Dear Friends,
Yesterday we advised on Both Ezion and Yanlord. Today Yanlord continue its momentum to burst thru the $1.50 resistance with a 7cts move... cool???
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/12/singapore-stock-tip-ezion-and-yanlord.html
Have you made some $? Now hopefully Ezion follows the same path.
My Ezra also running ;) ....Ezra I am targetting $1.17-$1.20, whereby it will need a rest.
Regards
Daniel
Friday, 14 December 2012
DOW did meet a short term resistance at 13300, but we don't think this run has ended!
Dear Friends,
Now Dow has fallen by near to 60 points in mid day. Some of you might think this is the end of the bullish run. Mid term wise, we think this bullish run has just warmed up its engine only, possibly will march higher into january earnings. But as there have been so many consecutive up days, a small rest is always needed. This is where experienced players differentiate from the amateurs. Spotting market confidence will tell you to enter at the consolidation or run away with fear!
Look closely at how the market react to news and whether there is a sudden panic will tell you whether Dow might have a small 100-250 points small consolidation or a big 700-1000 points drop.
Look at whether Dow has a 100 points drop will indicate how bearish the market is.
Look at how Dow opens and closes at the end of day will tell you how powerful the bears are.
Look at how the media paints the bearish news and how the market reacts to the news will tell you about the market confidence.
The most important point is........
Look at www.danielloh.com blog every single day to give you a gauge on how to make $! ;)
(Btw, I have received positive compliments that it is a JOY just to read my blog as an entertainment. I am glad about that as I don't like to bombard you with charts. There are too many experts out there! I hope our blog becomes an entertainment and recreation and an educational book. TRADING should be FUN! Do recommend your friends to visit us!)
Just a note, do not be scared by news as news and reaction give us a glimpse to the market sentiment. Learn to embrace down days just like up days as they will tell you whether this run is real or not!
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
Now Dow has fallen by near to 60 points in mid day. Some of you might think this is the end of the bullish run. Mid term wise, we think this bullish run has just warmed up its engine only, possibly will march higher into january earnings. But as there have been so many consecutive up days, a small rest is always needed. This is where experienced players differentiate from the amateurs. Spotting market confidence will tell you to enter at the consolidation or run away with fear!
Look closely at how the market react to news and whether there is a sudden panic will tell you whether Dow might have a small 100-250 points small consolidation or a big 700-1000 points drop.
Look at whether Dow has a 100 points drop will indicate how bearish the market is.
Look at how Dow opens and closes at the end of day will tell you how powerful the bears are.
Look at how the media paints the bearish news and how the market reacts to the news will tell you about the market confidence.
The most important point is........
Look at www.danielloh.com blog every single day to give you a gauge on how to make $! ;)
(Btw, I have received positive compliments that it is a JOY just to read my blog as an entertainment. I am glad about that as I don't like to bombard you with charts. There are too many experts out there! I hope our blog becomes an entertainment and recreation and an educational book. TRADING should be FUN! Do recommend your friends to visit us!)
Just a note, do not be scared by news as news and reaction give us a glimpse to the market sentiment. Learn to embrace down days just like up days as they will tell you whether this run is real or not!
