Thursday, 28 February 2013

SECRETS of Forex seminar - Making money Consistently even when Stock market Drop

Do you want to trade with a consistent formula and system

Manual Trading and Experience sharing by Forex Leading Trainer Lionel Liew!

 
You shall learn

1) What does it take to be a good Forex Trader

2) Does indicator works in Forex? What is no indicator trading?
2) How to generate a passive income form it
3) Money management practices needed in Forex

Date:  2 Mar 2013, Saturday
Time:  2pm - 5pm
 
Speaker: Lionel Leow 
                RBI forex system founder
                Forex Portfolio Manager
                
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Hp><Date><No of seats> to 93676623

2 up days bring up Cheer, but I am still wary

Dear Friends,

2 wonderful up days wipe out all of the losses in the US market, but I am still having by reserve on this bullish sign. Looking at the market sentiment indicator, it does not show me a sign that things are changing. In fact, I am looking at a possibility of another sector that is in danger of turning bearish is the ALL IMPORTANT Technological sector. It is 0.36% from turning bearish.

And if tech sector really turns bearish, I am not going to give my vote of this bullish run anymore. One more triple digit fall might be what it takes to trigger it.

I am watching by the sidelines for now... until a clearer picture. Let us first see the ISM report this Frday. Just holding on to existing position but not opening again for now is my strategy for now.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Market Sentiment Indicator for 28 Feb

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 75.26% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)    
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.94% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 79.00% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 67.44%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 22 Feb)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 87.65% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 74.36% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 79.25% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 22 Feb)
 
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Wonderful triple digit rally for 2 days makes this month a YOYO!

Dear Friends,

After a 200 points drop 2 days ago, the market rebounded in the perfect fashion, with a triple digit double. Like basketball a triple double is something to look forward to. Thanks to Bernanke again, the master of market psychology! This guy knows how to manipulate the market or Wallstreet just loves this ex economics innocent looking teacher! He saves the market from tumbling into a Italy frenzy.

It is almost certain that everything this guy appears in congress that he will bring a bit of confidence back into the market.

Well, my opinion remains the same. Sideway February. The market is shaky, let us see how the market reacts when it touch all time high, If it does! It has to depend on this week reports or next week important employment figures.

Let us gauge the market. Still, I must assure you that market is peaking and we have to take precaution in march. It might be march or early april for the turn. February is still sideway to me.

But kudos to the market sentiment. I must say a fast rebound after a 200 points move is still a feat!

Well done, Bernanke! But will there be another savior next month???

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 26 February 2013

US Energy sector is going down; Fear rises

Dear Friends,

Yesterday morning, we mentioned that Energy sector is going down. Yesterday it proves. We are inch perfect in our predictions. Our market sentiment indicator shows that Energy stocks are turning bearish fast. Look at how the Energy sector ETF, XLE is doing yesterday night. It is bringing the index down. Big Long Red Candle down. It will be the leading and first sector to go down this time.


Consider finding some energy stocks to short to hedge against your bullish position. And I encourage you to profit take some if you have bullish positions at hand.

With the VIX volatility up 30% 2 times in the last 4 sessions, I really think this is a sign that the market has become uncertain and panic seeping in, and be prepared the market might be going down soon. Btw, VIX is the study of how volatile the S&P 500 is, and it is normally inversely correlated with stock market.


But I also did mention, the real downwards momentum have not start yet. Remember, March , may be the critical month to watch!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Monday, 25 February 2013

A couple of sectors turning bearish in US

Dear Friends,

A couple of sectors has turned bearish in US market. Look at our market sentiment indicator.
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/02/market-sentiment-indicator-for-25-feb.html

Healthcare sector and Energy sector have both turned bearish last Friday on 22 Feb 2013. This serves as a caution for us to cut down on our long position exposure and reiterates our view that the market may be in for a consolidation in March or early April. If S&P 500 stocks or Technological sector or Energy sector turns down too, that will really signal the end of this bullish run.

