Thursday, 31 January 2013

FM958 Radio Interview on 25th Jan 2013 (Chinese)

Dear Friends,

Thank you to my friend Eric who uploaded the video on you tube, and my friend Simon for recording, Now I finally can let everybody listen to my interview with DJ Di Cong.

Please click on the you tube link below:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9MtBIzo-eY&feature=youtu.be

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

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Date: 
31 Jan 2013, Thu    7pm - 10pm   ( 华文 ) 
5 Feb 2013, Tue     7pm - 10pm   (English)


Speaker: Daniel Loh

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623


Singapore Stock Tip: Take note of OSIM if it breaks $1.815

Dear Friends,

OSIM is hovering near its 52week high, if it does not drop, it is a sign of strength. May be a matter of time before breaking. If break, chances are high of ascending. Watch closely if it does.

Now: $1.795
TP1: $1.89
TP2: $1.97

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Genting on the rise?

Dear Friends,

Genting sure looks good, may consider as it has accumulated in a range without dropping past $1.50.
Can consider looking at it for before earnings play. I know it may be a bit late with a 6 cents move, but I think still can consider..

Now: $1.53
TP1: $1.59-$1.60
TP2: $1.65
Stop: $1.47

Ask for its earnings date from your broker...

----------------------------------------------------

Update at 9.34am, 
Within a few minutes, it goes up another few cents, if u did not go in, dont chase, wait for the pullback, or once it reach $1.59, see whether there is consolidation first.


It is a boring day as the world awaits the FRIDAY reports!

Dear Friends,

2day is a really boring day as the world awaits the mega reports this friday. US market is almost stagnant now. Btw, do expect 2moro Asia market and US market to be dull as well. And there might be a little profit taking before Friday.

As Dow is approaching the all time high, we need a catalyst to breakout of the all time high. Will this friday's reports be enough for it? Or will the reports be pulling the stock market down instead.

This Friday will have a double whammy mega reports with the jobs reports and the manufacturing reports. Non-farm payroll is the key to watch out for. For now, after a research, we do not think that non farm will be bad. We should expect something that is up to expectations or even better.

For manufacturing, look towards the ISM. If these 2 are good, expect a push further into February as the earnings euphoria starts to wear off. Remember that we have said that we predict February would be a crucial month. We expect a peak to be reached in Feb followed by a sideway month.

Just be very careful in March. We expect latest, beginning of April to have a downturn.
Last Article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/going-into-critical-month-of-february.html

However having said that, if jobs reports are bad on friday, this process may be escalated. Let us look closely into Friday's mega reports!

Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 29 January 2013

Market Sentiment Indicator for 29 Jan

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.71% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 63.04% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 82.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 79.54%   (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 87.65% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 77.22% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 86.54% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)
 
 

The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Singapore Stock Tip: JES ready to break $0.20?

Dear Friends,

JES ready to break $0.20 and go into 20 cents category stock? Seems like so...

Now:$0.199
Target Profit 1: $0.24-$0.25
Target Profit 2: $0.27-$0.30

Stop: $0.183

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Interra Resources and Tat Hong still good

Dear Friends,

Do you remembered these 2 companies we recommended? We believe there may be more upside ;).

18th Jan article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-can-tat-hong-break.html
28th Jan article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-interra-resouces.html

Both have run. For our profit targets, refer to the links above

If you have made $, shift your stop loss to breakeven.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Biosensors 2nd target hit, 3rd target?

Dear Friends,

In the last Article on this stock, we mentioned our 2nd target is $1.37-$1.40. TP1 and TP2 hit! Bingo!

If you are greedy now, shift your stop loss to $1.37, 3rd TP is now $1.47-$1.50.

Please do not enter if you have not. This TP3 are for the greedys....

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Monday, 28 January 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Interra Resouces power run?

Dear Friends,

This stock I have been watching for some time, seems on the run now after strong accumulation.

Now: 0.47
Target Profit 1: 0.59-0.60
Target Profit 2: 0.70

It is a Blessing to share our knowledge! Thank you!

We have a really good investment seminar in KL last Thursday. Turnout is unexpected. Hope to help more people in gaining stocks knowledge! Looking forward to our next investment event in Johor! 



Going into the critical month of February

Dear Friends,

This is one of the crucial months where the final push may come, let us see whether the DOW index will struggle at the all time high, 14198, or 14000 centinnial figure, which I believe it might.

Looking forward, I am optimistic about the employment results this Friday. Let us see if this good result will push the index towards the all time high resistance. However my job is to serve a caution to those who thinks that life will be rosy in the market these 2 months.

Our forecast (which is of different sentiment to what the market is thinking now) is that this peak will reach in February, at which the index will struggle, and might go sideway for around 4 weeks before the fall occurs.  Our opinion is not that Feb will drop big. Nope. We feel that it may go up a bit still but reach a peak and hang there for a while.

