Wednesday, 29 February 2012

Singapore MarketTalk this week by Andy Yew (28 Febuary 2012)

Dear Friends,

STI weekly Summary:
The STI fell 0.8% last week to 2,978.08 on Friday, recording its first weekly loss in 2012. The index has had a strong rally in 2012, gaining 12.5%. Singapore is only half way into its earnings season. 7 of STI's components will be reporting this week, among them, Noble and City Developments

Key Event this week
This week, manufacturing data from the two largest economies in the world dominate the key economic releases space – with the United States reporting at the start of the week and China closing the week with theirs.

But the mid week will be when investors worldwide will be keeping their eyes peeled as the United States release their GDP data – the biggest indicator on whether the U.S economy is recovering.

Mon 27 Feb: U.S Pending Home Sales (Jan), U.S Dallas Fed Manufacturing (Feb)
Tue 28 Feb: U.S Consumer Confidence (Feb), U.S Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb), Euro-zone Consumer Confidence (Feb)
Wed 29 Feb: U.S 4Q GDP
Thu 1 Mar: China PMI and HSBC Manufacturing (Feb)

Trading strategy wise:  STI index drop below the 3000 mark, making the previous peak 3030 as our next resistance. As mentioned in previous email, we expecting market to pull back, and indeed the market did pull back this few day. However  the pull back is not as much as what we expected. The market hardly fall, hence being bullish is still reasonable. We encourage you to enter Only when the Price of stock Break above previous day high.  Lastly, attached the dates of companies Result announcement for your reference.

ART System Position Trade Stock Tip: Yangzijiang, Ezra, Ezionhldg





Andy Yew
ART system Founder and Stock Trainer

Our US Stock class this week is Full. Registration ends. Thank you all Investors Friends for all your support! Apple flying towards $550

Dear Friends,

After going on a holiday trip to Malaysia and Thailand, I am back. Energised and Rejuvenated. Make some $ on Apple also, great that my expense is covered.

This is the life of a trader. INDEPENDENT and TIME FREE...

Today Apple at $535. I mentioned it is a BUY at $523. Check my last article on Apple:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/us-stock-tip-apple-still-so-strong-it.html

It probably will run till its Product conference on 7th March with the new release on Ipad 3. Potential play still to that day! If it manages to reach $547, please liquidate. And always remember to sell before the release.

Apple latest news:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/priceline-micron-lead-tech-stocks-higher-2012-02-28

Rgds
Daniel

Monday, 27 February 2012

Important Week for Market in March! Everything hinges on a good ISM


This is the economical reports that will be released in US this week. Keep note of Tuesday's Durable Goods, Wed's GDP and Chicago PMI,  Thu's ISM which I think will affect this month's progress.

Would give a Full article on my comments and take on the week.

Pls follow closely! You may not believe it, now I holidaying still in Malaysia. It is 3.34am and I am writing my views. Ha... can't help it.... ;)

US Stock Tip: Apple still so STRONG : It is VERY likely to hit $525 again!

Dear Friends,

Recently I played Apple again. Just buy a straight call 3 months away. It is likely to continue its upwards movement towards $525. It is at $522 now. See if it can break through $525. My strategy is at $525 if, after making a bit of profit, I will put stoploss at breakeven. There is likely to be a resistance there.



But I am hoping there might be a breakout. For those who have attended my whole options class, you may trade this strategy. For those who aren't, please don't execute this move as you are not trained yet. The thing is I have been a Stocks and Options Trainer and Trader all these years.

Some of you might think:" I only like stocks, I don't like options". I would encourage you to have a more open mind to trading. It is a matter of fact to me that Learning options has GREATLY enhanced my skills as a trader! It has helped me in STOCKS analysis so much.

And the best thing in options is that it can be used as a hedging tool against stocks. In fact Warren Buffett and hedge fund managers use it. Recently I discovered that OCBC also invest in Warrants to sell as a hedging product to clients too!

If you like, you may register for our "Secrets to US Stock and how it affect Singapore Stock" session to know more about our class.

Rgds
Daniel




Question on Natural Gas by a Friend

Question: Would like to seek your opinion on United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE:UNG).

Answer: For all friends' info, below is the chart on Natural Gas:

No kidding, this stock went from $100 plus to recent low $19.92.  

Basically I think Natural Gas may have hit its bottom. With the Crude oil going higher, natural gas price may kick in higher now.

Having said that, natural gas is a political issue. Currently Us govt policy is not pro-natural gas. Not a lot of policies is towards the usage. Of course Obama got pressure from Crude companies not to have policies to start using natural gas as widespread alternative.