Market moves in cycles. If you want to make BIG money, pray that the market drops soon! Buying at this high point now can only serve as a SMALL Ang Bao.

Our Trading Advice:
1) For those of us who still have a lot of long positions and you are a short term trader, our advice is to profit take some of it.
2) For those who invest in long term (2-3years), get really your money to buy some when your stock falls.
3) For those who have Patience and Cash and not inside market yet, you will have your chance 3 months later.
4) For those who still wants to go in, select individual stocks carefully.
5) For those who wants to insure your portfolio, start to locate some stocks good for shorting or some defensive stocks good for hedging.

Friday's 100 points up move in Dow Jones to me may be just an illusion. This market just needs a catalyst for a downside move. Perhaps this Friday's ISM or next Friday's Non Farm Payroll is a curtain raiser.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Market Sentiment Indicator for 25 Feb

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.86% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)  
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.87% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 81.00% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 74.42%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 22 Feb)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 87.65% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 79.49% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 79.25% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert since 22 Feb)
 
 

The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Friday, 22 February 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Has STXOSV finally bottomed?

Dear Friends,

It does seems like STXOSV may have bottomed at around $1.25. Let us see if it rises after 2 great contracts secured, news released at 14 or 15 Feb. Consolidation for 3 days already...

STX OSV: Secures Contract For One Offshore Subsea Construction Vessel For DOF Subsea.

15 Feb 2013 10:23
STX OSV Holdings Limited is pleased to announce that it has secured a new contract for the design and construction of one Offshore Subsea Construction Vessel for DOF Subsea. The vessel will be of OSCV 12 design, developed by STX OSV in Ålesund, Norway. It will have a total length of approximately 161 meters and a beam of 32 meters. Delivery is scheduled from STX OSV Søviknes in 1Q 2015. The hull will be delivered from STX OSV Tulcea in Romania...

STX OSV: Secures Contract For One Offshore Subsea Construction Vessel For Farstad Shipping.

15 Feb 2013 10:22
STX OSV Holdings Limited is pleased to announce that it has secured a new contract for the design and construction of one Offshore Subsea Construction Vessel for Farstad Shipping. This newbuilding, designed for subsea and Inspection, Maintenance and Repair operations, is part of Farstad' Shipping's fleet development within the subsea market. The value of the contract amounts to approximately NOK 800 million...


Price Now: $1.315
Target Price 1: $1.39-$1.40
Target Price 2: $1.47-$1.50

Stop Loss: $1.27

Thursday, 21 February 2013

A triple digit fall in DOW is always something to ponder

Dear Friends,

U.S. stocks fell 108 points on Wednesday, retreating from multiyear highs, after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting illustrated differing views over continued stimulus.Some of Fed board probably think that the goverment stimulus should not continue amid the strong stock market.

This is the report by marketwatch.com to explain this:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-indexes-edge-lower-2013-02-20

Yesterday is the second triple digit loss in Feb and I am paying close attention to it. You can already sense a bit of tension in the market. This did not appear in January at all. As Dow approach 14198 historical high, tension is up a notch. A second indicator I would use to gauge the psychology of the market is a triple day fall. A triple day fall is a sign that market psychology has wavered. Just be careful a bit. Ever since the start of the year, there has not been a triple day drop yet in Dow, which signifies a great bullish run.

Do remember that understanding the market psychology is important in trading. Stock selection isn't the most important. Do take note that entering position now has to be a hit and run. Short term trading is preferred to long term. Money management should be tighter. Diversify some of your portfolio to defensive stocks may be a wise move.

Having said that , I do not think the market will tumble fast yet. It might remain sideways still for Feb. My concern is first week of March with the employment reports and manufacturing reports coming.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Wednesday, 20 February 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Did you buy Ezion?

Dear Friends,

Did you remembered that on the 3rd Feb, we issued a guidance on Ezion? At that time, it was $1.815.
We mentioned our first target is $1.89, and 2nd is $1.97-$2.