The latest date of the fall will be end of March or beginning of April.

I think some of you might have heard of the debt ceiling story. It is delayed to May. With or without the debt ceiling, market cycles do occur. And I believe we do not have to wait to May for the drop.

Is this a GREAT opportunity?

YES!

In fact, we have already prepared by weapon to capture this downfall. A fall to us is a great opportunity, to capture the short first and buy at bottom. It is when market falls where BIG MONEY is make! Money is going to change hands again, and the retailers is going to suffer again. This cycle will happen again.

Now, selecting the right stock to play is more difficult as not all will run now. Do be extra vigilant and careful this month onwards.

This is an early cautionary prediction from me.... we may be wrong, but the RISK is higher in February than January, especially after the earnings season in mid Feb!

Daniel Loh
www.danielloh.com



Market Sentiment Indicator for 28 Jan

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 76.40% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 62.40% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 81.40% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 79.55%   (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 2 Jan)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 85.19% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 77.22% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 84.62% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert since 11 Dec)
 
 

The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Sunday, 27 January 2013

Question on Mewah: Can we hold on to it?

Dear Friends,

I received quite a number of questions on Mewah. We feel that this stock still has potential still. There is a strong support around $0.50 - $0.52. If you can, just hang on to it. The professional money is still in the game. You may wait with them.

Mewah price now: $0.535
Target 1: $0.59 - $0.60
Target 2: $0.665 - $0.70

Saturday, 26 January 2013

Questions by a friend on Apple and Singapore Market and Interest Rates


1) Maybe give example of why Apple shares collapse despite so many buy calls from analysts. 

Apple I feel will be back this year when it is going to release a new product which they have every year. If it manage to have I-TV, this stock will be back up. I did not know that a lot of analysts issue buy calls. But i guess now, one by one they will lower the expectations, starting form Goldman yesterday, which is perfect for Apple!

Apple I actually predict it to gap up yesterday. This goes to show that earnings is a dangerous game, you are more often wrong than right. Yesterday the market choose to focus on the poor i-phone sales not reaching the expected target even thought the EPS exceeded the expected figures.

2) Maybe discuss how resilient the Singapore market will be going forward and why it will stay that way. 

Singapore follows US stock market closely, and i believe if US drops, which I predict in the next 2 months, singapore should follow. 

3) Maybe discuss what happen if interest rate start to rise as predicted by Soros recently.

I feel interest rate will only rise when unemployment rate falls to 6.5%, as that is the target FED lays. And I dont think it will happen until next year. But if it happens, the stock market will panic a bit, but it will be a tremendous chance to enter as it means that economy is doing well. A little interest increase dont hurt, but will stimulate the stock market. 

Having said that, we predict Asia will be the next region to suffer from an economy collapse if interest rate goes to a high point, as our inflation problem is more severe than US or Europe

Friday, 25 January 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Did you make money from our Biosensors Call?

Dear Friends,

5 days ago we said Biosensors is accumulating and there may be a chance that it will go up when it was $1.23. Now it is $1.30! Our first target is reached. I think this stock still has potential.

I am aiming for second target $1.37-$1.40. But I put my stop loss at $1.27!

Last article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-biosensors-in-tight.html

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Did you forget we ask you to be patient on Yoma?

Dear Friends,

On 18th Dec, we issued on tip on Yoma when price is $0.71. We said it is not dead.
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/singapore-stock-tip-who-says-yoma-is.html

On 20th Dec, we said Yoma drops is healthy.
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/singapore-stock-tip-yoma-drop-today-is.html

On 28th Dec, we mentioned "WAIT" patiently as we think the professional $ wants to wear down our patience. 
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/blumont-hits-our-profit-target-ezion.html

We mentioned that $0.77-$0.80 is our target price. Yesterday it finally hits after 20 odd days of waiting! Today it goes up 85 cents come back down!

Bingo again, remember next time if the professional money is still inside, wait with them!

You will be rewarded!

Rgds
Daniel

Radio FM958 (Fri, 25 Jan 1.15pm) talking about Market Outlook on US new high and Asia

Dear Friends,

I will be interviewed on radio station Capital FM958 today, Fri from 1.15pm-1.30pm with DJ  Di Cong talking about the <Market Outlook on US new high and Asia>

If you are interested to know more, just tune in to FM958... :)

Radio Station website: Listen Live
http://entertainment.xin.msn.com/zh/radio/capital958/

Need Windows Media Player 11

Thank you
Daniel Loh

Wednesday, 23 January 2013

US Tech sector has not disappoint with Good Google Results, Apple next?

Dear Friends,

We did mention that this festive earnings season should be good in America as expectations has been lowered last quarter.Indeed judging by some big companies progress, it seems to be a good 4th quarter for the tech sector or the US companies in general.

Well, tech normally is the strongest sector in last quarter. Today Google's results proves that. See how Google gaps up $35 in after market hours!