A push in the policy change to use natural gas would definitely ends this fall. And I think with rising oil price, he MIGHT just do it to garner support for the election.

Rgds

Updated: Never Hold your stocks through Earnings when you are a Short Term Player!

A question from a friend:

"Thanks for your tip/sharing. I think many of us experienced that. But after gap up, at what price we should take the profit? It is really difficult."

My Comment:

Before Gap up:  
There are a few ways
1) Use resistance from previous high or low like Box Top or Bottom
2) Use technical indicators on your preference. Some like MA, Oscillators like RSI, or whatever your system like
3) Use time based system. Eg. Contra players never hold positions after contra period. Day traders never hold after Day close. Weekly Traders close on Friday.
Basically for Earnings play, it is a MUST you should exit b4 earnings day.
or
4) MY Favorite: Use price based support and resistance
which I called "Law of Gravity of Price" which I teach in my class. Sometimes even without looking at charts, I know the next support and resistance because there are prices that have the most volume which acts as support and resistances.


After Gap up:

Only 1 way, very Easy:
1) Get out immediately at the OPEN. No kidding. After a big gap up after earnings, immediately sell at the open because this stock needs a rest before running again. 95% chance this stock will rest.

5% are for those stocks that are having a lot of shorting. Shorters who are caught in the gap up need to cover positons and hence the stock continues to climb. In my course, I teach people how to screen out those stocks that are hugely shorted and will carry on up for days.

Market Makers may make use of Oil as their new Weapon to bring Market down!

Dear Friends,

It is always interesting to keep track of headlines of influential websites. Basically my strategy as a trader is never believe in the news!

Ha, you may ask, "Then why did you keep track of the news if you do not believe in it?"

Well, after years of trading in the US market, I discovered that whenever the stock market has a great run, market makers or big boys, who manipulate the market, will try to create bad news to bring the market down. Now that Greece problems die down temporarily, they NEED to try to find new STORIES to scare the market. It is their only way to play against the market!

RISING OIL PRICE may be used now. See the headlines over the weekend in marketwatch.


Knowing their latest strategy is very important! That is how we think and play like them! The Europe story has been going on for so many months, they need something new. Oil is great for them now.

So what is the strategy for us now that we know their mindset???

My suggestion is you may want to buy oil related stocks or Oil related ETFs like "OIL", "OIH" or "USO" in US, or basically trade OIL FUTURES to hedge your positions against stocks.

I have been trading OIL Futures through my Forex broker and make some money after Light Crude breakout of 5 tops as mentioned a few weeks ago. It is flying now!

Check the 5 tops in my blog below:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/will-light-crude-oil-break-out-of-5.html

Rgds
Daniel

Friday, 24 February 2012

Never Hold your stocks through Earnings when you are a Short Term Player!

Dear Friends,

Genting, China Aviation Oil, Wilmar these few days have something in common. They gap down after reporting earnings miss. For some, you see your profits wiped out in 1 day.

I always explain in my class not to hold your stocks through earnings. This is from my experience trading in US Market for the last 8 years. In the past, I like to speculate if a stock will have good earnings and buy in just before the earnings announcement so that I could profit from the Gap Up. There was one time my bet was wrong and I lost US$25,000 in one night. It taught me a valuable lesson!

As a trader who constantly makes money, we don't like RISK. We love certainty only! And holding position over earnings is like holding a time bomb in your hands! Unless of course, you invest stocks like Warren Buffett, for the long term. But for those that can't stand seeing your profits vanish, why don't you profit take when you already make money from the stock run-up before earnings? Just get out first!

There are opportunities to play again, after earnings. This is one valuable TIP I am going to give you in investing. In my course, I teach investors how to play earnings before and after, which I think is a giveaway gift from the market to make you great money because every stock got their characteristics before and after earnings!

Market Sentiment Indicator for 24 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 77.95% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.75% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 85.00% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 1.5 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 83.72% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 86.42% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Article from 胡立阳: 上证指数2300点的往事会重演吗?

