Friday, 31 January 2014

Wish Everybody a Wonderful wonderful 2014!


We started with a scare in the stock market! All major indices got a KO punch, including local index. But what we think is that the end may be near.

DOW if touch 15500 at the 200Day MA or below will be a good buying area! Now 15700 triple top support. Hang Seng below 22000 is cheap, Shanghai Composite is strong at 2000, STI multiple support at 3000, KLCI should go back above 1800 support, Nikkei buying zone is 14500-15000. 

Let us hope this CNY does wash off the bad start to the year ahead! Huat ah!

Tuesday, 28 January 2014

HSI set for a rebound between 21500-22000?

Dear Friends,

Recently, HSI has been a good decline. Today it drops 400 plus points amid the Asian panic following DOW strong decline on Friday.

However we do think HSI is set for a rebound in the area between 21500 - 22000.

We did mention we would only take a look at HSI if it is below 22000 through our radio interviews.

Our view is that it is the time to start accumulating HSI now by testing water. If it goes down to 21500, accumulate somemore. 21000 should be the lowest for HSI.

We also believe that Shanghai composite pick up point continues to be 2000-2050!


There is a chance that this panic might be over sooner than we think, especially for HSI and Shanghai. composite.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com


Saturday, 25 January 2014

Dow drops near 200 points again in 2 days!

Dear Friends,

Yes, there seems to be a big drop again. A lot of us are worried whether this drop would continue and DOW tanks another 1000 points.

My suggestion is to hold your reins as I would most probably like to see the results of some important companies next week. Kicking of next week, is Apple earnings on monday, Facebook earnings on wed, Google and Amazon earnings on thursday. It is a jam packed week with tech powerhouses.

Recent weakness in the tech sector will set up an interesting next week.

Somehow, I do feel wallstreet has not been a serious panic mood yet, and there is a chance for a rebound.

I am looking at Dow 15700 to hold. We shall have an answer from the market next week!

Stay tuned.
Rgds
Daniel

------------------------------------------------------------

(P.S.) Now it is near closing bell, DOW has dropped 290 points now. It does seems now everything is getting worse. for those that invest in local stocks, it is better to keep your stop losses tight, in fear of a backlash for Asia market on Monday.

Wednesday, 22 January 2014

Shanghai rebounded as predicted

Dear Friends,

If you have heard of our recent interview in FM958 radio, we did talked about Shanghai Composite.

This is what we mentioned.

"中国股市
·         上证今天是大概2012点。上证指数最近的表现相当的弱。上证从12月头到现在已经滑落了200点,接近10%

·         长期来说,我觉得如果投资上证指数等两三年是不会亏的。从技术分析,上证已经视乎到了熊市的尾端。熊市的尾端有一个现象。就是下不多,上不了。

·         上证已经在1900-2500点之间徘徊了20 两个月了。要他狂跌到比如1600点也很难。

·         短期来说,我们也判断现在2000点值得投资,再跌到1950点可以再准备进场"


At that time, Shanghai composite is hovering around 2000 points.

Today it indeed rebounded strongly! Today it goes up a strong 43 points. Temporarily I think this is the best oversold index. 

2000 we think is a good support. At most we predict the lowest it reach is 1950.



Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

<<What are the singapore stocks to look at  in this Feb market?>>

<<二月份 可以看的股票>>

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 23 Jan 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm
         24 Jan 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends 
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays 

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Tuesday, 21 January 2014

Article on Mr Hu Li Yang: Don’t Fall Off The Horse’s Back In 2014

Source from Shares Investment:

http://www.sharesinv.com/mobi/articles/2014/01/15/hu-li-yang-outlook-2014-do-not-fall-off-the-horse-back/

If the previous 10 years were years of wealth appreciation, then the next 10 years will be years of wealth depreciation. This is the grim and stark prediction that Asian investment guru, Hu Li Yang had when I caught up with him when he was in town over the weekend.
Eager to find out more, I asked him about his outlook for 2014 as well as what investors should look out for in the year of the horse.

Outlook 2014 – High US Stock Prices A Bad Omen

Off the bat, Hu was very pessimistic. When asked about his outlook for 2014, he mentioned two major factors that have fed his naysaying. The first factor being that US stock indices are currently at their peaks. And as with most situations, when prices have hit peaks, they usually fall dramatically.
In fact, all three major US stock indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones) are currently at historic highs. Hu felt that US markets are currently reflecting all future expectations of an economic recovery. In fact, he feels that US markets are currently overpriced.


Source: FactSet, 5 year chart on S&P 500 (Blue) vs Dow Jones Industrial (Green) vs NASDAQ (Red)

Hence, in an overpriced market, all that is needed is a small nudge in the opposite direction and the house of cards would fall.