Hence our prediction is that US stock market might not reach a peak yet, so it is still ok to hold your stocks in general. Wait till the earnings euphoria dies off...

Google share price:
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/GOOG?link=MW_story_quote

Tonight is the biggest of them all. Whether Apple will revive its fortunes depends on tonight's earnings! It has been down $200 from its heights of $705, lying around $500 now.

I am quietly optimistic about this results. I will looking forward to a gap up in Apple price 2moro.

If Apple revives, pay attention to it this quarter. If the results aren't good, just dump it in the rubbish bin!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 22 January 2013

Free Spore Stocks Seminar + 2013风水旺位分析

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Full Market and Stock analysis Using ART system
***Stock to watch in 2013!***


Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

Date: 24 Jan 2013, Thu (English Seminar) or 25 Jan 2013 Fri (华文风水讲座 ) 
Time: 7pm – 10pm
Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Special Guest Speakers: Master Jo Ching (only  25 Jan(华语)
    - Luck forecast for 12 Animal Signs for 2013 (12生肖运程)
- How to activate Wealth and Career Luck at home & Office in 2013 (2013风水旺位分析)
- 2013蛇宝宝吉祥姓名学分析
    


Master Jo Ching, founder of DestinyAsia Global Consultancy, is a classical feng shui practitioner that also provides trainings to enthusiasts and practitioners who strive to excel in the field of Chinese Metaphysics.
Besides, he also works with companies to conduct seminars and public speaking such as Prudential, HDB, Singtel, Citibank, JTC Corporation, Park Regis Hotel, Crown Worldwide, Business Network International, The British Club and etc.
He has been interviewed by Lian He Wan Bao, Yahoo, The Prestige Magazine, Straits Time Razor TV  and Asiaone on topics like Feng Shui at Marina Bay and Dragon Year Chinese Zodiac Forecast.  You can find out more about him at www.destinyasia.com.sg.     

To register pls click here 
or SMS  to 93676623 

Is KLCI 5% fall a good chance to buy short term?

Dear Friends,

In the past, I wrote an article for Busy Weekly investment newspaper, talking about if KLCI drops 5% before election, it is a good chance to buy in.

http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/klciby-daniel-loh-for-busy-weekly.html

Amazingly, KLCI did just that! It actually drop 5% in 2 trading days. It drops from 1700 to 1605 a drop of slightly more than 5%.


And I think short term wise, things might get better from this sudden panic. Fundamentally the reason for the drop is that there is a rumor on earlier election, which I think all Malaysians should have heard of.

Today the panic may have subside a bit, retracing strongly into the closing bell.

But having said that, the uncertainty to the election outcome still remains. And stock market HATES uncertainty.

Our opinion is that this rebound is a chance to make very short term money ONLY. If the election fails to produce a favorable result for the ruling party, get ready for a volatile time again.

Mid term to long term wise, try not to hold too many positions at hand.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Mewah (Update 22 Jan: A Trader's Weapon)

Past article:

Dear Friends,

Seems like accumulation is going on in this stock? Looks like it, at least not out yet. If you can wait, just go inside this consolidation region now. It is lying in a base of $0.53.

Investing is a waiting game. Let us quietly see what might happen.

Mewah price now: $0.545
Target 1: $0.60
Target 2: $0.665 - $0.70

---------------------------------------------------------------

Update on 22nd Jan

Dear Friends,

There are friends who ask me about this stock that we recommended. At the time of recommendation, it is $0.545. It went up to highest $0.59 before dropping, 1 cent off our target price 1. (Sometimes luck just isn't there)

Those who are still in the stock, this is my opinion. This stock has a strong support at $0.50. If you are a long term trader, I encourage you to hold as I think oil prices in the mid term will likely continue higher which is good for Mewah.

Short term traders, my opinion is to liquidate position as emotions may interrupt our trades. I will always want to liquidate first if the stock drop for a few days as I want to be at the best psychology everyday! But remember not to abandon the stock totally. It might be like OSIM, ding dong and bouncing around in a box.

If it rebounds, there is still a chance to go in again. We should keep at a lookout at $0.50, major support to see if there is a bounce. We need an up day now to see if professional money is still inside the stock. My opinion is they still are.

(JUST something to share: If you go in early like me at $0.545, and you are a short term trader, always have the habit of liquidating your position at breakeven whenever it rises but comes back to breakeven point again. This should be a trader's habit and best weapon to guard your downside in case you are wrong.)

That always sound easy, but tough to execute. But if you practice that, you are on the way to be a disciplined trader.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Hong Kong Stock Tip: A recommendation by a graduate

Dear Friends,

Seems like in Hong Kong, there are still some good stocks worth looking. This stock looks quite good for a run-up.
Shangri-la Asia 00069

Price Now: 16.98
Target: 19.50
Stop Loss: 15.98



Monday, 21 January 2013

A vote of confidence from Warren Buffett on US economy

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Billionaire Warren Buffett believes the federal deficit should be stabilized in relation to U.S. economic growth, but that the nation’s $16.4 trillion in red ink is not trouble in and of itself. 