股市起起伏伏,投资者的心情总会随之起舞,但若只随心情进出,大多数人往往都会踩错了节奏,走反了买卖的脚步。这一次,希望大家都能踩对脚步,别让往事再度重演
 
还记得在2010年的七月,上证指数由 一年前的3478点一路下挫到2319点,我当时在接受《中国证券报》专访时表示,依照我所发明的“二分之一平均法”来计算,2571点以下都会是逢低买 进的大好机会。但很遗憾,由当时成交量简直有若一滩止水般的极为低迷看来,敢在低档跨出买进脚步的人,少之又少。紧接着的八月份,股市终于展开反弹,指数 在十月份还一口气冲上了3000点,且暴出了巨量,显然大家才开始兴奋的加入了买进的行列。于是,我在10月份的另一篇专访中提醒大家,行情走的太急太快了,要小心急着追高而摔跤的风险。不久之后,指数就由11月底的3186最高点,一直下跌到了今天。

过去半年里,由于投资人信心动摇,A股一直处在超跌状 态,明显落后全球股市。指数居然一直处在2571点以下的低档区域,而目前又再度在2300点附近徘徊。其实,股市起起伏伏,投资者的心情总会随之起舞, 但若只随心情进出,大多数人往往都会踩错了节奏,走反了买卖的脚步。这一次,希望大家都能踩对脚步,别让往事再度重演。

我常常说,买股票要像跳桑巴舞一样,必须踩对节奏。
因为每一位投资朋友都希望自己在买卖股票时“该买就买,该卖就卖”;每一位舞者也希望自己在跳舞时“该进就进,该退就退”。所以,买股票与跳舞一样,都要进退有序,必须抓准节奏。如果老觉得操作不顺或是跳得别扭,肯定是一开始就踩错了脚步!

投资的时候,你在该卖出时却跑去买进,那么,在真正该买时,你往往已因信心尽失反而会去卖出,结果是一步错全盘错!跳舞的时候,当你该出右脚却出成了左脚,那么,再出右脚时肯定会踩到舞伴,下场可能是挨上一记耳光!

在研究全球股市时,我发现,巴西的股市真是可爱。圣保罗的股价指数扭上扭下的,像是在跳桑巴舞,热情洋溢又很有规律。有一天,我一面看着Bovespa指数过去的走势图,一面听着迷人的桑巴舞曲时,恍然发现,其实只要抓对了起伏的节拍,在任何股市中,投资人都能顺着上上下下的趋势来买进卖出,比跳舞来简单!

以 后,发觉操作不顺遂,试试换个脚步!了解音乐有高低转折,兴奋想买的时候,要注意音乐是否已来到令人亢奋的高音,这时,或许该反手卖出;灰心想卖的时候, 音乐往往已进行至即将反转的低音,正是可以轻松赚钱的买进良机。只要尝试着将买卖的脚步颠倒一下,常会有截然不同的结果。
如果还是不行,就别赖在舞池中硬坳,先退场休息,耐心等待下一支舞曲再重新开始吧!

What a breakout of Crude Oil! Did you make $?

Dear Friends,

In my last article, "Will Light Crude break out of 5 tops?" dated 17 Feb 2012

http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/will-light-crude-oil-break-out-of-5.html

I mentioned  that you may look at Crude Oil. Indeed, see how it flies now. With Iran problems still around, there seems to be no stoppage of this momentum. Let us see if it goes to $114, the recent high. May have slight resistance at $110.

But do take note that with this oil price going higher, this may become a problem to the earnings of some companies. Currently, we are burying this problem amid the Bull Run.


Thursday, 23 February 2012

US Stock Tip: Mastercard (MA) flying off $400 with a strong breakout!


Dear Friends,

Mastercard which has a better than estimates earnings, yesterday broke out of the strong $400 resistance. Yesterday I make quite a tidy sum of money out of it, a few thousands in a few hours. May check my "Investment done by Daniel" tap. I believe it has potential of reaching $420 soon...

For Options Graduates, may take the chance to go for straight call. However take note of slight resistance at $410. But remember our course rules before going in for straight call!

Rgds
Daniel

STI back within 3000, Dow retesting 12938 after hitting 13000

Dear Friends,

As Hu Li Yang mentioned, STI needs to stand above 3000 for at least 3 days. However STI failed on the 3rd day (which is yesterday). So we could not say it has succeeded in breaking through 3000. Today STI continues its fall. Dow Jones similarly hit 13000 points before retracing to 12939 yesterday.

I would suggest don't go into the market now. Especially when these major resistances are still in sight.

Like what I say in my article, I would also suggest keeping your eyes on STI at 2900 and Dow at 12700. If they falls below that figure for 3 consecutive days, you may want to liquidate your positions.

Rgds
Daniel

Wednesday, 22 February 2012

Singapore Stock Tip: Genting Earnings Tonight: Will this stock Comeback like CAO?

Updated on 23 Feb 2012 after Genting Earnings:

Dear Friends,

Genting did not perform to expectations for their earnings results. That is the reason for their gap down of 35cts at their open. Forget about this stock now.

