股出现天量之后,下面10个交易日卻都没有更大的量来越过


2) 类股中排名一、二的龙头股双双走弱,连续大跌 3天或是在5个交易日之中有4天跌。
这是趋势走弱的征兆
 
3)股价连续两天开高走低,最后又是以两天来的最低点作收。
 (连续两天开高走低,明白显示上档有大批等著卖出的伏兵,若第二天股价又是收在二天來最低点,代表多头已潰不成军)

4)股价在上涨超过30%之后出现回档,然后10日移动平均线开始翻下。
(个股在上涨了30%以后,随时会出现较大幅度的回档, 10日綫因此翻下,上涨趋势可能终止)

5)单日爆出近期大量,当天股价收在最低点或是留下长上影线。
(暴量下跌,通常是大戶偷溜的征兆,筹码已开始松动)

6)周量爆出波段以来天量,股价却连两天明显走弱。
(周量最能代表短綫动能,当动能热到最高点,而股价却开始走低,表示曲终人散,短綫"派对"已经结束)

7)股价一周以来呈现剧烈震荡,但最后是以最低价作收。
(震荡剧烈表示多空均臽入苦战 ,收在最低价就是说明多头已经落败 ) 

8)股价由最高点快速下跌超过20%
(股价下跌超过20%, 常造成 "中期回档",整理期势必加长)

9)股价线型图首次出现右峰比左峰低的双峰图,然后跌破颈线。
(“头肩顶”、  “多重顶”与“双峰”是三种典型的下跌趋势図型, 其中又以双峰在近五年來最为常见) 

10寻找那些股票突破箱底的!
如果股票箱形整理一段时间,就有规律。突破箱底了,下的可能性大大增加

Article by Hu Li Yang: 10 Ways to Sell a Stock


1When the Stock has a sudden surge in volume, there isn’t any bigger volume coming up for the next 10 days

2The sector no. 1 and no. 2 stock starts to become weak. eg: Big fall for 3 consecutive days or 4/5 days drop
This is the sign that the sector is turning weak
 
3Stock price open high and going lower for 2 consecutive days. The day ends with at lowest point.
(Stock price open high and dropping for 2 days indicates a lot of people are waiting to short. If stock price ends 2nd day at lowest point indicates Bulls lost the battle)

4When stock moves up by more than 30%, then 10 day Moving Average starts to turn down.
(When stock increase by >30%, consolidation can happen anytime. If 10day MA turns down, stock trend may stop)

5A sudden big volume on a day. Stock price ends at lowest or having an inverted hammer with a long tail
(When sudden volume surge with falling price normally indicates Big players are leaving, price is shaking)

6A surge in volume for a single week, price starts to go weak for 2 consecutive days
(Weekly volume represents short term momentum of stocks. When the momentum is at its highest point, and yet  stock price drops, it means people are leaving, short term “party” is over.)

7For the week, the stock swings wildly, but ends at the lowest point
(Violent swing represents a strong battle of bulls and bears, when price ends at lowest means that bulls have lost the battle.)

8Stock price falls more than 20% swiftly from the highest point.
(Stock price dropping more than 20% often means mid term consolidation, consolidation duration must be longer)


9Stock price has a double top pattern, with the right top less than the left. Then it falls below the neckline.
(Head and shoulder, Multiple Top and Double Top are 3 patterns that shows falling of price. Among them, double top is the most common these 5 years)

10When a stock breaks a box pattern to the downside. When in a box, it has a pattern. Once a box bottom is broken, tendency of going down is strong

Congratulations on our Graduates who went in on Google! Exactly hit my target $647!

Dear Friends,

I exited today on Google on a $1995 profit (20.2% ROI) when it reached my target at $647! I told everybody to enter when it break out of $625 and exit at $647, remember?

This is my result:




Check my last article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/us-stock-tip-google-and-mastercard.html

Chart of Google for your studies:



I predicted 3 days ago, that $647 is the resistance. Today at midday, it proves my prediction is true. Highest reached is $647.50 b4 retreating. Btw, this is not a resistance figure you can find by studying historical price. This is my proprietary method of predicting the resistance even without looking at charts!

Of course, you may question me, "what if it breaks through?" I agreed it may, but please always sell first!

As a short term trader, Always Remember to sell first when resistance is reached. If it breaks through, then buy again to avoid a fall. You can also buy in at a lower price if you want after it retreats a bit! You may not get it right all the time, but avoiding risk is the main key in trading.


That is my philosophy in trading. In the long run, you will benefit from this! That has been my experience as a Trader all these years!

