免费讲座：股市几时崩溃?

<< 股市几时崩溃? >>
Daniel Loh主讲


What you will learn:

1) The year and month of when the market might crash that you MUST know?
2) Will 2014 be the start of the Bear Market?
3) The rise of interest rate and how will it affect the market?
4) How do you grow rich by buying at the bottom of a Bear?
5) Sectors and different investing products to invest in different phases!

Date: 

29 Apr  (星期二)  华文讲座 

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

US Stock Tip: Apple share split will push it past $600!

Dear Friends,

Share split is one of the most generous gift Apple can offer its shareholders. I have been waiting for them to declare a share split for 2 years. Finally it came.

With the announcement of its earnings and share split yesterday, the stock jumps $44. Wallstreet likes the results and the splitting news.

Of course, my short term entry would be a breakout off $570 or a retracement to support at $550.

If it breaks off $570, my next aim would be $595-$600. I believe eventually, it will end above $600 by the quarter end.

Be prepared to play this stock for the next one month till its split date on 9th June 2014!

Rgds
Daniel

第8频道《早安你好》骆伟嵩 4月25日 现场采访：新加坡市场短期走弱？

美国市场

1)      美国股市最近表现不错，道指又接近历史高点了。Nasdaq也跑了上来。

2)      我觉得美国股市中短期还是有上涨的空间，特别是Nasdaq。我觉得这次科技股的下滑是一个很好买入的机会！

3)      这几天有一些科技股也发布了第一季度 的成绩，有一些都相当不错。例如苹果和Facebook的成绩都很不错，值得观察。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡最近的股市表现相当好，可以说是亚洲表现最好的股市。但是我们觉得上涨速度有点快，可能会在3300点有些压力。

·        我们还是鼓励短期投资家，如果在这一轮的涨幅有赚到，可以开始逐渐套利。如果还想进场，投资数额也要减少，因为股市已经不便宜了。

Cache Logistics

这是一间Reits 的公司。我觉得这间公司的价格有希望上升一些，有可能在$1.20到$1.30之间行走。

1） 从大的环境来说，QE退市的问题已经过了，整体Reits的领域已经到一个底部了，整体REits是有机会上升的。

2） 从业绩来看，Cache Logistics的表现还好，营业额跟预期设想的一样。

3） 但是有点不错的是上星期，Cache跟DHL Supply Chain 要合作发展在Tampines 建于租仓库，可能为Cache 带来稳定收入。

Malaysia Stock Tip: Master going to master forward?

Looks likely...

Now: $0.81
Target 1: $0.89
Target 2: $0.97

Stop loss: $0.69

Waiting for Facebook results! Hope it gaps down!

Dear Friends,

Recently Facebook has dropped from the top like all Nasdaq stocks. I am watching this stock intensely and with saliva in my mouth. As some of you who constantly look at our blog might know, I am a fan of this company. Facebook is a company that I will label as a retirement portfolio stock, meaning accumulating constantly when it drops.

However having said that, I am waiting for a drop in price today after market close. Facebook will be declaring its first quarter earnings. With the last quarter being very good, I think there is a chance that this stock might gap down because of high expectations.

In fact, it it gaps down 2moro, my recommendation is to go in and buy immediately, and hold LONG TERM!

Dont ever sell this stock is my advice! This is a growing stock that has a chance to multiply!

It also has a chance to gap up if results are fantastic. If so, my recommendation is not to rush in 2moro amid the hype and gap up. Wait for the consolidation to come before entry.

Either way, with the current drop in price, I am ready to pounce on this stock!

Please show me the money! ;)

Rgds
Daniel

Where is STI good pickup point? 3150?

Dear Friends,

I have a few friends that ask me about STI. With the recent bullish run, will STI breach 3300? My answer is yes, but we need to be patient. Most probably it will break in these 2 quarters, but after resting a while.

But having said that, I think the risk is high going into STI now. STI has gone up too fast running from 3052 to 3280! I know there may still be some stocks worth looking, but do exercise good money management now that the market is overbought. If you buy, buy smaller lots.

My profit taking zone for STI is exactly now, between 3250 - 3300. 

(If STI breach 3300, then I will be looking closely whether this breakout is a good breakout)

My accumulation zone for STI will be 3150, if STI really corrects. But I don't think this round of correction will be deep. Most likely you won't see 3000 again.

Remember, if there is a chance in the next few months you see 3150 again, that will be Daniel Loh picking stocks again!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

FREE Singapore market seminar by Andy Yew

<< STI is so BULLISH! what are the stocks to watch in May?>>
海指这么强劲，五月有那一些股票可以看?

sharing by Andy Yew

Andy Yew has accurately predicted the run of a lot of stocks recently including Hong Leong Asia. Join him to know how he does it every week!

