Saturday, 29 June 2013

FREE Retirement Planning Seminar by Phillip Securities/ 如何拥有理想的退休生活 - Phillip Securities 免费讲座

Dear Friends,

Retirement has many meanings to different people. One thing is to ensure whether you have sufficient resources to last through your ‘golden’ years. We feel that all investors should not only know how to invest stocks, but also have the adequate savings plans, your CPF and the knowhow to plan for retirement.

We would like to invite you to go for a Seminar held by Phillip Securities

In this session, you will learn

What happens when you reach age 55?
How CPF can complement part of your Retirement Income.
How you can secure your ideal retirement with a lifetime of guaranteed income?
How to safeguard your retirement income against inflation?
 
Event Details 
Dates:
13 Jul 2013 (Sat)    2pm to 3:30pm

Venue: 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub, Singapore 328104
            (Along Balestier Road beside Ren Ci Hospital)


To register, please provide your <Name><Mobile Number><Email Address> to teamstrategy@hotmail.com 
or 
SMS 9189-7271

--------------------------------------------

各位朋友, 

退休对于不同的人来说有很多不同的定义,但都面对一个同样的问题:
如何确保你有足够的收入来维持你的黄金退休生活?
我们觉得每位投资家除了要知道如何投资股票以外,都必须有足够的知识在储蓄计划,个人的CPF处理还有准备退休的计划。
 
我们希望邀请您去一个Phillip Securities举办的讲座。
 
在本次讲座中,你会学到

当你55岁的时候,你的CPF会有什么样的变化?
如何充分利用CPF的资金来配合你的退休收入计划?
如何保证有固定和充足的退休收入来维持你的理想退休生活?
如何有稳定的退休收入
如何能够灵活的支配你的退休收入
 
讲座及报名详情
Date:   
2013629号(星期 2pm to 3:30pm
 2013711号(星期 7pm to 8:30pm

Venue: 3 Shan Road, Phillip Investor Hub, Singapore 328104
要报名的朋友,请提供您的<姓名><手机号码><电子邮件地址发> teamstrategy@hotmail.com
或者 短信9189-7271

Friday, 28 June 2013

FREE Property Seminar: How to become Successful in Properties

Do you wish to know how to MAKE a Living in property?

Do you wish to know the Basics 123 in investing in local property?

Do you wish to know the Property market outlook in 2013?

In this seminar you shall learn:

 

1) 3 Basic simple strategies in buying properties
2) The pitfalls of a unsuccessful property investor
3) The Property market climate in Singapore and Malaysia
4) Learn about how the CEOs think when buying properties



Date: Thu, 27th June 2013 (English) and Fri, 28th June 2013 (Chinese)
Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil St, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541), Tanjong Pager MRT Exit G,
Walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Trevor Soon  (RBI Property Group director)

Charges:  FREE
LIMITED SEATS!! SIGN UP NOW!!

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><No of Seats> to 93676623 and we will contact you.

Any inquiries, pls contact 6534 9979 to ask.

Thursday, 27 June 2013

The psychology of buying stocks in this market

Dear Friends,

Asia recently did indeed correct itself. On radio, we talked about both US and Asia. We mentioned that we anticipate Shanghai composite to reach a bottom at 2000, Nikkei at 12800, STI at 3000-3100, (the best is for STI to drop to near 3000), Hang Seng at 20000. All have reached its low point except STI. STI is close, 3066 being the lowest point.

Anyway, we anticipate that STI will drop at most a further of 66 points to around 3000. Most of the stocks were sold down, especially the STI component blue chips. I definitely prefer banking and property sector stocks.

Do take note that there is still a chance for US to go down somemore, we still think that the correction in US may not have finished, although Asia might have!

If you want to enter position, our idea is to break your portion of money into 3 parts. Either accumulate up or accumulate down.

Eg. If u intend to buy a stock with $30k, break down into 3 portions of $10k.

For accumulating down;
If you buy a stock at $1, buy with $10k. If it goes down 25% to $0.75, buy another $10k. If it goes down another 25%, buy another $10k.

The good thing about this is that you don't buy at one go. You have extra cash just in case it drops further.

For accumulating up;
If the stock goes up 20% buy another time, when it goes up another 20% buy another time. Whenever you buy, put your stock loss at breakeven point, to guard your downside.