Rgds
Daniel

----------------------------------------

Btw, if you want to know how I make $ day in day out, and making such high returns, please come for our Investment Preview:

<<What is Options and How to Profit 100% ROI from the stock market? >>


on  27 Mar (Tue) English Session  OR  28 Mar (Wed) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
2) Outlook of Singapore and US market
3) Top 5 stocks You must watch out for next month

Date: 27 Mar 2012, Tue     7pm - 10pm    (English)   OR
Date: 28 Mar 2012, Wed   7pm - 10pm    (Chinese 华文)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS
<Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Wednesday, 21 March 2012

Why didn't Dow Jones increase these few days?

Dear Friends,

If you notice Dow Jones these 2 days, it remains stagnant. Yesterday it drops by 60 points, 100 points at the open, slowly recovering. Today on Tuesday, it also remains in the red, slightly 6 points down.

The major reason is the miss in forecast by the housing reports. As I have mentioned, March is probably a mixed month, do not expect it to move up fast ans furious. Housing reports have generally shown a miss in forecast so far. We have more to come this week.

But the good news is that having missed the forecast figure, Dow Jones still hang in there. It did not drop a lot, which is always a great sign of confidence in the market. It seems to be waiting for a good report before moving again. This is a signal of resilience.

If u have position in the market at a loss, hang in there. If you have a profit, might as well take some off the table, in this Dull Market...

Rgds
Daniel

Market Outlook by ART Team

Hi Friends,
 
Breaking News:  US housing starts fell in February, but permits for future construction jumped to their highest level since October 2008, according to a government report on Tuesday that showed steady improvement in the housing market.
 
STI up 12points today at 3002, volume was 1.08billion shares worth 994.80million. Gainers led losers 208 to 146. Volume remain low compare to past few weeks. At the point of writing this email, Marketwatch’s headline news is “DOW takes triple digit dip”,  down more than 100 points. With this kind of dip, we probably see a bad day in our market tomorrow, so what we do now is to identify which stock is the underperforming.
 
As there is still not signal for shorting yet, these stocks is just to rise your awareness. If you want to learn about CFD please come to our Seminar this Thursday and Friday, details below.
 
Weak Trend Stock: Wilmar, Olam, Biosensor (see attached charts)
 
Trading strategy wise now, STI will continue to trade between 2906 to 3036 area, as we can see the buying opportunity is getting lesser and lesser from our ART Position trade system, the system is telling us to stay at sideline for now. Whether the market is going to continue to rise or to go lower, we urge all to timely review your portfolio. Now is a good time to do a review of your stocks, so that you can have more stake in the right stocks that is making money rather than holding the stocks that is losing money.
 


ART Team
This week seminar and topic will be Swing-trade strategy using CFD:
Date: 22 Mar (Thursday, English) or 23 Mar (Friday, Chinese)
Time: 7pm - 9.30pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541),
   Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Andy Yew (Stock Trainer, Trader, A.R.T systems co-founder)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623



我队展开讲座会,主题是CFD策略:
日期:322(星期四, 英文讲座)   323(星期五,·华文讲座)
时间:晚上7点至9.30点半
地点:141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541)
             丹戎巴葛地铁站G出口,· 直走80米,· 交通灯对面 
主讲人: Andy Yew (Stock Trainer, Trader, A.R.T systems co-founder)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
 

Singapore Stock Tip: OSIM - BUY or SHORT??


Huge volume these 2 days... in watchful zone of 5cts now!

STI: Will it break up of 3030 or break down of 2910?

Dear Friends,

I have mentioned that it isn't easy trading the market in March mainly because it is like a sideway month to trade as I have explained in my article at the beginning of the month. I still do not expect Dow Jones to go up a lot like 500 points though we have a good Jobs report this month.

For Singapore stocks, I think it seems like a tougher market as STI struggles to stand above 3000 points firmly. After it exceeds, it begins to drop after a few days. This is never a sign of firmness. It has been in a Box Pattern fluctuating between 2910 and 3030 for the past one and the half months. This is a sign of consolidation in a tight Box Pattern as shown in the charts.

We shall see whether it breaks up of 3030 or breaks down of 2910. This month is coming to an end next week. Let us see if we get an answer by this week? If not, I think we may have the answer by end of next week.

Like what I emphasize in the beginning of the month. I hope that this run will continue, but eventually it will end. I hope that it ends in a peaceful way instead of a big drop. Hence, I would rather there be a small correction instead of a big one. The longer the run, the harder it falls.