Article:<< Congrats on OSIM!  Ezion next??>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/02/singapore-stock-tip-congrats-on-osim.html

Now it hits our TP2 (Target Profit 2) at $1.975. I would suggest liquidating some or all of your positions before its earnings 2moro if you are a short term trader.


As a short term trader, I don't like RISK. And holding on to a stock which ran before its earnings involves risk. Yes, I might miss the gap up, but I would avoid a possibility of a gap down towards the downside too! After 10 years of market volatility in the US market holding through and "GAMBLING" over earnings results, I have the habit of selling a stock before its earnings. If earnings are good, there will be more opportunities to buy it back.

Having said that, for long term traders, Ezion continues to be a good stock. You may want to wait for its next earnings results before deciding your next move.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Malaysia Stock Tip: KHSB selling drying up, about to move up?

Dear Friends,

A lot of dicussion has been going on for this company on a takeover at RM0.76. I think after the selloffs of the retailers who has waited for 1 year to sell off their stock, this stock might be poised to go up to RM0.76 as the takeover news is concrete after appearing in the newspapers.

Price now: RM0.635
Target: RM0.75
Stop loss: RM0.59


Btw, do take note of understanding takeover rumor. When takeover rumor occurs, stock might still go down for a few months as the takeover owner might accumulate shares in the public secretly. The owner is not afraid of pushing the price down as he knows in the end, once the news is out in the public the price will shoot right back, thereby reducing his losses along when he accumulate.

But for KHSB, the news is out in the public news, so it is not rumors already.

Rgds
Daniel

Tuesday, 19 February 2013

FM958 Radio Interview on 15th Feb 2013 (Chinese)

Dear Friends,

Thank you to my friend Eric who uploaded the video on you tube, and my friend Simon for recording, This is my interview with FM95.8 DJ  Di Cong.

Please click on the you tube link below:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QaZEpy5IamM&feature=youtu.be

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tips: The Myanmar plays still alive with Interra Resources and Yoma

Dear Friends,

A couple of Myanmar play stocks pausing yesterday and today, but still with potential after finding strong supports (also accumulation band)

1) Yoma
Support at $0.80
Now $0.85
Target profit 1: $0.92
Target Profit 2: $0.97-$1.02
Stop Loss: $0.79


2) Interra Resources
Support at $0.50
Now: $0.53
Target Profit 1: $0.59-$0.60
Target Profit 2: $0.67-$0.70
Stop loss: $0.49


Stocks to watch out for if you go Long (by my trading partner Andy Yew)

Dear Friends

Below is an article link of my good trading partner Andy Yew. Some stocks he listed out if you consider going long.

Check out this link:
http://www.andy-yew.com/2013/02/bullish-stock-to-watch-if-you-go-long.html

Andy Yew will be having a seminar  this Thursday(English) and Friday (华语). Please join him to find out what stocks to look at in March!

Click on this link below to find out more about the seminar....
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/free-spore-stocks-seminar.html

Property Seminar: CEOs SECRETS on Stocks and Property

OUR SEATS are FULL!  OUR REGISTRATION IS CLOSED!   Thank you!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Friends,

We are launching our first Property Course! We are inviting All who are interested in properties, whether residential, commercial or industrial to participate in this seminar. In these 2 days seminar, we shall share with you on investing in Stocks as well

In this seminar you shall learn:

1) How do you protect yourself from the recent cooling measures in residential property if you are an owner?
2) How do you seek a good commercial property which is virtually free from any cooling measures now and is RED HOT now?
3) 5 tips and 3 strategies you must know when investing in properties
4) What is industrial property and why are the CEOs still looking to invest in them?
5) REITS market and its future
6) Secret of the Property market cycle before the next General Election in 2016
7) How are you going to build a portfolio of properties in 5 years and RETIRE Financially FREE?
8) Making use of Banks and Leverage to the fullest advantage
9) Passive Income Strategies that is going to BLOW your mind in Stocks and Properties
10) Lowering your risks in property

Date: Wed, 27th Feb 2013 and Thu, 28th Feb 2013 (2 Full Days)
Time: 9am - 6pm
Venue: 141 Cecil St, Tung Ann Association Building 
#07-02 S(069541), Tanjong Pager MRT Exit G,
Walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

FEE: ONLY $98 per person
LIMITED SEATS!! SIGN UP NOW!!