Rgds
Daniel

Nikkei has bottomed around 12800 region

Dear Friends,

We predicted that Nikkei has bottomed around 12800. Anything below that is an opportunity to scoop up Japanese stocks. Indeed recently, it has been bouncing off this figure.


We think that it will travel between this range for at least 6-9 months, from 12800 to 16000. Long time ahead for the breakout to occur. But patience is the key. If u buy japanese stocks now, u may be buying the bottom just like George Soros who recently declared to buy Japan stocks and short the Yen. Just wait.

Rgds
Daniel

Gold is heading for 1200

Dear Friends,

Recently on radio, we did mention we predict gold to be heading for 1200. It sure looks weak at this moment, Yesterday in the day, gold at one point drops $50 to reach a low of $1223. Like what we mentioned, we think that it is heading at least to 1200, where we think might have a strong support.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/gold-support-is-at-1200-now.html

Let us see if it happens.

By the way, some of my friends recently asked, what should we do if we have position? Long term wise, we think you should never have invested in gold. It is on a long term downtrend, You will never see gold at $1930, the highest point, for the next 10 years. Short term wise, we think there is a rebound. You may want to take the opportunity to sell into the rebound.

Good luck with trading gold, a "safe haven" that is never really safe!

Rgds
Daniel

Tuesday, 25 June 2013

Psychology of how market works! China Trauma send stocks down again

Dear Friends,

China is on its own. Instead of showing strength with Asia mostly up, it plummeted another 70 points bringing all Asia index down. The positive 30 plus points in STI got wiped out. The Nikkei plus 300 points now becomes a deficit of 200 points.

China being the world 2nd largest economy sure is an influence.

It is quoted "The Shanghai benchmark plunged 5.3% on Monday for its worst finish in nearly four years, as concerns that reluctance by China’s central bank to ease tight liquidity conditions in the interbank money markets would hurt small and medium-sized banks and borrowers"

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asia-stocks-mostly-gain-but-shanghai-down-further-2013-06-24?link=MW_home_latest_news

What a bloody June. In fact from my point of view, the "Sell in May and go Away" effect is here this year. If you look at past historical years, it either comes in may or sometimes in early june. This year it started end of may, but the fall is felt more in early june. Dow reaches the highest peak on 22nd may.

In fact a couple of weeks back, when STI plunged hard to 3100, a lot of us are still talking about buying what kind of stocks. This to me is never a sign of bottom. Psychologically, the retailers are still bullish. 

Always know that the bottom will only come when not many people discusses much about buying stocks anymore! Not when everybody wants to rush in to catch the bottom. Even if there is a rebound like STI recently, from 3100 to 3250 points, it is temporary.

This is the psychology of how market works. In fact i am looking at STI breaking the 3000 barrier. That may be the point that will send the market into despair.

A very good gauge is to ask your remisier. Is he still getting orders to buy? If the answer is yes, the market probably has not bottomed. When the answer is no, that normally should be the bottom.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Monday, 24 June 2013

DOW has dropped 1000 points and it ain't done yet!

Dear Friends,

Over the past 2 months, we are glad that we have been extremely accurate in our predictions. Not a lot of traders would like to stick their heads out like us to predict the market. All our predictions are broadcasted live in media radio station FM95.8 where we are interviewed. We constantly received emails thanking us for our accurate analysis. Today we are going to summarise what we have predicted these few weeks...

DOW dropped another 250 points at the first hour of trading, STI dropped 50 points, Shanghai dropped an eye popping 100 plus points, Hang Seng 400 points, Nikkei futures 400 points down now. Dow highest peak is at 15542. It has dropped 1000 points already, but we believed the bottom has not reached yet!

Do you remember that in may we talked about 3 factors to take note for DOW to turn bearish?

See this article in 28th may 2013:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/05/did-fed-really-hurt-stock-market-not-yet.html

The 3 TA factors are:
1) A triple day drop in the index
2) 20day MA starts to dip
3) 2 weeks down

Check out the charts to see that if you follow our 3 factors, you would have known the weakness beforehand.


On the 3rd June when STI was still at 3300 points, we predicted that STI would reach 3000-3100. At that time, probably not many people would have predicted that yet as not a lot of stocks turned down and US is still bullish.

Article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/what-has-happened-to-sti.html

But the most amazing prediction of this year is that we actually predicted Nikkei to reach 16000 and crash when it just break out of 15000 on 17th May. 