The second major issue that Hu noticed was that during the first few days of trading, the broad Straits Times Index (STI) had black candles for four out of five days.
In his analysis over the years, Hu found that the yearly performance of the STI can be extrapolated from the first five days of trading. He realised that this extrapolation had a 70 percent probability of being true.

Source: FactSet, candlestick chart of the STI in the first few days of 2014 trading
A quick screening of the past two years revealed that Hu’s assertion seems to bear some weight. In the beginning of 2013, the STI had black candles for four out of five days while in 2012, the STI had white candles for four out of five days.

Source: FactSet, candlestick chart of the STI in the first few days of 2013 trading

Source: FactSet, candlestick chart of the STI in the first few days of 2012 trading
Coincidentally, the STI recorded double digit growth by the end of 2012 while by the end of 2013, the STI barely managed to eke out growth.

In Agreement With Goldman And The Two Morgans
With this much foreboding, I asked Hu if he agreed with an equally pessimistic report ( http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-01-06/goldman-to-jpmorgan-say-sell-emerging-markets-after-2013-tumble) on emerging markets by three top US banks. Without hesitating, Hu replied with a resounding yes.

He mentioned that back in 2003, he had written that the decade to follow would result in wealth accumulation in which asset prices will appreciate. With the exception of the Great Recession of 2008/09, asset prices did appreciate.

However, from 2014 onwards, Hu feels that the decade to follow will be that of wealth depreciation. He feels that asset prices are currently in the overpriced region and will have to correct.
In particular, the following two to three years will see price corrections that will hurt. Immensely. Given that the US is expected to start increasing interest rates in 2015, Hu feels that the second half of 2014 and 2015 will prove to be immensely challenging for traders or investors who are holding on to assets.

Cash Will Be King

Conversely, Hu said that investors or traders who are sitting on hoards of cash will stand to benefit from the price correction. However, Hu cautions that such value investments will be long term and investors who value invest should not be eager to cash out.

Value investing is a form of investing in which investors buy oversold or underpriced assets. High profile proponents of value investing include the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett as well as Benjamin Graham.
But as so often repeated by Hu during his seminar as well as during the interview with me, caution should reign supreme in investors’ minds. In the year of the horse, it is pertinent that investors not fall off the horse’s back in the search for yield and returns. Hence, hold onto your cash tightly and only invest after you have done your homework.

Monday, 20 January 2014

Free Seminar

<<Secrets of US Stocks & Options Trading Revealed>>



Learn about the SECRETS of the Stock Market!

You shall learn:
1) How do you double your account in 1 year systematically even when market is bad?
2) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
3) What are the sectors in play this quarter?
4) Secret Strategies to increase your winning probability in trading

Date: 
22 Jan (Wed)  English Session

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958
Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Friday, 17 January 2014

FM958 访谈部分的内容

 美国市场

- 昨天美国道琼斯掉了64点,Nasdaq却涨了4点。

· 这个月公布的经济报告稍微偏差,因此大家可以看得到,股市这个月没有相前3个月一样强劲,似乎一直在16200点到16600点之间徘徊,S&P500也在1620-1650之间波动。

· 我觉得原因是这个月的经济报告不是很好。在这边顺便跟大家分享一下。美国每个月有50多个经济报告。但是有两个报告最有影响力。

· 一是非农业薪金报告。衡量拿薪水的人有没有增长。二是制造业采购经理指数ISM,衡量美国公司的状况。

· 通常如果两个报告数据都很好的话,那个月股有机会往上升。

· 那这个月,虽然ISM有轻微超越分析师的预测,可是非农的数据比预期设想的差很多。因此我们判断这个月的美国股市会出现上上下下的状态。

· 但大家也不必担心股市会不会大掉。因为有很多报告同时出来,华尔街的注意力也会集中看不同的公司业绩,因此淡化了经济报告。

· 就连公司的业绩报告来看都不一样。比如说,金融领域,JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo 的业绩好,但昨天出来的Citigroup, Goldman Sachs就不好。

· 从技术图表来看,道指目前趋势还是往上的。这个月强大的支持是在16150点。如果这个支持点跌破,大家需要谨慎。


新加坡市场

·       - 新加坡海峡指数最近都一直在3120-3160之间徘徊。上下幅度不大。虽然大股指数股没什么动静,但不难发现在跑的很多都是小股。似乎大家还是比较喜欢赌一把。

· 我觉得这对新加坡股市是一件好事。10月小股大掉驶到很多股民对市场失去了信心。我曾经在节目有提过要留意小股12月可能回来。现在终于回来了一些,我觉得是一种新加坡股市恢复信心的现象。