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><No of Seats> to 93676623 and we will contact you.


Any inquiries, pls contact 9367 6623 to ask.

Attached is the brochure:
Please Click on brochure, right click and save the image to see the brochure.


Monday, 18 February 2013

It is a sideway feb market... sigh

Dear Friends,

Just when everybody is celebrating about the everyday run in January, we advised everybody that February is likely to reach a peak, followed by a sideway month.

In January in a radio interview by DJ Di Cong in FM958, we already issued our prediction.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9MtBIzo-eY&feature=youtu.be

In February, we also wrote a few articles stating our viewpoint.
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/02/fantastic-jan-followed-by-sideways-feb.html
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/02/market-outlook-on-drop.html 

So far everything has been going to plan. Dow has been traveling in a tight tight range although I do not think the peak is reached in Feb yet.

Do not believe that this run can last forever. Market is never a merry land, dream on...

Do not believe in analysts telling you about how bullish they think it is for 2013. These people are nowhere to be seen when fiscal cliff occurs.

Do not believe in your remisiers telling you to buy here and there. 95% of remisiers don't warn you. There are still 5% good hearted ones. The irony is 99% of you don't trust the 5% who warns you. ;) Find a good and experienced one is important to your success!



Let us see if March drops. We believe that there is a good chance. Latest is beginning of April. We hope it drops and drops big so that we can enter BIG again!!! In the meantime, you can still buy individual stocks and play only short term while the market is sideways. That really puts your trading skillset to the test.

If not, JUST Get your CASH READY and hope the market drops in March or beginning April!!!

Daniel
www.danielloh.com

美国股市创5年高点,是否能创历史新高14198点?

(写给資匯周刊报纸的文章)


美国道琼斯指数从1116日的低点12,471点跑上来,在这周到达了5年的高点14038点。这个3个月的上升确实带动了全市的股市。现在很多朋友都期待是否道指能创下200710月到达的历史高点14198点。因为股市很好的表现,很多投资朋友都开始投资一些股票。

我们的判断是2月份道指可能会到一个高峰然后进入一个34个星期的横摆阶段。横摆完后可能就会开始下滑。我们估计下滑很有可能在3月或4月头。下滑幅度估计会是接近10%。根据我们的研究,历史新高是一个不容易突破的数字。道指必须经过一些波折才有机会突破,因为它是一个心理很关键的价位。就算突破历史新高了,大家需谨慎,股市很有可能好像塑胶圈一样被拉回。股市永远都有个周期,有上有下,有起有落。今年的股市也不可能会是一条直线往上冲。中间一定有一些小恐慌让股市休息整理再往上爬。

请大家看一下道指的图表:


大家能发现道指这二月的表现不比一月来得强,几乎进入了一个横摆的阶段。原因有几个。一是美国第四季度非常好的盈利报告周期已经差不多结束了。从基本面来讲没有利好的消息使道指继续跑多一千点。二是道指已经接近历史新高,必定有些压力。我们觉得二月股市还不会掉因为股市的气势还很强,你要他马上掉也不容易。需要差不多一个月的时间。

很多投资朋友会输钱的原因是不会抓时段(Market Timing)。这个时候进场,如果投资数额开始放大就不是很明智的决定。现在我们觉得因该是减少投资数目的时候。有些投资长线的朋友这个时候进场投资长线我们也觉得不是很正确。现在的策略因该好比打游击战,玩短线,快进快出。投资长线的朋友必须等待股市大掉的时候才进场,这样才捡到便宜。也许四月或五月当股市跌深了再进场也不迟。反正如果是长期,就有耐心等待一下。