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/05/nikkei-breaks-15000-but-16000-is-deadly.html

On the 22nd May, it reached 16020 points before collapsing 3700 points to reach a bottom of 12200 points.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Now that we have picked the tops for most of the index, the question is where the bottom will come?

If you would like to find out the answers, I welcome you to join our FREE educational seminar at the website below:

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/free-investment-seminar-what-will_24.html

 

Maybe  SECRETS  of our predictions will be revealed... ;)


http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/free-investment-seminar-what-will_24.html



FREE Investment seminar: What will happen to US and Singapore stock market these 2 months?

<<Will STI 3000 be the bottom? Will Dow reach 14000? and Global market analysis>> By Daniel Loh

Hurry and Participate for the discussion with Daniel Loh this month!

You shall learn:
1) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
2) Strategies you can used to hedge your risk playing with stocks
3) How does Warren Buffet hedge his risk in his stocks portfolio
4) How can you make money when the market is falling?

Date: 
25 June (Tue) or 2 July (Tue)    English sessions
26 June (Wed) or 3 July (Wed) Chinese sesssions

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
(Raffles Business Institute Investment Division Head Coach, Derivatives Specialist)
Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Friday, 21 June 2013

Radio FM958 (Fri, today, 21 June 1.15pm) talking about When and How to Buy stocks?

Dear Friends,

Today, I will be interviewed on radio station Capital FM958 from 1.15pm-1.30pm talking about  

<When and How to Buy stocks?>

If you are interested to know more, just tune in to FM958... :)

Radio Station website: Listen Live
http://entertainment.xin.msn.com/zh/radio/capital958/

Need Windows Media Player 11

Thank you
Daniel Loh

Free Stock Seminar in Malaysia PJ: Will there be a correction in KLCI like some Asia Markets?

Dear Friends, 

KLCI has been fluctuating between 1700 and 1800 points. What is the direction now? Will US have a major correction in 2H 2013? What is the outlook for Japan's Nikkei, Singapore STI, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index? Have these indices reached a Bottom? How will the US 10 year notes be this 2nd half of the year?

The Malaysia Stock Market has been tremendous these few weeks after the election. But recently there seem to be a change in the momentum especially with the Dow weakening! Will KL stocks have a major correction???

All these SECRETS will be found in our INVESTMENT SEMINAR in Armada Hotel in PJ, Malaysia!!  We will also be touching on how you should prepare yourselves after election and for this year also.

Be sure to join us for an investment seminar this Sunday 23rd June 2013,  2pm - 5pm!

Topic: <SECRETS of the Malaysian Stock Market> - What is the direction of KLCI?? & Global Market Outlook for 2H 2013

Date : Sunday, 23 Jun 2013
Time : 2.00 – 5.00pm  
Venue : Hotel Armada Petaling Jaya, Level 3, Room Arcadia 1
Lot 6, Lorong Utara C, Section 52 , 46200 Petaling Jaya , Selangor Darul Ehsan Malaysia

Speaker: Daniel Loh
Raffles Business International Chief Trainer
Affin Investment Bank Invited SpeakerShares Investment Columnist
Phillip Securities Invited Speaker
MediaCorp Radio Station FM958 Stock Market Analyst


Seats are limited!! 
CALL in +6012 377 1342  to book or SMS <NAME><HP><Email><No of Seats><S>
to +6012 377 1342

Gold support is at 1200 now!

Dear Friends,

Gold collapsed again with a 90 points down day! With today's poor china report and Wallstreet predicting the end of QE soon, there seems to be no more good news for the gold.

Do take note that we think gold has a support at 1200, a support that we think should hold agin mid term. So good luck to gold, it is 80 points away now!

Rgds
Daniel

STI at 3000 looks likely now?

Dear Friends,

In the past, I did mention that STI at 3000-3100 is worth a look. I also mentioned that the recent run-up in STI may be short term.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/avoid-picking-local-stocks-if-sti-does.html

Today, we have a taste of how short term it may be... a 81 points drop in 1 day! This would have been unimaginable this year before today! Did you sense the market sentiment changing now? It seems so frequent nowadays that STI falls more than 40 points in 1 day, a sure sign of weakness in the market.

I do now believe that with the recent US weakness and the QE effect over, STI might have a chance to reach 3000 points, the lower of my targeted 3000-3100 range.

My target is now 3000. If reached, this would be a tremendous bonus! Anything below 3000 would be an angbao.

Blue chip stocks do look cheap now... tasty... let us salivate more at 3000.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

DOW another 200 points drop today shaking the world, Will DOW reach 14000?