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
KLCI大选前还有机会创新高吗？By Daniel Loh for Busy Weekly, Malaysia
最近马来西亚综合指数KLCI连续下滑了接近一个月，相信很多朋友都被这一个月的下滑给吓坏了。KLCI从10月29日的高点1679点下滑到11月28日的低点1590，接近5.3% 的跌幅。
在这里，我们呼吁大家乘这一次下滑的机会进场投资一些业绩报告比预期还好的股票。我们相信1590点很有可能是大选之前的底部了。我们接下来两三个月是比较看好马来西亚的股市。
今天我们想给大家几个原因让大家参考为什么：
1）大选前下滑5%都是买入好机会
以下是KLCI的图表。您可以发现这一年来每当指数下滑接近5%时，都是买进的好机会。去年十一月份KLCI下滑了4.62%。今年四月份KLCI下滑了5.15%。最近一个月KLCI下滑了5.30%就反弹了。买股票我们都知道要买低卖高。但往往当股票跌得深时，股友都不敢进场捡便宜。因为大家可能没有一个概念几时股市会到底部。今天我们就透露我们的发现。马来西亚因为有大选，跟其他市场稍微有些不一样，所以我分成大选前和大选后的股市。大选前，如果KLCI下滑5%，我们鼓励大家进场开始投资一些股票，慢慢逐渐增加数额。
但要提醒大家明年就不一样了。如果明年大选后，只有当KLCI 下滑了10-15%，我们才叫做合理买入的机会。请大家要记得，股市往往跌得深时就会反弹。股市是不会一直跌的，特别是当我们还处于牛市中。我们也相信明年的股市不会进入雄势。在牛市中，正常的股市很少会从高点跌超过15%的。只要一到，大家就可以开始逐渐进场。
2）大选前的股市都不错
任何国家的股市都有同样的现象。只要在大选前的两到三个月股市都会不错。美国是这样，新加坡也是如此。美国11月的大选前5个月都是上涨的。马来西亚快要大选了，而我们也知道可能就在这两到三个月内会有，所以我们相信这个大选的期望会让股市有机会再创历史新高。
3）美国的财政悬崖问题因该能顺利解决
在一个月前，我们写了一则关于财政悬崖的文章《财政悬崖是祸还是福》。在文章中，我们呼吁大家要乘机会进场买股票因为我们有信心美国会在年底解决这个问题。因为这个政策牵涉美国明年的经济。如果不妥善处理，美国也可能明年会进入经济萧条状况。因此我们相信民主党和共和党会达成协议。从美国的道琼斯指数来看，自从道指在11月16日到达了12471点就回弹了。在这一个月内道指已经上升了接近800点。市场的热烈反应也表示他们对财政悬崖的问题表示乐观。当美国股市好，马来西亚股市也不会例外。
我们鼓励大家在马来西亚大选前，开始看一下股市。这一次的下滑是再好不过的机会让股市休息一下再冲刺。但是请大家也要选对好的股票进场。好的股票是指这个季度的业绩比分析师预测的还要好。这些股票这个季度是您应该留意的。
Thursday, 13 December 2012
Our market sentiment indicator on Tech Sector and S&P500 index has turned bullish on 5 Dec 2012
Dear Friends,
I was late to check on our market sentiment indicator recently because I was on holidays last week. But today when I checked, our indicator told us that both tech sector and S&P500 stocks have already turned bullish. Tech sector has turned bullish on 5th Dec while S&P 500 index on 11th Dec.
This is great news for the stock market. Mid term wise, be wary of shorting the stocks now. Do remember that tech sector is the first sector that bring US market to its knees in October. Good that now it has turned bullish. In one of the articles that we wrote last month, we mentioned that tech sector is the sector to watch out going into January.
It seems to follow according to our plan. Normally when one sector starts to change trend, other sectors like oil and gas, or financial sector, or healthcare will follow. Then the whole NYSE or Nasdaq stock exchange will follow.
Hence mid term wise, do take note that we are turning bullish and I predict that this bullishness has a chance to continue into next earnings season in January.
Do take note that our market sentiment indicator has been spot on this year. Hence any shorting position should be treated with caution now.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
I was late to check on our market sentiment indicator recently because I was on holidays last week. But today when I checked, our indicator told us that both tech sector and S&P500 stocks have already turned bullish. Tech sector has turned bullish on 5th Dec while S&P 500 index on 11th Dec.
This is great news for the stock market. Mid term wise, be wary of shorting the stocks now. Do remember that tech sector is the first sector that bring US market to its knees in October. Good that now it has turned bullish. In one of the articles that we wrote last month, we mentioned that tech sector is the sector to watch out going into January.
It seems to follow according to our plan. Normally when one sector starts to change trend, other sectors like oil and gas, or financial sector, or healthcare will follow. Then the whole NYSE or Nasdaq stock exchange will follow.