马来西亚股市展望

我们曾在文章中写过马来西亚KLCI在大选前跌5%就会止跌了。上个星期我们的确又见到这个现象。让我们来看一下KLCI的图表。
 





KLCI在三个星期前狂跌两天到1602点过后就有一个快速反弹。上个星期跌倒1602点,从最高点1699点跌了接近6%又有了一个反弹。现在KLCI1634点。大家可以看得到每跌5%都似乎很快的有一个技术性的反弹。我们也相信这个现象会持续。

但是我们也鼓励大家如果大选日期确定了,请在选举日期前把手头中的股票先卖掉,避免任何选举的结果影响股市。

骆伟嵩是名投资教育家。您可在www.danielloh.com预览他的投资心得

Some Earnings Dates for Singapore Stocks in Feb 2013

1-Feb-13 Chosen Half Year Results
1-Feb-13 HPH Trust US$ Full Year Results
4-Feb-13 ChinaEssen 3rd Quarter Results
4-Feb-13 AsiaEntH Full Year Results
5-Feb-13 SIA Engg 3rd Quarter Results
5-Feb-13 Karin Half Year Results
6-Feb-13 Far East HTrust Full Year Results
6-Feb-13 VICOM Full Year Results
6-Feb-13 Ellipsiz 2nd Quarter Results
6-Feb-13 GLP 3rd Quarter Results
6-Feb-13 DBS Full Year Results
6-Feb-13 ASL Marine 2nd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 Parkson 2nd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 SBSTransit 500 Full Year Results
7-Feb-13 CapMallsAsia Full Year Results
7-Feb-13 Amtek 2nd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 Olam 2nd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 StarHub Full Year Results
7-Feb-13 Biosensors 3rd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 SIA 3rd Quarter Results
7-Feb-13 Challenger Full Year Results
7-Feb-13 LippoMalls Full Year Results
8-Feb-13 SaizenREIT 2nd Quarter Results
8-Feb-13 Yamada 2nd Quarter Results
8-Feb-13 GreatEast Full Year Results
8-Feb-13 ComfortDelGro Full Year Results
14-Feb-13 Tat Hong 3rd Quarter Results
14-Feb-13 Fabchem 3rd Quarter Results
14-Feb-13 SingTel 3rd Quarter Results
14-Feb-13 TMC Edu Half Year Results
14-Feb-13 UIS Full Year Results
14-Feb-13 WBL Corp 1st Quarter Results
15-Feb-13 ST Engg Full Year Results
15-Feb-13 OCBC Bk Full Year Results
18-Feb-13 Hiap Hoe Full Year Results
20-Feb-13 Maxi-Cash Full Year Results
Mid Feb 2013 Magnus 2nd Quarter Results
Mid Feb 2013 Armarda 3rd Quarter Results
21-Feb-13 SembMar Full Year Results
21-Feb-13 Genting SP Full Year Results
21-Feb-13 Aspial Full Year Results
21-Feb-13 CoscoCorp Full Year Results
22-Feb-13 Superbowl Full Year Results
22-Feb-13 Wilmar Full Year Results
22-Feb-13 UOI Full Year Results
25-Feb-13 Armstrong Full Year Results
26-Feb-13 Semb Corp Full Year Results
26-Feb-13 HTL Int Full Year Results
26-Feb-13 CSE Global Full Year Results
27-Feb-13 TCT Full Year Results
27-Feb-13 UOB Full Year Results
27-Feb-13 Mewah Full Year Results
27-Feb-13 CWT Full Year Results
27-Feb-13 IndoAgri Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 ChinaAOil Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 Noble Grp Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 Venture Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 Straco Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 Golden Ocean Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 CITYDEV Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 UOL Full Year Results
28-Feb-13 Pan Pacific Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Kian Ho Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Moya Asia Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Sincap Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Intraco Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Asia Fashion Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Jubilee Full Year Results
Late Feb 2013 Libra Full Year Results
Feb-13 Megachem Full Year Results

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...