Dear Friends,

It seems like US market has finally turned in confidence, fueled by the disappointment of Ben Bernanke's speech. Actually, Ben did not confirm that there will be an end to QE3. The quotes from marketwatch were:

"Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday that the central bank may begin to scale back its $85-billion-a-month bond-buying program later this year if the economy continues to show strength."

People in Wallstreet seems to ignore the word "IF", they just sell in assumption of the certain fact that FED will slow down. As I have mentioned in previous article, the run-up before Ben Speech probably did great injustice to the market. The great expectation of Big Ben being the market savior has probably played into the hands of the BEARS. The bears are probably already looking at any words from Ben to shoot down the market.

It just does not matter anymore what Ben said!

The most important thing is that the confidence of the market is already dented! VIX, the Fear index is already showing its vulnerabilities. The downward momentum is gaining strength.

Now the Bulls suddenly do not seem to have a lifeline anymore. No more Ben Bernanke, no more QE, no more good news...

IF, US earnings that will come out next month indeed shows their growth rate are slowing down, the market will spiral down! So be warned...

We think DOW has a chance to reach 14000. If it reaches that point, then we think it is SHOWTIME again!


Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

Title:  <<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this June market?>> 

sharing by Andy Yew

讲座主题:  《六月有哪一些股票可以买或卖空?》

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

On 20 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 21 June 2013, Fri (华语讲座Chinese Seminar).

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Date: 20 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 21 June 2013, Fri (Chinese Seminar 华文讲座)
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder)


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Thursday, 20 June 2013

US Dow decrease after Ben speech, we got it right

Dear Friends,

Indeed Dow decreases 100 plus points after Ben long awaited speech like what we predicted yesterday. A drop.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/expectation-before-ben-bernanke-but.html

The main reason is that the expectation of a miracle on Ben is too much, and has already been priced into the run-up. I expect the recent run-up to slow down.

2moro we shall give u more of our views. For now, tatas. It is time to sleep, after a predictable speech.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Wednesday, 19 June 2013

Expectation before Ben Bernanke, but what about after?

Dear Friends,

Today DOW increases by another 160 points. It is 3am in the morning Singapore time. However given the recent rise in the DOW, I predict that expectations of Ben giving reassurance that QE won't be stopped might have already been priced into the recent run-up.

I expect the market to slow down or even retraces a bit after the announcement.

We shall see what happens 2moro...

Rgds
Daniel

Tuesday, 18 June 2013

Short term rebound indeed for STI as US market remains strong

Dear Friends,

I did said that I would look at STI between 3000 and 3100 points as I feel that this is a good place to buy some stocks cheap. Congrats to the courageous who went in to scoop up some stocks the day when STI reached our first support at 3100. But I must admit I am also surprised by this sudden rebound.

STI is at 3220 now.

Last article on my view to pick up stocks at 3100 when it was at 3300:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/avoid-picking-local-stocks-if-sti-does.html

But why is this rebound occurring?

Everything boils down to our Big Brother, the US market. US has been relatively unhurt by the Asia market weakness. Big Ben again saves the collapse temporarily. US probably only suffers a small bruise. I have mentioned time and again that Big Ben is a good market psychologist and he is my number 1 American Idol.

Not only has he saved the US market from collapsing in the Lehman Brother collapse, he brought US market to all time highs even when the employment rate is still at a high. Clever manipulator of the market. That is y everybody is looking towards his American Idol appearance again on TV tomorrow.

Recently US market has an increase in the VIX, a measure of volatility by studying the S&P500 option prices. It is nicknamed the FEAR index, and it goes inverse with the market. It spiked up to $18 and drops back a bit. I am looking at it to see if there is a chance of breaking the consolidation pattern. It has been traveling in between $12 and $18.


Our suggestions and tips:

1) STI is poised for a short term rebound. Look and accumulate at those oversold STI component stocks.
2) When u buy, do not park all your money inside, accumulate the stocks up. Divide it into a few portions. Be prepared to buy again when your stocks fall by 25%. This will take into consideration when market turns down again.
3) Do not focus on those mid cap and penny stocks that did not drop much.
4) Focus your eyes on US market and the VIX to know the sentiment of the market. Any weakness can still bring Asia down. We would of course update.