Below is Andy's recommendation on Hong Leong Asia at 1.43. Now it is 1.675!

Date: 

24 Apr 2014, Thu (English Seminar)   7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals

4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term
Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Free Spore Seminar:

<<When will the Stock Market Crash?>>
Serious Discussions on the start of the bear market!
By Daniel Loh


What you will learn:

1) The year and month of when the market might crash that you MUST know?
2) Will 2014 be the start of the Bear Market?
3) The rise of interest rate and how will it affect the market?
4) How do you grow rich by buying at the bottom of a Bear?
5) Sectors and different investing products to invest in different phases!

Date: 

22 Apr (Tue)    English session

29 Apr  (Tue)  华文讲座 
（对不起。因为场地因素，华文讲座已从 30Apr 改到 29Apr  星期二）

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

FREE Malaysia KL Stock Seminar

Topic: <When will the Stock Market Crash? >

& in-depth analysis on the whole market

What you will learn:

1) The year and month of when the market might crash that you MUST know?
2) Will 2014 be the start of the Bear Market?
3) The rise of interest rate and how will it affct the market?
4) How do you grow rich by buying at the bottom of a Bear?

5) Sectors and different investing products to invest in different phases!

Date : Sunday, 20 Apr 2014
Time : 2.00 – 5.30pm
Venue : 

Hotel Armada, Petaling Jaya, Level 3, Room Arista,

Lot 6, Lorong Utara C, Section 52, 

46200 Petaling Jaya,

Selangor Darul Ehsan Malaysia

Speaker: Daniel Loh 

MediaCorp Radio Station FM958 Stock Market Analyst
MediaCorp TV Channel 8 Stock Market Analyst

Raffles Business International Chief Trainer
Affin Investment Bank Invited Speaker

Shares Investment Columnist
Phillip Securities Invited Speaker

OCBC Securities Invited Speaker

Seats are limited!!  100 seats, Left 30 seats only!To register, please CALL in +6016 310 5528  to book or SMS <NAME><HP><Email><No of Seats><E> to +6016 310 5528

Attached is a brochure of the event.


Do visit our website to have FREE STOCK TIPS!!!
www.danielloh.com

It is time to buy 2 indices, Nasdaq and Nikkei!

Dear Freinds,

I have been asked this question, what are the indices that like and recommend?

Without a single doubt, I think both these indices may have reached near their bottom.

Nikkei futures accumulation zone is 13500 - 14000 Now: 14080... it dips below 14000 breifly
Nasdaq composite accumulation zone is 3800 - 3950 Now: 3999... it dips to 3946 today

Start accumulating now with mid term view in mind! If it drops to the lower point of the zone, buy again!

Bear in mind we have accurately spotted a lot of futures and indices bottoms and tops this year, I am quietly greeting these 2 indices drop with excitement!

Cash might be dropping from the sky again!!!

Hahaha
Daniel

------------------------------------------------------

Updated with charts of nasdaq composite and nikkei futures for your reference:

4月11日FM958 电台访问

美国市场

·         昨晚美国道指掉了267点，Nasdaq跌了130点, 一天3%的跌幅。虽然道指还没什么跌，Nasdaq却从最高4371点跌倒4054点，7.2%的跌幅。最近美国似乎有开始调整的现象。

·         那到底是什么原因科技股这么疲弱？两个原因：

·         第一我觉得是科技股已经上了太多了。我们曾经在节目中说过，美国科技股通常在圣诞节期间表现很好。也会反映在一月份第四季度的成绩单。很多科技股的业绩确实在一月表现都很好，造成股价大涨。但是我们现在进入了第二个季度。第二季度科技股开始走弱因为涨太多。所以这个是季节的关系。

·         第二点是这个月刚好是美国报告业绩的月份。很多分析师跟我一样，都很不看好这些科技股的成绩，因为已经没有圣诞节的推动力，分析师都觉得这个季度应该很多科技公司达不到预期的标准。因此这些公司还没有发成绩单前就被退下来。

·         那是不是成绩真的很糟糕呢？我们就要这两个星期注意研究一些有影响力的公司。

·         好处是有些公司已经掉很多，这些不好的期望值已经反映在股价里，可能就不会这样糟。

·         从图表来看，道琼斯的支持是在15700点。现在是16170点。如果有机会再跌500点我觉得是一个机会大家可以考虑进场。这一点也是200天均线的支持。

·         Nasdaq的支持就在3930点。到了就是一个机会！

中国股市

·         现在上证指数是2122点。之前我们有提醒大家要买上证指数。买入区域在1950-2000点之间。两个星期前当上证在2050时我们还是蛮看好的。现在我觉得大家如果要进场，胜算就小了。