· 当然投资小股可以但是要小心。顺便跟大家分享一下我的投资心得。玩小股要有两样东西,一是时间,而是胆识。时间是因为他可以跑很快,也可以在一天里面大跌。所以要有时间盯盘。而是胆识。该进场时要快,该斩仓时要敢。

· 目前,我还是期待接下来,中型股会活跃起来,不只小股。短期我还是看好新加坡股市。

· 从技术面来说,海指长期的阻力还是在3300点,支持还是在3000点。3100点可以买一些测试水温。3050以下我叫做捡便宜的机会

· 接下来新加坡公司也会公布许多业绩报告。大家也可以曾机会了解。注意哪些前景好的,业绩比预期还好的股票。

· 这个星期有朋友问我对最近Forbes一则新闻的看法。我相信大家可能从报纸有看到。这则新闻是说新加坡经济接下来可能会因为Debt ratio太高而碰盘,会有一个好像Iceland一样的瓦解。

· 我觉得大家不用担心。感谢这位仁兄写了这则文章,把新加坡经济放大在国际舞台。股市和任何东西都一样,假设有了准备,问题就不会太严重。这则文章让我们回顾了一个欣欣向荣的国家经济都有可能过热而崩溃。

· 但是前提是这些国家都没有准备,没有意识到危机。我们不一样,政府已经有措施防止大家借太多钱。我相信这些措施都不会轻易放松。反而接下来这几年,会更严格。我觉得新加坡除了中国,是全亚洲目前最关注经济泡沫的国家。也因为这样,下一次经融海啸来,我们将是最有准备的一个国家!

Wednesday, 15 January 2014

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar by Andy Yew

<<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this January market?>>

<<一月份 可以买或卖空的股票>>

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 16 Jan 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm
         17 Jan 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends 
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays 

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

US Financial Earnings these 2 days plays a BIG role on this quarter earnings!

Dear Friends,

This week is a big week on the earnings of US financial companies!

There is no denying the fact that the financial sector did play a very important part last year in pushing up the whole US market. 

There were a lot of banks that actually bought back their shares last year. This proves that economy is turning better, and the banks that were affected by the Subprime mortgage has recovered pretty well with loads of cash at hand!

If you read our blog in the past, you would have noticed that I am a big fan of Bank of America, a company that I have tipped as a company that should be in your retirement portfolio when it was trading at $7. Now it is $16. I still think it is as it is heading for the $20 mark!

But big big week now as this week, a lot of financial big giants will release their results starting from tomorrow morning Before US Market Open. This week, Bank of America, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup will all be declaring their earnings!

As Financial sector is one of the 4 pillars of US economy, I believe that the fate of the US market in the first quarter does depend on the results 4th quarter results of these companies.

In general if these companies aren't doing above what the analysts think, a sell off in Feb or Mar looks likely. 

So please spend some time keeping track of the results of these stocks!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 14 January 2014

Free Seminar: Market Outlook for and Top 3 stocks to look at for 1Q 2014

<<Top 3 stocks to look at and Market Outlook for 1Q 2014>>  By Daniel Loh 



Learn about the SECRETS of the Stock Market!

You shall learn:
1) How do you double your account in 1 year systematically even when market is bad?
2) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
3) What are the stocks you should look at in December?
4) Secret Strategies to increase your winning probability in trading

Date: 
14 Jan  (Tue)  English session or
15 Jan (Wed)  Chinese session 华文讲座

Time: 7pm -10pm
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


Speaker: Daniel Loh  
Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958
Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities
Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

So many chances in KL stocks! Have you benefitted?

Dear Friends,

Although Singapore market has been generally poor these few months, KL market has been terrific, filled with great opportunities! We can spot the big players appearing here and there. They seem to jump from stocks to stocks.

On 6th December, I was in KL to hold a seminar to for malaysia investors. On that day, we recommended a stock that you might want to put in the watchlist.

That stock is HOMERIZ. When we mention about the stock, the price was $0.575. We think it has potential to reach at least $0.67-$0.70.


A few days back it reached this target price before falling a bit! Now it is $0.67.


Can you see the ascending price after we mentioned the stock? There are so many stocks that has the potential just like HOMERIZ recently! We can't wait to share with you some of the stocks that we spotted!

And by the way, I do think that this stock may be consolidating quite nicely. It may still have some legs to go. I am monitoring closely these few days.

IF you are interested to know more about the KL market, we do have a class this week, Sunday at Cititel Mid Valley Hotel, Level 5, Room Matahari 3.