Monday, 17 June 2013

胡立阳: 股、债市下半年可能同时回跌

回顾过去二、三十年来,在世界各地演讲会中,我曾回答了投资朋友们所提出之各式各样的问题。现决定在此专栏中择其精华,陆续与网友们分享当时我的小小研究心得,也希望能继续得到大家的支持与鼓励。

美国十年期公债殖利率上升,预告股、债市下半年可能同时回跌

问: 媒体今天报导,美国上周公布的就业率优于预期,十年期公债的殖利率随即应声大涨。请问这是为什么?殖利率又是什么?对债市以及股市的影响又是什么?

胡: 债券的殖利率上涨,就表示债券的价格已经先行下跌了。殖利率其实就是“实际收益率”,因为,债券发行时所承诺支付的年利息是不能改变的,而会改变的是每天 都在市场中交易的债券价格。倘若市场预期未来利率将会提升,已发行的老债券的吸引力就会减少,价格难免下跌,投资者能以较低价格买进,实际收益率(即殖利 率)就提高了。

正常情况之下,股市与债市总是相互排斥、背道而驰的。原因是,股市热闹滚 滚时会吸走资金,债市就变得门可罗雀,反之亦然。比如像是2007年发生了次贷风波之后,债券顿时成了热门的避险工具,价格水涨船高,殖利率也随之遽降, 但投资者仍趋之若鹜。反观同时段的股市,则一步步的陷入了长达一年半之久的熊市。

但现在情况有所改变了,美国自实施QE1 与 QE2 之后,果然产生货币宽松效应,热钱更多了,以致于自2011年10月起到最近,股市、债市各有人爱,居然出现了少见的同时大涨的现象。

最近,美国景气因已渐露曙光,部份避险的资金有明显由黄金大宗商品撤出的迹象。我们再来看看,最敏感也最能显示资金流动方向的美国十年期公债的殖利率,它已由去年七月时还在担心欧债问题的1.40% 低档,反弹到三月底的1.85%,显示出债券市场也开始冒出卖压。

过 去,由债券市场流出的资金会转进股市,但股市目前已在高档令人却步,再加上量化宽松政策可能将在年底退场,会让人有“经济复苏”+ “资金缩减”=“升息”的联想,这对股、债都是利空。因此,目前仍沉浸在甜蜜牛市中好长一段时间的股市、债市,在今年下半年又出现双双大幅回跌的机率颇 高。反正,这几年来全球金融怪象层出不穷,再多一件也不足为奇了。

发表于2013-04-08 07:36 腾讯名家专栏http://finance.qq.com/a/20130408/001557.htm

Friday, 14 June 2013

Sorry for those who are losing money holding on to stocks now; but our graduates are still making money!

Dear Friends,

It is a sad thing that a few friends told me they lost big time in the STOCKS market. Some are suffering from hundreds of thousands of losses from this 3 weeks fall. OMG, it is really a sad thing to hear that. Today one of our friends actually called me up on advise. I have to tell him, sorry I can't help much.There should have been a stop loss in the first place.

Through my experience, I can say Stocks are just too difficult to predict! Without putting stop losses is not a good habit in investment.

Statistics have also shown that 95% of retailers lose in the stock market. And you know what? We are still in a 4 years bull market! If you are losing money even in a bullish market that have lasted for 4 years, what will happen to you in a bear market. Most of your savings will be in the stock market, holding on to lousy stocks.

However, our graduates who attended our futures options trading class have been making good money these 2 months!

Look at our portfolio for this month!

A profit of US$20000, with a 20% Return in 1 month's work


A profit of US $1300, with a 16% return in 1 month playing Crude Oil

Do participate in our preview session next week, and we are going to share with you how we make money consistently, a way where we do need to pay attention to what the stock market direction is!

----------------------------------------------------------

<< How to make money even in a Bear Market?  Plus Predictions of STI revealed! >> By Daniel Loh

 

Hurry and Participate for the discussion with Daniel Loh this month!


You shall learn:
1) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
2) How do you make money consistently without caring about the market direction
3) How do you have a 95% probability of winning in Trading?
4) How can you make money when the market is falling?

Date: 18 June (Tue) English    &    19 June (Wed) Chinese 华文

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
(Raffles Business Institute Investment Division Head Coach, Derivatives Specialist)
Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Thursday, 13 June 2013

It is Bloodshed Day in Asia everywhere as Dow finally has 3 down days!

Dear Friends,

We did mention long ago that we need to take note of DOW having 3 consecutive down days. Yesterday marked for the first time the first 3 down days since the start of the year.