·         但是还是有可能上升。我觉得上证指数如果到2200-2250点，大家可以考虑套利。到了这个管卡可能有压力。

·         目前投资上证指数的方式只可以用短期投机的方式。因为上了一点就会有压力。

·         我们判断上证指数已经在熊市的最尾端。指数的上限似乎越来越矮。图形越来越狭窄。

·         现在上证走动的范围只在200-250点左右。

·         但是要提醒大家，如果上证突然又一个月暴涨500点，冲破了2500点的重要管卡，那这个可能就是大牛市的开始。

新加坡市场

·         我们在节目中有提过新加坡海指的短期压力就在3250点到3300点。如果到了这个区域，鼓励短期投资的朋友可以开始套利先。现在海指是在3197点。

·         目前我们对亚洲整体股市还是蛮有信心的，特别是海峡指数。我们预测海指还是有可能走到3250点。到了3250-3300的期间，我们再观察是否还能冲。

·         那为什么我们对海指还是蛮乐观的？2点：

·         一是我们看得到海指最近相当抗跌。昨晚道指掉了267点，现在海指只下滑6点。而却这两天海指都出现开低走高的现象。似乎非常抗跌。

·         第二是这一波海指上升，有两个领域板块表现相当出色。这两个领域去年都一直很弱，这个月似乎活起来了。

·         第一个领域是房地产领域。当然前个月我们刚好提到房地产领域大家在第二季度可以留意。最近房地产股表现真的不错。我觉得房地产股确实已经到底了，这个第二季大家一定要留意这个领域。有好多股票都值得看的！

·         第二个领域是大众商品领域。我们有提过这个领域跟中国是挂钩的。但是这一次跑得这样快让我出乎预料。很多公司比如olam, noble, indoagri, golden agri都跑了上来。当然除了可能本身公司的一些内部讯息以外，另外的原因是外部的大众商品整体价格都一直飙升！

·         咖啡在短短的几个月从100跑到200。玉米，小麦，咳咳，CPO都在涨。

·         总结：我们觉得海指还有可能上升，我们还是很乐观。甚至这6个月里我们觉得海指有可能冲破3300点的难关因为房地产和大众商品领域我们估计已经到底了。但是短期3250-3300还是要谨慎！

香港股市

·         两个星期前我们提过横生有可能到23000点。现在已经在23000点了。23000点跟海指3200点一样，不上不下。如果再爬，到了23500-24000点的期间，大家就要非常小心。这个管卡我觉得是一个非常的压力区。到了，大家要准备卖掉。

日本股市

1） 日本日经期货指数现在是14025点。最近日经指数的表现比其他亚洲指数都还要差。可能最近收到了美国的影响，从15200点下滑到了14000.受了美国的压力，掉了接近1200点。

2） 那因为他下滑比较多，我们觉得日经指数是目前亚洲股市最值得投资和留意的。我们觉得日经捡便宜的区域就在13500-14000点的范围。这几天刚好跌到了。现在我们鼓励可以进场开始测试水温了。14000买一点，如果到了13500点，再买。

免费新加坡股票市场分析 by Andy Yew

《市场相当强劲！您想知道如何找到下一支Ausgroup吗? 》

sharing by Andy Yew

Date: 17 Apr 2014, Thu (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals

4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term
Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Singapore Long term Stock Tip: Singpost is positioned to be the Alibaba of South East Asia

Dear Friends,

In my interview on the 28th March with Channel 8 <Good Morning Singapore> programme, we did mention that this is a good stock where we can keep for long term investment.

My views of Singpost on 28th March in Mandarin:
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/03/8-singpost.html

Not a lot of stocks in singapore is now worth investing long term, but Singpost is the rare few I am giving the thumbs up. With a dividend yield of 4.7%, why not??

3 reasons:
1) This year Singpost is forecasted to have a 25% growth rate. This is a pretty strong growth rate in a mature industry! Not a lot of stocks can consistently achieve this figure!

2) Singpost these few years have been acquiring companies and are pretty successsful in adding good earnings to their balance sheet.

3) Singpost has a plan to attack E-commerce logistics, aspiring to be the Alibaba of South East Asia. Recent years they have accumulated successsful companies related to e-commerce logistics. This industry is basically new and untapped in SEA, and I believe that Singpost has the capability to lead in this industry in this local region if they can acquire more worthwhile companies.