See its news here:
http://www.sharesinv.com/articles/2012/02/23/genting-singapore-4q-net-262m-ebitda-misses-street/

However, all its not dead yet. If this stock manages to come back to $1.73, that is when we can start to play again...  Keep in mind their earnings from Chinese New Year will only appear next quarter...

Rgds Daniel
-----------------------------------------------------------


Dear Friends,

I am closely monitoring the progress of Genting. I like stocks that miss estimates for consecutive quarters. Bcos it just take a nice quarterly earnings to make the stock come back.

I am preparing with all my ammunition! You should too!

If the earnings is bad, forget this stock, if it is good, get ready to go in after it consolidates... Let us see what happens! Will update you all...


Article by Andy Yew: Looking for some Singapore Stocks for Shorting/ Hedging?

Can look at HL Asia, now is near the Top of the Parallel Channel and it is turning down. Today it trade below the previous day low, which might seems to be a entry point for shorting using your CFD.

Note: This is a counter trend trade, if u are trading short term stoploss can be place at 2.16, if you doing longer term trade can stop above 2.22

Andy Yew   
ART System Founder


Singapore Market Talk by Mr Gan

Hi Friends,

Singapore share prices closed higher on Tuesday with the Straits Times Index up 3.88 points to 3,025.07. Volume was 1.88 billion shares worth $1.55 billion. Losers marginally led gainers 213 to 203.

Market is keep surging and currently it is very over-bought now. Many of friends has been asking what counters to buy and what should they do with their current holding position. Well, below are some advise.

1.      Determine your time frame and exit according to your time frame
2.      If you has been holding some position, you may consider sell half
3.      Do not chase after the current over-bought market, if you still wish to buy, you can but with small size

Although market is very over-bought, the ART position system is managed to screen out below counters for your consideration and time frame is 1-3 months.  
Pls. do your home work and plan your trade properly. Enter only when it price is higher than previous day high price. Lastly a stop loss is a MUST.

Bullish counters ART position Trade: GoldenAgr, Tiger Air

Singapore Stocks – Earning Announcement Date 



 

Best Regards,
Gan Chai Leng, Caleb
ART System Founder and Trader

Market Sentiment Indicator for 22 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 77.67% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.70% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 84.60% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 81.40% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

希腊问题暂告一段落,海指能稳守在3,000点以上吗?


亚洲股市教父胡立阳老师说过,海峡时报指数必须至少连续三天保持在3,000点以上,才有可能继续往上攀。2月20日是海指攀上3,000点的第一天。若持续下去,海指将跨入一个新的箱子,并在其中起起落落至少3个月(见图表)。

我在上一篇文章中曾提到,海指和道琼斯工商指数若要突破3,000点和12,938点,就得看希腊的状况和美国经济报告如何。在上个星期二发布的零 售销售数字低于预期,因此没有带来助力。然而,在星期四发布的申领失业救济金的人数达到四年来的低位,令道指突破了12,938点。

美国新屋开工报告也预 示房价在经历自2007年以来的跌势后将上涨。美国的房价预料将在今年持续上涨,因为美国将在11月举行总统大选,其利率也极低。房地产相关企业劳氏公司 (Lowes Company)和家得宝公司(Home Depot)都发布了极佳的业绩报告。

在美国,油轮领域在连续经历几个表现不佳的季度后似乎将要见底回升。由于油价偏高,一些人可能会认为油轮领域的表现应会不错。但事实却非如此,原因 是船只供应过剩。欧洲的问题使到整个船运业都受到冲击。然而,美国著名上市油轮业者Frontline最近斥资1亿美元购买新船只,足见整个领域已到底, 信心已恢复。

这能为我们带来什么启示呢? 

我认为本地上市船务企业如中远投资(新加坡)(COSCO Corp (Singapore))和扬子江船厂控股(Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Hldgs))值得考虑。这两只股有可能会成为今年的热门股。

本周投资建议:

1) 海指和道指应会顺利站上3,000点和12,938点,并进入另一个箱子。海指的阻力位应该是3,100点,而它之后可能会回撤至3,000点。

2) 海指和道指应会在本周稳健上升。

3) 投资者应在下个星期后半周多加小心,因股市可能出现暂时的调整。我会在下一篇文章中说明原因。

-----------------------------------------

免费讲座:

《美国股市的秘密 - 他如何影响新加坡股市》

1 ) 为什么美国经济报告会影响全球股市
2 ) 新加坡股市和美国股市的展望
3 ) 这个季度你一定要留意的十大个股
4 ) 一个可以让你知道这个月股票方向的秘诀


日期:3月1日(星期四,· 英文讲座) 或  3月2日(星期五,· 华文讲座)
时间:晚上7点半 至10点
地点:141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),

丹戎巴葛地铁站G出口,· 直走80米,· 红绿灯对面 

要报名:Please click here

或拨电或发简讯至9367 6623 (请列明[姓名]、[电邮]、[手机号码]、[所选择的日期]及[席位数目])

Will STI Stand Above 3000 Firmly With Greece Problems Out Of The Way?