Saw this article on the same comment:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-rally-marks-volatilitys-return-2013-06-12

3 down days  after a strong trend is a sign of weakness. Together with the 2 weeks down phenomenon, and the 20 day MA slanting down, it does seem like the US market bears might be taking over.

That will not help the Asian market, where some indices have corrected quite a bit. Now STI is at 3100 having dropped around 350 points, Nikkei has dropped 3500 and is around 12500 now. Hang Seng has dropped 3000 points and is at 20700 now. Shanghai is down by 66 points. Even Malaysia KLCI, which is strong to this point after election, is down by 22 points today.

My opinion for people trading in Singapore:

1) Wait for a while before entering, I think 3000 is a major support. Patience is the key, especially when US is just picking up momentum to fall. Do not think it is cheap now, as things might get cheaper still if US drops and if STI breaks 3100. We did say 3000-3100 is the area to look at.

2) Those who are holding on to your stocks, do establish a 10% stop loss point.

3) 8th July is the start of US companies' earnings. Normally the second quarter earnings results are less than average. Starting from now, it is good to monitor how well the US companies earnings fare. If a lot are worse than expected, be prepared for a longer consolidation time frame.


Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Wednesday, 12 June 2013

Accumulating Nikkei index as it cross above 13000

Dear Friends,

As what we explained, we predicted that Nikkei may have already bottomed. We mentioned last week on radio FM958 that we expect Nikkei to have a strong support at 12800. We do expect Nikkei to have a rebound from its recent sharp fall.

Recently days have shown Nikkei consolidating as we mentioned, stabilized a bit and have moved up. Mid Term wise, we think this index is worth a look.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

STI gains for the year are wiped out totally in 3 short weeks!

Dear Friends,

STI today breaks the price of 3188, the opening price of this year. And this happens in a matter of 3 short weeks of trading after a 4 months increase. Yes, everything is wiped out. We are at a deficit of 18 points now for the year. Given US and Japan strong showing for the year, STI really looks a great disappointment.



This is a timely reminder that the market can be very unforgiving when everything turns bad! All gains of the year can be wiped out in a month. It is always good to be cautious when things are too good to be true, when everyday the stocks are running. Remember that Nikkei can tank 1000points in a single day amid the bullishness.

Do remember that this is a terrific OPPORTUNITY! Every market will have its turn of bullishness and bearishness. I know that KL stocks recently have a great run. The run will halt one day. Rotation will occur. And maybe SOON, it will be the turn for STI component stocks!

I am looking closely at STI component stocks, especially when it is near my targeted 3000-3100 region.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

A 150 points drop in Dow Jones being wiped out in 2 hours shows Bulllisness still?

Dear Friends,

Today the Dow actually drops by 150 points in the open, following the weak performance of Asia and European indices. However, 2 hours into the opening session, Dow actually clawed back its losses. Now it is just 20 points off.

US market does seems to be bullish still. It does seem that there has not been a correction yet, not with this good comeback. I am still waiting for a weakness in the index. I am still looking at whether the index can drop for 3 consecutive days. On Friday, Non-farm payroll beats the expectations with a actual result of 175k against 167k. This indeed came as a surprise to me and Wallstreet as Wednesday ADP employment figures did look very bad. Wallstreet actually expected a bad result.

In the end, on Friday, Dow climbed 200 plus points. This is the result of a good employment figure. This employment figure actually saves DOW from collapsing. All seems to have shown Dow dropping before the report. In the end, the fundamental report saves the day.

Carrying forward, with today's bullishness in the market, I think the downward spiral momentum has not yet arrived. It might take really something to dent this US market confidence.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Monday, 10 June 2013

FREE Investment seminar: What will happen to US and Singapore stock market these 2 months?

<<What will happen to US and Singapore stock market these 2 months? >> By Daniel Loh

Hurry and Participate for the last discussion with Daniel Loh this month!

You shall learn:
1) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
2) Strategies you can used to hedge your risk playing with stocks
3) How does Warren Buffet hedge his risk in his stocks portfolio
4) How can you make money when the market is falling?

Date: 5 Jun (Wed) & 12 Jun (Wed) Both are English Sessions

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
(Raffles Business Institute Investment Division Head Coach, Derivatives Specialist)
Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Thursday, 6 June 2013

Radio FM958 (Fri, 7 June 1.15pm) talking about How deep and severe will the market correction be?

