Thursday, 9 March 2017

3月9日 Radio FM 958 投资访谈:石油大掉影响全亚洲市场;新加坡海指最好不要跌破20天均线!

·        美国石油大掉影响全亚洲市场

美国道琼斯指数昨晚闭市在20855点,掉了69点。

昨天华尔街的焦点不在股票,反而在石油的走势。石油昨晚从$53三个小时里面掉到$50,掉了接近$3。这也是石油这8个月以来最大的跌幅。这也是为什么海指今天掉了24点,恒生指数掉了260点,上证指数掉了28点的最大原因。

石油会跌是因为昨晚11点半美国公布的石油库存数据突然飙高。分析师预测库存数据是一百一十万。真实数据是八百二十万。这个报告视乎显示石油的库存没减,反而飘长了。

我们在节目中曾经有提醒过听众石油在$53-$55有巨大的阻力,暂时不鼓励大家看石油或石油领域的股票。就算股票有赚钱也鼓励大家套利。我们接下来这几个月还是觉得石油的价格还会面对相当的压力。毕竟美国的页岩油(Shale Oil) 公司现在也开始大量生产石油。

下个星期美国将讨论会不会增加利率。有些投资家就问我如果利率起会不会驶到股市大跌。我的看法是不会。原因是联储局主席耶伦这几个月都一直跟我们说3月起利率的可能性很大。几天前她又提起。我觉得她已经预备全世界起利率的可能,因此就算起,股市也不会因此有什么大掉。

我认为这几个星期华尔街关注的并不是利率起的问题,而是特朗普的许多承诺。特朗普曾今答应美国人会把税收降低,会花一万亿钱来建设施。这些钱肯定是印出来的。这几周美国股市好像疯了,因为每个人都很期待美国终于又要印钱了。

自从2014年底,美国就不再印钞票。这一次特朗普的承诺驶到这两年要死不活的美国股市猛涨。当然我们也必须关注特朗普是否真的说到做到。

暂时我认为美国的股市已经超买了,相当高了。我鼓励大家暂时不要看美国市场,等待回调。短期投资的朋友可以的话先套利。

45月一向都是美国下滑的周期,投资股票都要小心谨慎。


·        新加坡海指最好不要跌破20天均线!

海指现在是3122点左右。

从技术图表来分析,海指这两个月的走势一直都在20天的移动平均线上面行走。最好不要跌破。一跌破,可能海指会来一个调整。

目前20天的均线价格就在3100点。3100点就是暂时海指的重要支持。

我们曾今有在节目中提过3150点是海指的下一个阻力。3300点是今年海指最大的阻力。我们要看是否接下来几天海指有力冲破3150点。

这几个月新加坡很多领域的股票都有跑。就连很久不动的转运,房地产和工业领域的公司都开始跑了。

我的看法是新加坡的股市还是会跟住美国的股市。美国上了这样多,有可能在45月有一个调整。因此我认为如果短期投资朋友可以的话,在这个月准备套利,等待4-5月的调整。


·        中国上证3100以下值得看!

中国上证指数大概在3213点。我们两个星期前在节目中有提过上证指数在3250-3300点是一个非常巨大的阻力区。两个星期前当指数在3250点以上的时候,我们鼓励大家套利。之后上证就确实面对很大的压力。今天也掉了20多点。

中国今年是我比较看好的一个股市。原因是中国的经济在去年底已经到底了。去年一整年的GDP都保持在6.7%。最后一个季度的数据显示6.8%GDP已经没有在跌了。我认为这几年中国政府采纳的很多的刺激政策已经奏效了。更何况最近政府又说接下来也要投资几万亿来建设施。我认为股市开始慢慢从去年的阴影走出来了。


如果今年股市有机会调整我认为都是时机进场。股市如果跌回3100点以下我都认为便宜。


Tuesday, 7 March 2017

2 Fundamental Reasons why you should not miss this Stock Rally in 2017!!!

Dear Friends,

Recently the stock market rally has been great! STI ran from 2763 to 3158 in a matter of 4 short months. We believe that fundamentally there are 2 reasons behind this rally.



Reason 1: US printing money again!!!

If some of you noticed, Donald Trump recently announced that he will ask Congress for a $1 Trillion dollar infrastructure bill.

1 TRILLION DOLLARS is by the way a lot of money!!! US being one of the most indebted nations in the world, surely is not digging into their cash reserves to cough out the money.

The only way is to PRINT!

If congress really pass through this bill, it would be like the 4th QE package US has ever since the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2009.

History has shown that when US prints money, the optimism will push the stock market for at least 6 months.

That means the market can't drop if congress approves!

2017 now looks optimistic given this Printing Money Promise.



Reason 2: China GDP has bottomed!

China started to print money also in 2014 and we are finally seeing the bottoming of China GDP last year! That was in fact what we predicted last year.

Check out this article in Shares Investment last year: 

<Daniel Loh - Why China is Attractive end 2016>
http://aspire.sharesinv.com/27597/daniel-loh-why-china-is-attractive-end-2016-despite-these-3-concerns/

Below GDP annual growth rate shows the bottoming is happening:



There is every reason to believe that China GDP might grow from 6.8% to 7% by the end of this year! 

This will mark the first Rise in GDP figures ever since year 2010.


With optimism now in both US and China Economies, we do believe that the stock market still has a chance to roar forward. 

Any drop in the stock market is a chance to enter position.

Our job as an investor is to make sure we do our homework

Hence we would like to invite you to join us in an investment seminar to know the potential stocks you can look at in 2017!

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Join Andy Yew stock seminar to find out what are the Strong Singapore Stocks to watch out for in 2017!!! 


To Register : pls click Here
https://www.eventbrite.sg/e/discover-the-art-of-short-term-trading-tickets-32525887806?aff=es2


-----------------

What you will learn in the seminar:

✔   What are the Good Fundamentally Strong Stocks to watch this Quarter?

✔   Learn how do we Spot the Bottom of STI at 2860 on the 27th Dec?

✔   How do you find the Bottom of any Stock Index and Industry Index that Crashed?

✔   How do you use Trend Following Indicators to Identify the Short Term Trend of a Stock?

✔   What is Short term Correction and How do you buy a Stock that corrected?

✔   4 Behavior Patterns of a Stock that Always Repeat itself


Venue: 

10 Anson Road, International Plaza
#34-07
Singapore 079903
( Nearest MRT Tanjong Pagar )


Fee: Free

Speaker: 
Mr. Andy Yew (DL Investment Singapore Stock Trainer, 938 LiveFM and FM958 Stock Analyst)



To Register : pls click Here





Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...