“It is not a good thing to have it going up in relation to GDP, that should be stabilized, but the debt itself is not a problem,” the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway said in an interview broadcast Sunday on the CBS “Sunday Morning” news show. 

To read on:

---------------------------------------------

If Warren Buffett is not worried, so shouldn't we. I agreed that US economy is going better and should improve. We just need to wait for unemployment rate to decrease, and inflation and rising of interest rate will start to kick in.

Hence the Bull market should live on this year... just be careful of short term correction

Rgds
Daniel

2013年曾渊沧博士展望股票场 研讨会

亲爱的朋友,

欢迎参加股市专家,我很尊敬的曾博士为大家讲解2013年股市的前景


大会详情
早上(讲座)
- 曾渊沧博士主讲:2013年的股市比2012年好?
下午(大师班,限量座位)
- 战胜心理,成为CFD交易的大赢家
- 交易心理及自律的重要性
- 重要图表技巧及交易贴士
- 分析CFD在股市所扮演的角色及其潜力

Raffles Business Institute (RBI) 成员享有10%优惠折扣。请打入折扣代码 "RBI"
Raffles Business Institute (RBI) referrals enjoy 10% discount
Please key in the promotional code "RBI" in the registration link below 

Registration website:  http://moc2013-rbi.eventbrite.com

Daniel Loh
RBI chief investment trainer
RBI is the supporting organiser of this event

S&P500 at 5 year high since Jan 2008, will it test all time high of 1576?

Dear Friends,

We have been very optimistic about US market ever since December and we have been right that this earnings season kicks off to a great start. S&P500 has gained 35% since Oct 2011. It is now 1485 points, at 5 years high point since Jan 2008.

S&P500 all time high is 1576. Hearing from CNBC, it is reported that last week, 22 billion US dollars flow into equities, the largest inflow we have seen since 1992. You can see the bullish momentum in US market at its peak.

Chart of S&P500:

Having said that, this week is an important week to watch out for. We are entering into the important earnings week. 20% of S&P500 stocks will be reporting next week. So far, the industrials stocks have been doing extremely well with the good news from China's GDP.

Technological sector will be the focus in midweek with the earnings announcement of Google (on Tuesday after market close) and Apple (on Wednesday after market close). These 2 companies shall dominate the headlines in mid week.

Our prediction is that earnings will push the index higher but there will be a strong resistance at historical high, Dow is 14198, S&P500 is 1576. We don't see it breaking in these 2 coming months. Even if it breaks, the higher it goes, the stronger will be the pullback. When these festive earnings period dies down, so will the stocks positive momentum.

As we reiterate in the past, we expect a pullback in Feb or March. Our market sentiment indicator will tell us the timing of the turn. Study our market sentiment indicator closely. Now all 4 pillar sectors of US economy are in the bullish states. When one sector turns bearish, it is a warning sign that peak is approaching.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/market-sentiment-indicator-for-17-jan.html

In the meantime, let us enjoy this bullish run. Don't short yet. Just minimise your positions going forward now.


Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Friday, 18 January 2013

Oil Prices continue its upward momentum as predicted

Dear Friends,

In December, we mentioned that oil prices should continue its upward trend and break $90 when I was interviewed in FM958.

In January, we again issued an article to maintain our bullish view.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/the-last-sector-energy-has-turned.html

Now, light crude oil price has reached $96, yesterday's high price.


Although temporary it might retrace a bit due to overbought signal, we continue to believe that crude oil might reach $100 in the mid term as demand of crude oil increases in this season

Singapore Stock Tip: Biosensors in tight accumulation and distribution zone

Dear Friends,

Sometimes stocks has its accumulation and distribution zoning prices. Biosensor is one of them. It leads to strong support and resistance.

See if this stock can break its distribution area?

At least now we know it has just lifted off its accumulation area...going up?


First Target: 1.26
Second target if break 1.30, $1.37-$1.40

Stop loss: $1.18

Singapore Stock Tip: Can Tat Hong break $1.50? Let us see...

Dear Friends,

I like strong earnings stock. If a stock has strong earnings, that stock has a great chance to be a hit for that quarter!. It will be out performing most of the stocks. Tat Hong is one of them. Having said that, it has run a bit too. Now it is facing a resistance at $1.50. Let us see if it breaks.

I feel this stock might have one last run before its earnings. Let us see if it does.

-------------------------------------------------
Last earnings results:

Tat Hong: First Half Net Profit Surges 88% To S$34 Million.

09 Nov 2012 17:13
Tat Hong Holdings Ltd reported a strong second quarter performance for the 3-month period ended 30 September 2012 with net profit attributable to shareholders increasing 37% to S$17.3 million and revenue improving 18% to reach S$216.0 million, compared with the 3-month period ended 30 September 2011. Profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the financial year improved a hefty 88% to reach S$34.0 million on the back of a 26% improvement in revenue to $431.3 million...