Based on the teachings of Asian Leading Investment Guru, Mr Hu Li Yang, the only way the Straits Times Index (STI) will continue its movement upwards is when it closes firmly above 3,000 points for at least 3 days without pulling back. 20 February was the first day. Then it travelled to another box and stayed there for at least three months. In the new box, the STI is expected to continue its ups and downs. (Please refer to the chart).


In my last article, I mentioned that for the STI to break through the 3000 points barrier, and for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) to stand above 12,938 points, we need help from Greece and a good Economical Report. Last Tuesday, US’ retail sales report did not help lift the DJIA, as the released figures were below expectation. However the “lift” came on Thursday night with a terrific Jobless Claims report that is at a 4 year low.

Housing Starts report also indicates that US housing prices is about to climb, after a 4 year slump since 2007. I expect US housing prices to continue its climb this year given the US election in November and the all-time low interest rates. In fact, US companies like Lowes Company (LOW) and Home Depot (HD) also reported terrific earnings figure.

In the US, the oil tanker industry seems to have found its bottom after so many successive bad quarters. With oil prices that high, one may think that the tanker industry should be doing great. However it isn’t. The reason is that there has been an overwhelming supply of ships. With Europe in deep trouble, the whole shipping industry throughout the world has been affected.

However recently, Frontline (FRO), a famous tanker company listed in the US, recently spent US$100 millions of dollars to buy new ships, which indicates a bottom in the industry and a sure sign of confidence returning.

How can you capitalize on this? My advice is it is time to look at our local listed shipping companies like COSCO and YANGZIJIANG. They have potential to be the big plays of this year.

What is our advice for trading this week?

1) We think that the STI should stand above 3,000, and DJIA should stay above 12,938 points to move into the new box. However we expect a resistance at the 3,100 level. The STI might pull back to test 3,000 points again.
2) We expect the STI and DJIA to march forward this week.
3) However do be careful on the mid and end of next week. There might be a temporary turnaround. I would touch on the reasons in my next article.

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Btw, we will be holding a FREE Seminar for you to understand about US Market


<<Secrets of the US stock market & How it affects Singapore market>>

You shall learn

1) US market important economical reports and implications
2) Outlook of Singapore and US market
3) Top 10 stocks You must watch out for this Quarter
4) A strategy to know the direction of the market this month instantly

Date: 1 Mar 2012, Thu 7.30pm - 10pm         (English) or
Date: 2 Mar 2012, Fri   7.30pm - 10pm         (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
 

Tuesday, 21 February 2012

Singapore Stock Tip: Golden Agri showing ART Bullish Signal on 21 Feb 2012


This is a play using our ART Computerised system! So far with 85% accuracy... Come for our course to learn about <Swing Trading> and this powerful system this Wed or Thu 7pm. To register, check out below:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Btw, we, the ART Team will be having a Free Seminar on the following Topic: 

<<How to use Swing Trade Strategy to Profit in Current Market>>  
on  22nd Feb (Wed) English Session  OR  23rd Feb (Thu) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Sharing on  1) How to be Profitable Trading in 2-7 days
                  2) Rules that a Professional Swing Trader Must Follow
                  3) Secrets of looking for Gem Stocks instantly
                  4) A small sharing session on what Dr. Alexandra Elder taught about trading and money management

Date: 22nd Feb 2012, Wed  (English) 
OR   23rd Feb 2012, Thu  (Chinese)
Time: 7pm - 10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: KL Wong (CFD Professional Trader, ART system Founder)

15 Seats Left only!
To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Singapore Stock Tip: China Aviation Buy at $1.23 as told 2 weeks ago! Remember?


Dear Friends,

I do not know whether you remember my last post on China Aviation Oil.  I mention that you need to sell first at $1.20 as there is a resistance. Indeed everything goes EXACTLY according to what I mentioned. Perfect! On 7 February, I wrote this article: "Congratulations on China Aviation Oil (CAO)"
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/singapore-stock-tip-congratulations-on.html

In that article, I said go in at $1.23 after it rest a while! This stock will fly again! Check out that article. Indeed a few days ago, the highest price it reach is exactly $1.225 before consolidating for a few days. The reason why I say go in at $1.23 is because based on my trading experience, stocks has a high chance of continuation after adding 3 cts to a big psychological figure.