Join us if you can! Hope you get a good Angbao for CNY!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

------------------------------------------------------

FREE Malaysia Stock Seminar

Topic: <Market Outlook & Stocks to watch out for in 1Q 2014! >
- How do you find the next GEM?


What you will learn:
1) KL Stocks you may see this 1Q 2014?
2) Market Outlook for 2014
3) What is the market direction for Asia and US market?
4) Secrets of stocks

Date : Sunday, 19 Jan 2014
Time : 2.00 – 5.00pm
Venue : Cititel Mid Valley, Level 5, Room Matahari 3

Lingkaran Syed Putra, 59200 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Speaker: Daniel Loh 

MediaCorp Radio Station FM958 Stock Market Analyst
MediaCorp TV Channel 8 Stock Market Analyst
Raffles Business International Chief Trainer
Affin Investment Bank Invited SpeakerShares Investment Columnist
Phillip Securities Invited Speaker
OCBC Securities Invited Speaker

Seats are limited!!
CALL in +6016 310 5528 to book 

or 
SMS <NAME><HP><Email><No of Seats><B> to +6016 310 5528




Gold and Australian dollars continue as planned

Dear Friends,

Although the market is a bit stagnant amid the bad non farm payroll reports, Gold and Australian dollars continue their climb.

We did talk about a potential mid term bottom in both products as they are related to the QE issue. We do see this upward trend continuing in momentum.

Last articles published:
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/01/is-it-time-to-invest-in-aussie-dollars.html
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/01/a-mid-term-reversal-in-gold-is-in-cards.html

We predicted that Aussie dollars futures may have bottomed recently at 0.88. Now it is 0.9030.
We predicted that Gold futures bottomed at 1200. Now it is 1250.

Good luck if you have benefited from this prediction on 3rd January.

Time to put your stop loss at entry price if you have entered with us. We still think this run has momemtum!

Rgds
Daniel

Wednesday, 8 January 2014

STI is giving a big discount to buy in!

Dear Friends,

I know that in the recent days, STI has been dropping from a high of 3187 to today close of 3120. Some of you may ask, is this another fall or weakness in the Singapore market.

My view is that this is a tremendous opportunity to buy into singapore stocks! The reason for this fall is due to OCBC. News are that they are seeking to acquire another company. And this is normally bad for the stock in the short term. It is normal that OCBC correct quite a bit recently. In fact I think once OCBC stabilise, I do think OCBC is the best of the 3 banking companies to invest in.

Shortists of Acquisition companies are are generally short sighted. So take this fall to look at OCBC once the price stabilises.

And do not fret about the market!

This may be the best angbao for you to buy into this short term drop! There is no fundamental reason for this drop! And I still feel that singapore is about to go into a good run.

Be prepared for it.

Good luck and Huat ah!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar by Andy Yew

<<What are the singapore stocks to BUY and SHORT in this January market?>>

<<一月份 可以买或卖空的股票>>

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 9 Jan 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm
         10 Jan 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends 
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays 

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Tuesday, 7 January 2014

Singapore Stock Watch: Comfort Delgro triple top breakout

Dear Friends,

This company has been consolidating for quite a long time, slow and steady, unaffected by the recent weakness in STI. For those who wish to have a peace of mind in investment, this is a fantastic candidate.

Now: 2.02
Target 1:  2.17-2.20 (long term target 1)
Target 2:  2.27-2.29 (long term target 2)

Stop: 1.89


Friday, 3 January 2014

Where is Ezra Buying Zone? 1.25-1.30

Dear Friends,

Someone asks me about Ezra recently, one of the stocks that I recommend to sell at 1.50.
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/12/singapore-stock-tip-ezra-needs-rest-at.html

I do said that this stock is in my radar. And recently this slide does makes the wait worthwhile.

Ezra has a buying zone at this area 1.25-1.30.

Let us see if it reach. If it reach and stand above 1.30 for the whole candle, the trend has stopped.


Is it time to invest in Aussie Dollars in the mid term?

Dear Friends,

As gold stage a rebound, does it seem like Aussie Dollars may be showing a mid term rebound soon?

Looks likely.

I am looking at 0.88 as the strong support.

Price quotes are based on Aussie futures, not spot price




A mid term reversal in gold is in the cards: $1320 target

Dear Friends,

It is an irony that as QE3 has started to taper, gold seems to hit a bottom at $1200. Today it goes above this mark with a bomb. I believe that temporarily the mid term trend has changed.

Now I am setting my mid term target of gold price at $1320.

My stop loss will be $1195 should it comes back down.


P.S. If you can't play with index futures, a good product to try will be the gold ETF stock, symbol GLD.

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...