----------------------------------------------------

Now: $1.47

If break $1.50,
Target 1 : $1.59-$1.60
Target 2:  $1.65-$1.70

Stop: $1.39

Singapore Stock Tip: Supergroup reached our target price 3.17-3.20

Dear Friends,

When Supergroup is at $3.01, we identified that this might be a good entry point. And our target is $3.17-$3.20.

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-supergroup-going.html

Indeed a few days it is now $3.18, reached our target. Will it break $3.20, maybe, so if you entered, please sell half and let the other run. If it drops past $3.15, sell away.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Good News from China again, look at China recovery story stocks

Dear Friends,

Reported in Marketwatch:

"China’s economy grew by 7.9% in the fourth quarter compared to a year earlier, with the data beating economists’ expectations and feeding into optimism that world’s second-largest economy was on an improving trajectory.

The gross-domestic-product growth represented an increase from 7.4% growth in the third quarter and 7.6% growth in the second quarter. The Chinese government has a target of 7.5% annual GDP growth."


---------------------------------------------

It is not surprising that China economy starts to pick up as Europe recovery should have helped in the exports of goods for China. Needless to say, China stocks should be on our agenda this year. 

Shanghai Composite is now 2315, up 30 points because of the good news. We expect the index to go up to 2500 before facing a resistance.

Of course, as mentioned in our last article, I am aiming at a 2-3 years long term play in shipping industry, which is directly related to China and Europe. Someone ask me about Yang Zi Jiang, NOL and Cosco. This is definitely something I would consider in my long term portfolio list. I am just waiting for the right time to pull the trigger. Going in before earnings would be short term play. Going in after a good earnings results would be a long term play. Short term wise, better to wait for it to bounce off $1.02 convincingly, when accumulation and consolidation is about to finish.

And coming quarterly earnings results in early February will provide me the insight whether this shipping industry has REALLY recovered. If not this quarter, it might be next that gives a good result! And I will be focusing closely on it. The last quarter results of Yang Zi Jiang is on 7th Nov, I expect close to 7th Feb will be the coming one.

Rgds
Daniel

Thursday, 17 January 2013

Value Investing Interviews of Big Gurus


胡立阳老师 video : 股市抄底 路在何方

 

Market Sentiment Indicator for 17 Jan

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 73.47% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 18 Dec)  

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 60.74% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 77.80% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 68.20%   (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 82.70% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 72.15% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 80.77% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
 
 

The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.


Wednesday, 16 January 2013

STI momentum continues, going after 3240 again?

Dear Friends,

We could sense the bullishness int he market still. Like what we think in our past article, the bullish momentum is still on the run. Probably we need to be concerned only in Feb. This pullback these couple of days is a great one for us to pursue. We anticipate there is a chance for STI to carry to go after 3240, the last high again. Thanks the government for the cooling measure. It sure cools the market off a bit. But it just seems temporary to me, ha.

But having said that, we still got to caution that we are on the high side, meaning risks are high should you enter. And picking the right stocks are important. Good money management plays a part. This is a good time as some stocks are pulled down these few days. You are getting a shopping discount now.

Do remember that we have entered into earnings season though. Your stocks will be put on trial. Take note of your trial date! It may either gap up or down. Hence it is advisable for you to pay attention. Short term players you may focus on stocks that have done well. Long term players may do a portfolio review to see if your stocks are still in good health.

There will be opportunities and there may be risks. But this is why stocks are exciting, isn't it?

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Supergroup going past $3 a good sign now

Dear Friends,

Taking a look at Supergroup going past $3. This is purely price action short term play. I am willing to take the risk should it falls below $3, setting a very tight stop loss at $2.95.

Once reached $3.10, I put a stop loss at $3.00.

Target: $3.17-$3.20

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Tuesday, 15 January 2013

Secrets of US market: Statistics about 1st Quarter that will affect Singapore Market!

Do Join our FREE Seminar on Tue (English) and Wed (华语) to learn how to capture the opportunities in Quarter 1 of Yr 2013 !!!

TOPIC: <<Statistics about 1st Quarter that will affect Singapore market>>  presentation by Daniel Loh
《2013年第一季您要了解的股市数据》



You shall learn:

- What is the Santa Claus Rally effect?
- What is the January Effect?
- What are the best months to buy stocks and why?
- What are the hedge fund managers aiming for Quarter 1?
- What are the sectors to watch out for for this yr?


Date: 
15 Jan 2013, Tue  7pm - 10pm   (English)
16 Jan 2013, Wed   7pm - 10pm   (Chinese 华文)
Speaker: Daniel Loh

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light


To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

A reminder of how powerful Earnings are - Ezra

Dear Friends,

Yesterday before market open, Ezra announces it s earnings. A disappointment. As you can see from its chart, yesterday it gaps down and today it continues its downward movement.