I find it so amazing that this stock follows my call exactly. Today it reach the price $1.23 before bursting through to end at $1.29. Sure looks like a great breakout!

So my prediction is for this stock is that it has a BIG resistance at $1.50. If it happens to travel there, sell first 4 cts below at $1.46. However before that, it may consolidate for a while, may try to test $1.20 or $1.25 before running again. Catch it if it manages to lift off above that figure.

Regards
Daniel

Friday, 17 February 2012

Will Light Crude Oil break out of 5 Tops this time?


If it breaks, it is time to focus on US Oil Stocks like Chevron (CVX) ... or just buy Oil ETF ticker: "OIL", "OIH" or "USO". I heard from one of my friends that you may buy oil related ETF through some local CFD brokers. Try to see if possible....

With the Iran uncertainty, it might just break! May use it as a hedging tool against your stocks asset!

Market Sentiment Indicator for 17 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 77.13% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.70% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 84.00% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 76.74% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Amazing Dow Ascending Triangle Trend still intact, Will 2moro be a GOOD Friday for DOW?

Dear Friends,

2moro US is light on data. Only CPI report which I think may not be that significant now as inflation is low. Barring any uncertainty in Europe 2moro, I expect DOW to continue today run-up on Friday. 2moro there may be a chance to test 12938 again, Hope I am right.  :)

Reason Why Dow Jones increase by 100 points today! Asia bursting forward 2moro!

Dear Friends,

As I have mentioned, we badly need a good economical report and today we have it. Jobless claims is less than expected. Philly Fed and Housing starts are more than expected. Hence today we have a great comeback from yesterday.
Pls check out this economical report news:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-up-on-data-limited-by-global-concerns-2012-02-16

My philosophy in trading is that Economical Report Drives the direction and Technical Analysis provide the support and resistance, entry and exit. We badly need one so that we can make it to 12938 again.

Let us see if this run continues 2moro in US....

Thursday, 16 February 2012

Singapore Stock Tip: Yang zi Jiang break out of Triple Top

Wait for it to drop back if possible to support at $1.23, needs to stand above then may enter.

Singapore Stock Tip: Noble: Will it break $1.47?

Seems like a big resistance, it can only break when STI is positive. Just be careful now... If STI stays above 3000, has chance to break

U.S. stocks hit by Fed minutes, Greece, Apple Sharp Fall

Dear Friends,

Yesterday, U.S. stocks ended solidly lower Wednesday after minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting nipped hopes for more quantitative easing and amid uncertainty over Greece.Plus by mid noon yesterday, the BIG juggernaut APPLE falls big time from $526 to $500 within minutes.

It certainly shake the whole market. I feel that Apple has run its course, and badly needs a rest. Ever since our last article recommending Apple, it has run from a after earnings price of $450 to $525 within a few days.

Now STI because of last night Dow 97 points fall, is back within 3000 points. As I have mentioned, there isn't any economical report or good news that really provides a boost for Dow to breakthough 12938. Not the badly missed Retail Sales on Tuesday which is below expectations. Until it does so, we should be cautious and good to be on the sidelines.

Hence no recommedation now at this moment.... Let us be PATIENT!

Regards
Daniel Loh

Market Sentiment Indicator for 16 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.62% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.20% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Wednesday, 15 February 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 15 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.75% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.40% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 74.42% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Tuesday, 14 February 2012

Bearish Opening to US Market due to Retail Sales

As I have mentioned in my blog, today's Retail Sales estimated figure might be a bit too high as January figure does not include the festive December month, I can only keep my fingers crossed that it beat the estimates of 1%. Today the figure is 0.5%, less than the estimates.  It didn't beat.

You may take a look at my last article: Will STI and DOW survive this Bulllish Run?
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/will-sti-and-dow-survive-this-bulllish.html

That is the reason why Dow Jones decrease by 45 points now. Decliners defeats Gainers 3874 to 1731 stocks.

With retail sales down, we can only look forward to Wednesday's Greece decision on Euro zone & Thursday's Housing Starts and Philly Fed to ignite Dow towards 12938. I am more inclined to think that Greece would not make a decision to leave the euro zone.

The good thing to get out of this Down Day is that the market hasn't dropped much even after this Retail Sales, which is a HINT that DOW might just break 12938, and STI breaking 3000, just that we need a Good news somewhere to ignite a rally.