Hence mid term wise, do take note that we are turning bullish and I predict that this bullishness has a chance to continue into next earnings season in January.
Do take note that our market sentiment indicator has been spot on this year. Hence any shorting position should be treated with caution now.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
Market Sentiment Indicator for 13 Dec
1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 63.44% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 9 Nov)
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 51.08% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 9 Nov)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 66.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 54.55% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 23 Oct)
5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 69.14% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 Nov)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 60.76% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 5 Dec)
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 63.46% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.
A reading below 30 means Oversold condition. Entering position below 30 indicates Market Risk is low. Consider entering when Bearish signal turns Bullish.
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 51.08% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 9 Nov)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 66.20% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 54.55% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 23 Oct)
5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 69.14% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 14 Nov)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 60.76% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 5 Dec)
7) Health Care Sentiment indicator: 63.46% (Bullish signal: Bull Alert 11 Dec)
The figure in % indicates how many percent of stocks are bullish in the exchange or sector
A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.
Question by a friend on OLAM
Question by a friend:
Dear Daniel, your site is very insightful and I enjoy reading it. Can you please comment on olam because a lot of shareholders would like to know if they should dump their olam shares. Many thank.
Answer by Daniel:
Thank you! Olam is really a difficult subject as this stock involves a lot of uncertainties. Short term wise, I have not seen players coming in to accumulate the stock. Do remember that short term players like us don't like uncertainties. Even if this stock break the $1.70 barrier, I would not want it in my portfolio.
Long term wise, I think Olam might be cautious about their next earnings report now. Although they are one of the fastest growing company in singapore with a high growth rate, they may tone down in their coming earnings results which might inevitably lower their earnings. This is something that investors need to take into consideration whether to hold a not. There are better companies out there with good earnings and trending up for you to switch to.
For me, I will switch my portfolio for others. If Olam revives again and you want to gamble, then come back at a later stage.
Regards
Daniel
Dear Daniel, your site is very insightful and I enjoy reading it. Can you please comment on olam because a lot of shareholders would like to know if they should dump their olam shares. Many thank.
Answer by Daniel:
Thank you! Olam is really a difficult subject as this stock involves a lot of uncertainties. Short term wise, I have not seen players coming in to accumulate the stock. Do remember that short term players like us don't like uncertainties. Even if this stock break the $1.70 barrier, I would not want it in my portfolio.
Long term wise, I think Olam might be cautious about their next earnings report now. Although they are one of the fastest growing company in singapore with a high growth rate, they may tone down in their coming earnings results which might inevitably lower their earnings. This is something that investors need to take into consideration whether to hold a not. There are better companies out there with good earnings and trending up for you to switch to.
For me, I will switch my portfolio for others. If Olam revives again and you want to gamble, then come back at a later stage.
Regards
Daniel
Singapore Stock Tip: Ezion and Yanlord on the move
Dear Friends,
2 stocks you can take a look now as they are quite strong today after a bit of consolidation. Both have resistances at $1.50. But if momentum is strong, they might break the barrier. Ezion still got a distance of 5 cents away. This is my preferred choice...
Regards
Daniel
2 stocks you can take a look now as they are quite strong today after a bit of consolidation. Both have resistances at $1.50. But if momentum is strong, they might break the barrier. Ezion still got a distance of 5 cents away. This is my preferred choice...
Regards
Daniel
Singapore Stock Tip: OSIM likely to continue its flight, Tat Hong a pick at consolidation stage, Yoma in safe consolidation
Dear Friends,
1) We did mentioned about OSIM. We did exit recently when it hit $1.80, a resistance after profiting from a 10 cents play up. But these 2 days, I notice that it is likely to trend higher.
So we might likely take up a second position. Our next profit target at $1.90. 2nd profit target I aiming is $1.97. Stop loss now is at $1.77.
2) Tat Hong is also consolidating. We believe it can challenge $1.40 soon. If break, $1.47 is a must run price.