As a caution, for short term players, take note of your stocks earnings day. The more your stock runs up, the more dangerous it will be, should it fall short of expectations. Do not think that stocks like Ezion will run up forever. It is because of this run-up, that Ezion is more dangerous than stocks like Noble.

For short term players (1-2 mths), I encourage to liquidate all your stocks before earnings to avoid any gap down. We can always buy back if all is good. Remember that short term players don't like risk and uncertainty. We do not gamble with earnings results.

For long term players (1-2 years), ignore our advice as you are studying the long term prospect of your stock, and probably you need not care about one quarter earnings results.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore market a sea of red with 20 points drop, what do we do now?

Dear Friends,

With this drop, it is a wonderful reminder of the importance of good money management practice. Always take note of what good traders do, Protecting Capital.

For short term traders: for those stocks that you have earned money but came down to breakeven, sell them. For those stocks that you have made a good profit, move your stop loss up to guard your profits.For those stocks that are in the red, all the more our stop loss is important to guard more losses.

By the way, do you remembered that in our past articles, we asked everybody to short the banks to act as a hedge? Well, the banks sure has fallen now. And if you have made money from the fall in banks following our call, congratulations. UOB has fallen $1 from its height at $20.

Our past article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-banks-showing.html

As an advice, next time when we think that the market is overheated, find some stocks you think may short to act as a hedge against your bullish position. And STI at 3240 is exactly the resistance like what we predicted!

On 2nd Jan, we issued an article to ask everyone to note of STI at 3240, the recent high is 3237 (3 points off our target, ha! Well I have to thank my sifu, Mr Hu Li Yang for his teachings)
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/time-to-cut-down-on-your-bullish.html


At the same time, now I hope some of the stocks which I have been aiming but did not manage to get on board, come back to a reasonable price. Yang Zi Jiang is one of those.

By the way, I think all is not lost now, as I feel the real bear momentum has not come yet. It is still early now. US market is still ok. So I will still be looking at opportunities to look at some stocks should it drop and stabilise. Let us get really worried when February comes. The main bulk of stocks in US have not declared earnings yet.
Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Monday, 14 January 2013

Europe and Asia powers forward, Singapore the only exception

Dear Friends,

Everything goes according to plan. The Singapore market along with STI falls. Property stocks gapped down at open. We mentioned not to short any stocks today as we mentioned that you can never beat the market makers. They gapped down the stocks at the open and push the stocks up to maintain liquidity.

See our article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-property-stocks-gap-down-on.html

Fundamentally, we believe that property stocks that made their money overseas will be less affected by the cooling measures. And these are the stocks to watch out for. In facebook, we mentioned Yanlord as such a company. Indeed Yanlord even closed in the green today after gapping down at the open. It remains unaffected by the trauma in the property market. (Strong)

By the way, do you remembered we issued an article talking about the resurgence of the Shipping industry? Indeed, all 3 stocks, Yang Zi Jiang, NOL and Cosco goes up, even today when STI dropped. This shows the strength of the sector. But take note that short term wise, they will reach a resistance soon.

Article on Shipping industry:
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/01/singapore-stock-tip-resurgence-of-yang.html

Cosco at 1.07-1.10 and Yang at 1.17-1.20 are resistances. They may stop here for a while. But having said that, Yang to me is the stock to watch out for this year! Every drop is a good opportunity to pick up its bits and pieces. Fundamentally it has the highest growth rate.

Some stocks today indeed falls down, but everything seems to be in order as the big market remains bullish. Europe and Asia are all in the green. I expect US to have a good earnings this month as mentioned in past articles. February is the month to be careful.

Perhaps this cooling measure is afterall a great thing to pause the momentum of STI a bit so that it can push on to higher heights!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Sunday, 13 January 2013

Singapore Property Stocks gap down on open on Monday, what you should do?

Dear Friends,

I think by now, all should have known of the bombshell our government drop on housing to cool the housing market.

See this news to know more:
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/cooling-measures-singapore-123119443--sector.html

This is perhaps the most severe of all measures, and definitely housing companies will be affected.

My opinion is that if you have porperty stocks at hand, please don't sell away on monday at the opening minutes. What is lost is lost. If your stock gaps down, let it be. Let the panic subside. Trying to sell in a panic is the last thing you want. Always know that this measure will not immediately make an impact on the earnings of your property company. If your stock is having business overseas, then all the more it won't have any impact on its bottomline. So just hang on.

For those who thinking of shorting the stock, I do not encourage that. Market makers are too clever for you. By gapping the stocks down, they will try to maintain liquidity. If you short it, you may be against them. Even if you want to short, do not short during the first 60 minutes. I would encourage you to short only after Monday when you think your stock is weak.