If next month employment reports cannot meet the expectations after good reports all these months, this might be the consolidation that I am seeking. Before the next run-up again.

Oil chance of reaching $110 again?

Dear Friends,

Oil has remained in a Box again for the last 1 month. Probably going for $110 again... let us see.

If it goes above $110, not easy, but if, market makers may make use of it to scare the market. 


Tuesday, 20 March 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 20 Mar

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.73% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.04% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 84.40% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09%   (S&P Energy stocks has turned Bearish)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction in 1 month time. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 
 
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

How is the US market this week?

Dear Friends,

US Dow Jones 30 has stood above 13000 points but yet STI drops below 3000 points again today. Sad to say, we have to wait a little longer for STI. So Stubborn. If US rises this week amid no bad news, I believe STI still has a strong chance of standing above this figure. Just be patient and pick the right stocks.

The focus on US this week will be on housing data. Look at the reports coming up.


It is Housing from Monday to Friday. Let us see how it is. Housing has reached its bottom recently, so there may be some good figures coming in. The thing is Housing sector is closely linked with Banking sector.

One of the major reasons why Banking sector has been on a blistering pace is because Housing recent months has bottomed and start to rise. Banks are able to sell away their assets they hold after the property bubble. Cash is coming into the banks, people are buying houses, new or old.

So if housing is ok, I expect the banking sector to continue its run. However be careful that banking sector are in very overbought region. Just in case it breaks down, put your stop loss tight.

Rgds
Daniel

US Stock Tip: Apple is back with First Dividends in Long long time!

Dear Friends,

Coincidentally, today afternoon I told a friend I waiting for Apple to announce dividend. This stock will rise if it does that. And tonight we have it. It increased by $10, now price is at $596.

It has a good chance of breaking $600 towards ex-dividend date, barring any downturn in the market. Apple didn't die as I told everybody yesterday.

Pls take a look at my article:

http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/congrats-to-those-that-went-in-on-apple.html

In fact I also suggested everyone to take note of Apple after it breaks $590, right? Now it is at $596.

Now it has a good chance it might break $600, though at the open it gaps up to $600 before turning down. Once it broke, $620 becomes my next target. But exercise caution from now onwards with good money management!

Remember making money isn't tough if you know the ways!

Rgds
Daniel

US Stock Tip: Google Flying off $625 as told yesterday!

Dear Friends,

I hope you did not miss this tremendous opportunity I mentioned yesterday! Did you make money from Google fly off? Go in with options and you make much more!

This is timing to perfection. I just ask everybody to see this stock, and today it flies!

Check this out:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/us-stock-tip-google-and-mastercard.html

This is today's chart on Google.

Did you see the increase of $10 within 2 hours? Holy cow, it is flying towards $647... that is my near term target. But remember to shift your stop loss higher now if you make $, just in case market tanks.

But let me tell you, this stock has room to move still. Having said that, I was late on the breakout as I am teaching in a class...ha, miss it abit. But I encourage you to come for our Stocks Training. I will teach you how I select stocks. It is REALLY EASY STUFF!

Mastercard hasn't broken out, let us wait and see...

Rgds
Daniel

Monday, 19 March 2012

Congrats to those that went in on APPLE! Made US$17,212, 294% ROI in 5 days

Dear Friends,

Did u make $ from our call on Apple before they launch their products on their retail outlets on 16th Mar? This is purely playing with fundamental news! This can only happen in the US market.

Profit: US$17,212    294% ROI in 5 days!   (I used $5851 only)


By the way, I am able to make such amount because I bought Apple Options instead of stocks. I encourage everybody to learn about options. Join our Free seminar on options below.

If I just bought stock at $540 when I enter, I only make $55 as I exited when stock is at $595, a 10% return. Now I make 294% with Options.

This is the graph of Apple:


Do not think that Apple is over! 1 month later is its EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT. I suspect after consolidation, it will have a run-up. Now I would like it to fall as fast and hard, no kidding...

Watch again closely! Let us make some money again!

Pls come for our US Stock Market preview to learn about how to play US Stocks.  

----------------------------------------------------------------


 1) <<What is Options and How to Profit 100% from the stock market using options? >>


on  27 Mar (Tue) English Session  OR  28 Mar (Wed) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
2) Outlook of Singapore and US market
3) Top 5 stocks You must watch out for next month

Date: 27 Mar 2012, Tue     7pm - 10pm    (English)   OR
Date: 28 Mar 2012, Wed   7pm - 10pm    (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS
<Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...