Dear Friends,

Tomorrow on Friday, I will be interviewed on radio station Capital FM958 from 1.15pm-1.30pm with DJ  Di Cong talking about  

<How deep and severe will the market correction be? Is it an opportunity?>

If you are interested to know more, just tune in to FM958... :)

Radio Station website: Listen Live
http://entertainment.xin.msn.com/zh/radio/capital958/

Need Windows Media Player 11

Thank you
Daniel Loh

FREE Singapore Stocks Seminar by Andy Yew

Title:  <<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this June market?>> 

sharing by Andy Yew

讲座主题:  《六月有哪一些股票可以买或卖空?》

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

On 6 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 7 June 2013, Fri (华语讲座Chinese Seminar).

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Date: 6 June 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 7 June 2013, Fri (Chinese Seminar 华文讲座)
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder)


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 



A Free fall in STI, 40 points in early trading

Dear Friends,

A bloodshed or free fall in morning trading caused the STI to lose 260 points in a short 2 weeks trading period. This followed Dow Jones 200 points drop yesterday. We did mention to avoid the market this week as important news could bring the market down. Do not catch the falling knife.

Yesterday the ADP employment figures did go below expectations, prompting the selldown in US. It will be very important now to watch out for Friday's Non farm payroll. Finally now the market has become normal again. Poor reports will now cause the market to drop.

1 month back, because of QE, poor reports mean good, which is the unusual. Now everything is back to normal. I believe if Non farm payroll could not live up to expectations, the US market has a chance to tank further. But of course, if Non farm is good on friday, maybe things won't be that bad yet.

NO PLAY is THE BEST PLAY NOW!!! Keep your money at the sidelines. Be prepared to cut loss once it reach your stop loss.

Do be EXCITED about this drop. We have waited for 2 months already! This is where BIG money is made and changed hands!

STI good support, like what we mention is from 3000-3100. It doesn't seem far now, does it? Everything depends on US stock market now. US Dow Jones has dropped by 600 points form the top only. We expect a Dow Jones 1500 points pullback to be a good pullback. We shall see in the coming months if it does.

Good luck to watching the market! Do your study now, look at those stocks that does not seem to fall yet. These are considered the good ones!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com


Wednesday, 5 June 2013

Avoid picking local stocks if STI does not break above 3300 in 5 days

Dear Friends,

Today STI drop another 47 points at the close, dropping past 3300. During the day, it actually went to a low of 3231.  3300 seems to serve no barrier or support to a falling knife. It is getting tougher to buy stocks now.

As mentioned in the last article, we feel that if 3300 does not hold, probably STI has a chance to drop to 3100.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/06/what-has-happened-to-sti.html

It seems unimaginable just 3 weeks ago. This is the stock market! Falling down a cliff is always faster than climbing a mountain! A sharp index drop is always faster than a rising one.

Here I would like to offer some of my views regarding the market.

1) If STI does not rise back above 3300 in 5 days, avoid trying to buy the market bottom.
2) If STI does drop to 3000-3100 in the next few months, please start to accumulate! This is what I called MAKING HUGH MONEY! You dont get rich by buying at 3450. Buy at 3000-3100 if it reaches!
3) STI does have a short term support at 3150 should it reach. Let us see what happens in the US market then.
4) STI has a chance to rebound above 3300 this week IF US's non farm payroll report is great, or else I do not see any stimulus for STI this week.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com


Nikkei Bottom at 12816?! Accmulate?

Dear Friends,

Recently we are looking at Nikkei closely, as we correctly predicted its TOP at 16000.

Article on 17th May:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/05/nikkei-breaks-15000-but-16000-is-deadly.html

Sad to say, we are 20 points off from the top! Nikkei futures reach a high of 16020 recently. We are "ALMOST" correct ;)



Betting on the futures, that is a 3000 points drop, you would make good money if you followed our call these 2 weeks. 1 tick is $5 for 1 standard, that is 3000 ticks drop.... Wow...

Having said that, what is the direction of the Nikkei now? We think that the bottom is near or about there. Now it is 13210 points.

We feel that anything below 12816 is a bonus gift! For the courageous, 13000 is pretty good a place to accumulate up. Having said that, we also believe that it might take at least 6-9 months for Nikkei to regain 16000 again. For those who want to bet on Nikkei reaching new high again may have to wait a while as the QE effect is over for now. Today's Abe new proposal did nothing to lift the index.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/australian-korean-stocks-drop-japan-seesaws-2013-06-04


Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 4 June 2013

FREE Investment seminar: What will happen to US and Singapore stock market these 2 months?