Now : $1.375 (Slight breakout today)
Mid term Target: $1.47
Long term Target: $1.95-$2.00
Dividend Yield：4.7%

Channel 8 TV interview 4月7日第8频道《早安你好》骆伟嵩 现场采访总结：美国市场会影响新加坡吗？

1)     海指上周五全天在3206至3228点之间波动，收于3212点，滑落7点（0.23%）。请总结本地股市在第二季第一周的整体表现。

·         没上太多，但最近表现不错。11天里涨了9天。3050跑上来， 180点。

·         整个亚洲股市都不错。马来西亚1820点到1860点，香港21000到22500，日本14000到15000点。

·         几个星期前每个朋友担心Crimea的和利率可能上升的问题，

·         反而是美国最近的表现平凡。Nasdaq已经掉了200点。

·         我看大家这几天要关注的是美国如果走弱，亚洲股市的表现如何。

2）有市场人士认为，海指已出现＂超买＂现象，短期内或会滑落，不过中期而言走势向好，可能冲至3300点。您怎么看？

·         想法一样。调整都是短期的。到了3250-3300点，鼓励先套利。

·         跌到3150点的支持价位，再观察。

·         虽然海指现在有点高，但上升乐观的。长期下跌的领域比如房地产领域和大众商品领域的   股票都跑了上来，对新加坡股市注入蛮多信心。

3）来宝集团Noble Grp 与中粮集团达成脱售农产品业务部门多数权益和联营计划协议。瑞信给予它的评级提升至＂表现优于大市＂，目标价大幅调高到$1.50。您的解读？
-last Fri $1.28,跌3.5分

·         $1.50是有可能的。因为有利好的基本面消息。特别是当有公司要收购股份。

·         但是要达到$1.50有几样事情要留意。

·         Noble可能会回到在1.20-$1.25之间。这个是关键区域。

·         如果Noble 一直都在$1.20-$1.25之间不跌破$1.20，这只股票就有机会突破$1.30，迈向$1.50。但是到了$1.50就要非常小心。

4）新交所上周五发布＂石油与天然气类股报告＂，哪些讯息值得股民留意？您依然看好这一板块的上涨潜能吗？

·         这个季度的石油与天然气公司表现可能不怎么理想。

·         石油这个季度有可能走弱，保持在85-100之间。

·         天然气上个季度有一正子因为美国冬天的问题，冲到了$6.50，结果现在跌回了$4.50。这是季节性的。我们觉得石油的需要这个季度会减弱。这可能会影响这个领域的股票。

5）大多数市场的证券指数主要都以当地公司组成。而新加坡作为亚洲的国际金融中心，却有着一个独特的国际化证券市场。海指的构造展示了什么特性？

·         海指确实有国际化的证券市场。在这30只成分股当中，只有4只成分股的盈利纯粹来自新加坡

·         今年表现最好的股票是Olam Int'l，Thai Beverage，这两间公司主要收入来自海外市场。

·         为什么？因为新加坡市场太小。如果本地公司没有想过拓展市场，就不能生存。营业额绝对没办法上升。

·         长期可以投资的股票，一定要有成长。向海外发展。

6)迈入第二季了，谈您对本地股市表现/走势的预测。
下来的阻力点和支持水平在？

·         会有一次调整。美国股市调整可能会有10-15%的调整。但鼓励大家一定不要错过机会进场。

·         这绝对不是熊市的开始。海指的支持就子啊3000-3050点。阻力就在3250-3300点。

7）在华尔街股市方面，美国股市周五大跌，道指下跌160点（跌幅1%）至16413点，创3月13日以来最大单日跌幅。原因何在？

·         a）非农业薪金报告数字比预期的数据还要差。虽然数字不是差到离谱，但是市场似乎在星期五之前都觉得数字不错。预期的期望没达到造成大琼斯大掉160点。

·        
b）最近科技领域的股票走弱。Nasdaq星期五掉了100多点。这个滑落是因为很多人估计这个月科技股的盈利报告可能不好。我们接下来要留意这些股票业绩如何。

8）美国近期还有哪些值得留意/关注的财经讯息和金融消息？怎么影响或左右区域和本地股市呢？

1）  大家要关注两点。

2）  美国这个月的盈利报告如何。目前，很多人认为科技有关的股票盈利都可能不好。我们接下来就看到底是不是如此。我们也要研究其他领域的股票表现如何。如果不好，这个下滑可能持续到5月。

3）  FED 的QE政策

9）崭新的一周又开始了。请预测稍后开盘后的走势。

·         美国星期五大掉，我判断亚洲股市都会走弱，很有可能开始就会有压力。但是我要鼓励大家留意的是是否海指有机会反弹。大家可以乘机看新加坡股市的力量。如果美国大掉没对新加坡有影响，那证明新加坡股市相当强，可能还有上涨的空间。