The danger of course will be when DOW drops consecutively for 3 days, more than 100 points in a single day and drops below 12700. That is the time to liquidate positions.

US Stock Tip: Day Trading Play Today

For Day Trading, I care less about the market direction.

These few US Stocks are the ones I like today. If it crosses yesterday high, I may go in. Let us see what happens at 10.30pm Singapore time at the open in US.

1) NBL > 103.77
2) TYC > 49.91
3) UNP > 113.32

FREE CFD Trading Seminar: How to Manage a CFD Trade

16th Feb (Thu) 7pm - 10pm:   Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Sharing on 
1) Using of CFD Trader 2.0 Software 
2) How to operate a CFD Trade 
3) How to manage a CFD Account 
4) Should we use CFD in the coming market

Date: 16th Feb 2012, Thu  (Chinese)
Time: 7pm - 10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Mr Wong Kian Loan (CFD Expert Trader)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Market Sentiment Indicator for 14 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.65% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 62.83% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.00% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

胡立阳文章:牧羊人理论 ­ Trading Stocks like the Shephard


    投资人问“我是在马来西亚一家著名的商报上看到老师的专访。您把股票投资人有趣的比喻为牧羊人,认为买股票应该像养羊一样,重质而不重量,因为最赚钱的不一定是养最多羊的人,而是能将每一只羊都照顾得很好的牧羊人。这种说法妙极了,您是从哪边得来的这个灵感?”­

   有一年我到英国度假,在乡下的一个迷你型牧场,认识了一位慈祥的老牧羊人约翰先生。约翰先生在过去30年来一直坚持只可以饲养两百头以内的羊,因为他说:“我的爱心只够分配给这么多的羊,再多我就无法一一照顾了。”­
­
  在闲聊中,约翰先生对我说:“你看,前面那头羊叫做 乖乖,它今天动作有些迟缓,身体好像不太舒服。左边的这头叫做小可爱,这两天特别快乐,大概是比较喜欢有太阳的天气。”总之,他对每一头依我看来长的是一 模一样的羊都能叫出名字,而且对他们的个别习性简直摸得一清二楚。哇!真是令人叹为观止,难怪他的羊养得这么好,每年比赛都得到冠军。更值得高兴的是,我 也从中得到了宝贵的启示。­
­
  于是,我在股市中不再“花心”,彻底改掉以前不看个一、两百只股票不过瘾的习惯,只挑出二十只股票每天仔细观察并精心研究,开始更加了解它们的不同特性。­
­
  才短短的三个月之后,我发现了一个大秘密——股票原来是会说话的,只是你必须听得懂­
­
  约 翰先生可以从羊只的表情以及肢体动作得知它们的健康状况,而我由股票的价格与成交量之间的互动可以明瞭它们的涨跌变化。举个最简单的例子,当同类股中的大 多数个股都在上涨,而你手中的那只却是垂头丧气,它若不是生病了还会是什么?当一支个股的成交量总是有若一滩止水,股价又是病恹恹的,这显然就是得了厌食 症了嘛!­
­
  股票每天都在向你倾吐心声,但你怎能充耳不闻的老是不解风情呢?许多人平常从来不专心“饲养”,总是在既陌生又毫无感情的情况下,随便去买它一支股票,这岂不是将“牧场”变成“赌场”了吗?­
­
  在股市中,每天喜欢东买一支、西买一支,然后抱着满手股票的人还真不少,但是他们哪有时间去同时照顾这么多个性迥异的对象呢?­

Monday, 13 February 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 13 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.57% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 62.54% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.20% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 83.95% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Will STI and DOW survive this Bulllish Run? It may all boil down to this week! (Updated)

要看华文版本,请看这个网站:
http://www.sharesinv.com/zh/articles/28205/

Dear Friends,

Mr Hu Li Yang is precise in anticipating 12938 is resistance for Dow n 3000 is resistance for STI. On Thursday Dow hits 12924 before retreating to end at 12800 on Friday. STI hits 2992 points before retreating to end at 2960 on Friday. It shows the resistances are strong at 12938 for Dow and 3000 for STI.

From last Mon to Friday, the market showed its resilience. Currently there seems to be some Big players trying to short this market. Especially so for Dow, which open lower in the first hour of trading in 3 out of 5 trading sessions. (Pls see our chart on Dow for this week). Last Friday is a chance for the shorts after uncertainty over Greece’s ability to secure a second bailout and to avoid a messy default.

Do note that Greece is set to vote on the measures over the weekend according to PM Papademos. And Greece will need to decide if it will stay in the Eurozone by Feb 15th. The Big boys finally got their chance to push it down 100 points at the open last Friday. However, it came came to close in 2 digits. It will be interesting to see how Dow opens on Monday.