<<What will happen to US and Singapore stock market these 2 months? >> By Daniel Loh

Hurry and Participate for the last discussion with Daniel Loh this month!

Sorry we have change the dates to 5th and 12th June. Sorry for the inconveniences caused.


You shall learn:
1) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
2) Strategies you can used to hedge your risk playing with stocks
3) How does Warren Buffet hedge his risk in his stocks portfolio
4) How can you make money when the market is falling?

Date: 5 Jun (Wed) & 12 Jun (Wed) Both are English Sessions

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
(Raffles Business Institute Investment Division Head Coach, Derivatives Specialist)
Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Monday, 3 June 2013

Malaysia Investment Seminar: What are the stocks to invest in after Election now?

Dear Friends, 

KLCI has been fluctuating between 1750 and 1800 points. What is the direction now? Are there some stocks that have done well recently in KLSE??? What are some of the stocks that you may invest in after election?

Stocks like PWROOT has done well these few months.

How do you really locate such a stock? Do you study its fundamental or technical? Are there any indications that this stock has BIG players inside?

All these SECRETS will be found in our INVESTMENT SEMINAR in Bangsar, Malaysia!!  We will also be touching on how you should prepare yourselves after election and for this year also. Be sure to join us for an investment seminar this FRIDAY 7th June 2013,  7.30pm - 10pm!

Topic: <SECRETS of the Malaysian Stock Market - HOW do you locate the NEXT PWROOT??>

Date: 7th June , Friday, 7.30pm - 10pm
Venue:
Chart Nexus Office
Suite A-20-13A,
Level 20, Menara UOA Bangsar,
No.5, Jalan Bangsar Utama 1,
59000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Speaker: Daniel Loh
Busy Weekly columnist
Invited by Affin Investment Bank
Invited by Phillip Securities 
Radio Station FM958 regular speaker
SIAS investment trainer

Seats are limited!! 
CALL in +6012 377 1342  to book or SMS <NAME><HP><Email><No of Seats>
to +6012 377 1342

Is the 200 points drop in US a sign of more weakness to come?

Dear Friends,

The coming week is considered a VERY important week for America. Having dropped for 2 consecutive weeks did indicate a slight turning in confidence in the US market. I am looking for signs in the US market to tell me that the general market sentiment has changed.

On Friday, the Chicago PMI figure, which measures the enterprises performance, is excellent. The actual figure 58.3 is so much better than the forecast of 50.3! Looking at the american market for the past ten years, I have not remembered beating by such a large margin.

And YET, the DOW acutally goes down 200 points on Friday.

Possibly I suggest those looking for bargain hunting to be patient and wait a while this week. Let us study signs of how American market takes in the reports. It is important to know what the market confidence is like now.

Tonight, we have the important ISM report, which I think would likely beat the consensus figures given the strong chicago PMI last Friday. This wednesday and friday's employment figures should be a "NOT SO BAD" results too. For the past 2 years, May employment figures have always shown a drastic drop and fared less than expectations. This round, it seems that employment is still OK. So let us see how the market reacts. 

In summary, if US market drops amid the Good ISM report and the "Not so bad" employment figures, then a danger sign of a waning confidence may be showing up. Be prepared for more backlash should it happens!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

What has happened to STI?

Dear friends,

I am sure you would have known that STI has recently been subjected to weakness after dropping from a high of 3464. On Friday it closes at 3311 points. Oh, what a drop, 150 points drop in 6 trading days.

Throughout these few months, we have been preaching all to be careful and wait for the big drop to occur. Although STI dropped 150 points, we still think that it does have more room to drop IF US does fumble. So far, US is still relatively strong.

Looking at the STI, we feel that short term wise there is a support at 3300. Breaking down through 3300, STI may have the chance to drop to 3100. 

IF STI does drop to 3000-3100, we feel that it will be a terrific chance finally to buy some stocks cheap.

But having said that, if 3300 support holds, STI will have the chance to move pass the 3450 resistance. We did mention about 3450 being a resistance on radio 3 weeks ago. But we never expect such a drastic drop given that US stock market is still relatively strong.  

In the radio interview, we also mentioned that STI has a MUCH MUCH bigger resistance at 3600 if it is reached this year! Do take note that 3600 is a MUST SELL figure for both short and long term investors.




Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...