For those that are holding on to stocks, expect the market to drop a bit, STI to be down because of the property stocks. However always remember that the fundamentals of the market in general is still bullish. I might even add some positions to my portfolio if I spot any strength in the any stocks amid the drop! 

And contrary to what you might think, one sector I will be watching to buy is the PROPERTY SECTOR, when stability returns.  I will be aiming at those property stocks whose money is not made in Singapore, but overseas, like China. Hope they are pulled down!   ;)


Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com


Market Sentiment Indicator for 13 Jan

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 72.66% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 60.12% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 77.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 65.91%   (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 80.25% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 74.68% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 76.92% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Friday, 11 January 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Civmec on the run now after accumulation, Ausgroup ran, PEC next?

Dear friends, these are short duration trades that may come down fast if not careful. Caution and speed is needed in placing such trades with small volume.

1) CIVMEC

It is running now. Price is $1.215.
Accumulation down over past few days, going..

Target 1 : $1.27-$1.30

Stop: $1.17

--------------------------------------------
2) Ausgroup ran before I can catch it.

Noticed Ausgroup, ran fast today, cant catch now...

---------------------------------------------

3) PEC

But in my radar is PEC, accumulation ongoing

Price now $0.695

Target 1 : $0.77-$0.80
Stop: $0.665(Tight tight stop loss as vol small)

--------------------------------------------

S&P500 at 5 year high, what does it mean?

Dear Friends,

S&P500 continues its surge forward with a triple top at $1470. Yesterday high is $1472. I would believe that S&P500 would not have difficulty crossing this barrier as the earnings season gets started. Dow goes up another 80 points on Thursday.

It is reported in marketwatch that data from China bolstered the view of an improving global economy.

“Chinese growth is accelerating and the market over the last day or so seems to have taken on a more positive tone as it relates to earnings,” said Mark Luschini, chief market strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott. 

December exports data from China beat expectations, while European Central Bank President Mario Draghi projected that the euro zone’s economy would bounce back later this year. 

That is what we believe too, there should be a recovery in China and Europe. US economy will be gradually producing results soon. With the fiscal cliff incident and uncertainty behind us, US companies might start to allocate the budget to rehire people. We expect the unemployment rate to drop in 2013. And that is the reason why FED is discussing about abandoning the QE3 policy by year end.

However having said that, we believe that US or Singapore Stock market will never go in a straight line. There will be ups and downs throughout the year. From our research, we project that US stock market might reach a peak in February or March. The momentum of S&P500 will start to slow down after this earnings season. 

Bear in mind we have a debt ceiling dateline coming in March. It is just nice in February we bring this topic up again. Expect volatility. A good trader is one who reads the market cycle well, and has a way to gauge the market sentiment. We always believe that an established trading system should encompass a good market timing and a good sector analysis, not only on stocks selection.

In the meanwhile, happy trading ahead as the US market is still in acceleration mode. Just take note of February and look at our website to know of any change in the market sentiment. And bear in mind that US market will definitely affect Singapore market.

Regards
Daniel Loh

Market Sentiment Indicator for 11 Jan

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 72.25% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 18 Dec)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 59.50% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 76.80% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 65.91%   (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 2 Jan)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 80.25% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 28 Dec)

6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 73.42% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 5 Dec)

 
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 75.00% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
 
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector

 
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 


A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: The resurgence of Yang Zi Jiang and the shipping industry?

Dear Friends,

Shipping industry seems to have bottomed with China Shanghai Composite recent rally. Will this industry be the comeback industry? Will the recovery of China and Europe economy in 2013 power the 3 shipping giants? MAYBE!

Looking at the charts of NOL, Yangzijiang and Cosco, Prefer Yang Zi Jiang. There may be accumulation taking place, and slightly above the psychological support of $1, it makes the reward higher than the risk. I also looking at NOL, today also running 4 cts. prefer not to chase NOL, let us see whether they consolidate. Cosco still below $1, wait for it to burst thru or consolidate to $0.90 before taking another look.


Yang Zi Jiang can be both a long term or short term play. Long term you may want to hold until Europe and China economy becomes better this year. Short term trading, pls take note of all 3 companies' earnings this quarter. It is still be a risk to hold this stock thru its earnings.

Price now: $1.03
Short term target 1: $1.10,
Short term target 2: $1.17-$1.20

Stop loss: $0.97

Alcoa (US Stock) powers Asia market forward

Dear Friends,

As mentioned in last article, Alcoa will kick off the earnings season with its own earnings release. Good start to the earnings season as Alcoa’s shares climbed after hours after it swung to a fourth-quarter profit and said it expects global aluminum demand to grow 7% in 2013, compared with 6% in 2012.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/alcoa-swings-to-profit-on-lower-expenses-2013-01-08

We pay attention to this aluminium king not only because it is the first major company releasing results. But it also represents the whole of industrial metal industry. Industrial metals are like copper, aluminium, zinc and tin. Wall Street look to this company to know the future of the industry. Wallstreet listens to what the CEO said about the forecasts and projections. Hence it is extra important for us to take note.  