Although the resistance is strong, do we have a chance for the breakout?

Yes, but probably with the help of a STRONG economical report and Greece decision this week. We definitely need a hugh lift to breakthrough. On Tuesday, Retails Sales will be reported. A good figure from it is a must. However, expectations is high at 1%, much higher than last month's results of 0.2%. Do take note that for January Retail Sales, christmas may have already been over. This time I am really keeping my fingers crossed.

So what would be our strategy for this week? My suggestions are:

1) You might not want to enter any positions this week as there will be uncertainties again from Greece. Profit take if you may. Wait for more positive news. Anyway, I also suggest we wait for STI to clear its resistance of 3000.

2) Pay attention to Retail sales on Tuesday which I hope will beat expectations. 

3) Technically, if STI close below 2900 and Dow close below 12700, for 3 consecutive days, this run may be over temporarily. It might signal the start of a decline. Try to liquidate your positions then.

4) If STI burst through 3000 and Dow burst through 12938 for 3 consecutive days without dropping back, this run might continue.

So this is definitely one crucial week for STI and the DOW. It may be D-Day!

Stay tune for further updates!

Rgds
Daniel
-------------------------------------------------------
Btw we have a FREE Seminar coming up: 

<<Secrets of the US stock market & How it affects Singapore market>>


on  18th Feb (Sat) English Session  OR  21st Feb (Tue) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn

1) US market important economical reports and implications
2) Outlook of Singapore and US market
3) Top 10 stocks You must watch out for this Quarter
4) A strategy to know the direction of the market this month instantly

Date: 18 Feb 2012, Saturday 2pm - 5pm         (English)   OR
Date: 21 Feb 2012, Tuesday 7.30pm - 10pm   (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Friday, 10 February 2012

Market Sentiment Indicator for 10 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.31% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 62.54% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.20% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 83.95% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

US market can't seem to be down for long, it is Slow but Bullish

Dear Friends,

There is a similarity to this week trading in US market. The strong resistance level on Dow Jones Industrial Average is capping it, trying to push it down each day. However it seems all attempts to short it failed. Today is a similar story. DOW begins its descent down after the open, but came back by miday.

Now at 2.20am Singapore time, it is in the green, and hovering above 12900 points. This only proves one thing. The Resistance is strong, however the market confidence is STRONG also!

My prediction is that Dow will break through 12938. It just need a SPARK to light it. This week there are no important economical news to light it. Let us watch out for Next Tuesday Retail Sales. This is an important report. The analysts are predicting that january retail sales will be a lot higher than december. I don't know if bar is raise a bit high. IF it beats, it might be the spark for Dow to end 100 points higher.

Rgds
Daniel


Thursday, 9 February 2012

Singapore Stock Tip: NOL showing a Buying Signal using our ART Position Trade System


Using our ARTTM Position Trade, it shows a buying signal yesterday... Pls check the chart.
CONGRATULATIONS for our ART class graduates who make multiple entries on this stock recently!
Keep using our system.

Singapore Stock Tip: Sheng Siong on the fly, breaking $0.50


Sheng Siong Go Go Go! The day before we recommended to watch this stock when our ART screener showed a Buying Blue Arrow using BOTH our ART Swing Trading System and ART Position Trading System.

Check out our last post:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/02/singapore-stock-tip-sheng-siong.html

It broke out of $0.50 today, now at $0.505...
Let us see where it goes now...


---------------------------------------------------------------

Btw, we would be having a FREE workshop & show you our ARTTM Automatic Screener System

5 Seats Left Now!

<<Singapore Stock Market Outlook for 2012 & Secrets to Technical Analysis Revealed>>  


on  10th Feb (Fri) English Session  OR  13th Jan (Mon) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Sharing on  1) Market Outlook for Year 2012
                  2) How to use Technical Analysis to select stocks
                  3) How to your money and minimise your risks
                  4) Using our ARTTM System Software to select stocks

Date: 10th Feb 2012, Fri  (English)  OR   13th Feb 2012, Mon  (Chinese)
Time: 7pm - 10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, Stock & Options Trainer) 

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Market Sentiment Indicator for 9 Feb

New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.20% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 62.31% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 83.40% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)   

(NYSE & S&P 500 Above 70% now. US may be due for a correction these 2 mths. Pls wait for my Bearish Signal)

Energy Sentiment indicator: 72.09% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 10 Jan)
Financial Sentiment indicator: 83.95% (Bullish : Bull confirmed 5 Dec)

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...