Prices of industrial metals on the rise today:
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/futures/metals/


As traders, we should identify the GIANTS who represent that industry and listen to their press conference speech or report. All these info are FREE in US! Probably this piece of news will bring some confidence back to precious metals.

And it gives the earnings season an excellent start. Today the ASIA market goes up because of this news. I anticipate the whole general 4th quarter results from US to be good and better than 3rd quarter. Looking forward to this quarter earnings.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Tip: Did you make $ from UtdEnvirotech?

Dear Friends,

Do you remember our call on UtdEnvirotech? On 21 Dec we called and wrote an article titled  "Who is buying this stock - United Envirotech?" At that time the price is $0.435. We said that first target is $0.60 and 2nd target is $0.67-$0.70.

Our last article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/singapore-stock-tip-who-is-buying-this.html

On 28th December, I reiterated that the professional money still inside and I will continue to hold with them.

Today it gaps up to $0.59 before retreating. (Ouch, 1 ct off my target). Now it is at $0.56. No wonder I saw "them" buying. It is those insiders again. There is a good news on this stock, finally released today.

My philosophy of short term trading is if news come out and gapping occurs, I will liquidate all positions on the first 10 minutes. American stocks is first 5 minutes. Anyway we have since made quite a bit already, it is ok to liquidate first and buy back later. Once this stock stabilise and strength shows again, then we enter.

(Update on 3:54pm) : I have friend who tell me he go into the stock at the open after gapping. Please don't do that next time, especially for a stock that has run for a few days. You can always go in upon consolidation when the selling pressure dies off. Let us wait for a while and see this stock after a few days.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Good News of acquisition 

United Envirotech: Acquisition Of 350 Million Shares Of Memstar Technology For S$35 Million.

09 Jan 2013 10:21
United Envirotech Ltd. is pleased to announce that the Company has on 8 January 2013 entered into a sale and purchase agreement with Dr. Ge Hailin , an existing shareholder of Memstar Technology Ltd, holding in aggregate 277,817,724 ordinary shares, representing approximately 10.46% of the existing issued and paid-up share capital of MTL, in relation to the proposed acquisition of 130,000,000 shares for an aggregate consideration of S$13 million and a sale and purchase agreement with Ms. Pan Shuhong, an existing shareholder of MTL, holding directly and indirectly 1,040,781,124 ordinary shares, representing approximately 39.19% of the existing issued and paid-up share capital of MTL, in relation to the proposed acquisition of 220,000,000 shares for an aggregate consideration of S$22 million...

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Singapore Stock Tip: Banks showing weakness still

Dear Friends,

A few weeks back, we mentioned that Singapore Banks may have hit a strong roadblock! We mentioned that UOB resistance is $20, OCBC is $9.80 or $10(major resistance), DBS is $15.

Non of the banks broke out of the major resistances yet, when STI continues to power on these few weeks, even when fiscal cliff is over.

Our last article on Singapore Banks:
 http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/singapore-banks-have-not-broken-their.html

UOB now is $19.43, who seems the weakest looking at the chart. OCBC is $9.72, DBS is $14.81.

We still maintained our view that you can consider shorting these stocks to maintain a hedge against your bullish position if you are not willing to leave your bullish position.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

With STI down, it is a timely reminder that 3240 might be a barrier

Dear Friends,

As explained in radio and blog and facebook, 3240 is a barrier for STI. It is especially good today that the broad Asia market is down, as STI needs a pause. STI highest reached ysterday is 3237. Now it is at 3214.

We once again need to provide this advice as a reminder, wait a few days to see how US market respond positively to the start of the earnings season tonight:

Our 7 points suggestion:

1) Cut down on your position size overall on bullish positions for Singapore market. ie. in the past you may buy $30,000 worth of shares. Now buy only $10,000 even if you want to enter
2) Take note that the risk is higher now than 1 month back.
3) Focus on stocks that are fundamentally good with earnings.
4) Take note of when your companies earnings' dates are for their 4th quarter results
5) Sell away all short term positions for stocks that have increased a lot before their earnings
6) For good stocks that you are holding, establish a tight stop loss. For those that are profitable, move your stop loss up to guard your profits
7) Leave 50% of your money as cash to take up positions when market consolidate again


By the way, we are not saying that 3240 is a barrier that can't break through. It can, provided that US market is positive to its earnings results. Let us wait and see how market reacts to the earnings. Even when u enter, cut down on your size.

It is our mission to help you SAVE your money, not only MAKE money!

Rgds
Daniel Loh
www.danielloh.com

Radio FM958访谈 2018年11月15日:世界股市展望 - 现在是熊市吗?

·         美国 股市担心苹果业绩,巴菲特却大胆投资! 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ,掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...