3) For Yoma, you can see this stock is consolidating between 69 cents and 74 cents. Has a chance to go higher. If you have this position, continue to hold. Stop loss at 67 cents. If you have not entered, wait for it to show momentum.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
1) We did mentioned about OSIM. We did exit recently when it hit $1.80, a resistance after profiting from a 10 cents play up. But these 2 days, I notice that it is likely to trend higher.
So we might likely take up a second position. Our next profit target at $1.90. 2nd profit target I aiming is $1.97. Stop loss now is at $1.77.
2) Tat Hong is also consolidating. We believe it can challenge $1.40 soon. If break, $1.47 is a must run price.
3) For Yoma, you can see this stock is consolidating between 69 cents and 74 cents. Has a chance to go higher. If you have this position, continue to hold. Stop loss at 67 cents. If you have not entered, wait for it to show momentum.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
US Stock Tip: Bank of America and Facebook marching forward
Dear Friends,
Have you made money like what our graduates did??? Do you still remember some US stocks I recommend recently? Bank of America and Facebook?
I did mention that Bank of America is a stock for retirement purpose, which can grow multiple fold. Either get in when it retrace to $9 or on a breakout off $10. It did give us both recently. For long term play just don't care and get in. We anticipate it to reach $20 till bear market comes.
Article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/us-stock-tip-stock-for-retirement-bank_6.html
For Facebook in October, we did ask all to take a look. It gapped up because of earnings. We ask all to pay attention to this turnaround and play on the breakout off the gap up high. See where the stock is now? We believe this stock has potential to become big, but it just need more sources of revenue. In the meantime, this is a shot term play.
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/10/will-facebook-be-this-quarter.html
US market is fun if you know how it works... so many stocks to play and choose from. Come for our FREE seminar listed in the blog on US stock market to learn about the <<Secrets of the US market>> now!
Have you made money like what our graduates did??? Do you still remember some US stocks I recommend recently? Bank of America and Facebook?
I did mention that Bank of America is a stock for retirement purpose, which can grow multiple fold. Either get in when it retrace to $9 or on a breakout off $10. It did give us both recently. For long term play just don't care and get in. We anticipate it to reach $20 till bear market comes.
Article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/us-stock-tip-stock-for-retirement-bank_6.html
For Facebook in October, we did ask all to take a look. It gapped up because of earnings. We ask all to pay attention to this turnaround and play on the breakout off the gap up high. See where the stock is now? We believe this stock has potential to become big, but it just need more sources of revenue. In the meantime, this is a shot term play.
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/10/will-facebook-be-this-quarter.html
US market is fun if you know how it works... so many stocks to play and choose from. Come for our FREE seminar listed in the blog on US stock market to learn about the <<Secrets of the US market>> now!
Wednesday, 12 December 2012
Market back on top gear after a fight! Are you in?
Dear Friends,
Glad to be back form my holidays! During my seven days off, the Dow has climbed 6 out of 6 sessions. Let me do a bit of recap...
Do you remember that 3 weeks back, a lot of the folks are still worried of the fiscal cliff incident? People are still worried that the economy next year is falling down the cliff, and even some in Wallstreet are very sure that the republicans and democrats can't solve it in time.
Looking back, don't you think that this is a great opportunity missed? While people are lamenting and doubtful about the market, we have made quite some money from the market.
Lesson learnt here is not to trust the media. Learn how to study the market sentiment and confidence.
A recap of this month's written articles to show there is faith in this market...
1) <<Who says we are falling over the cliff? Not Americans - 26th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/who-says-we-are-falling-over-cliff-not.html
On 26th november, we mentioned that the retail spending is up with the best post thanksgiving shopping - Black Friday ever. It indicates bullish sentiment among americans. Do they care what cliff or mountain there is? And I believe that next earnings season in january will be a blockbuster, and I continue to believe so. Watch out for tech and internet sector! Watch out for Apple earnings this time! A potential to FLY!
2) <<Dow waiting to beak 13000 with gangnam style - 28th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/dow-waiting-to-break-13000-with-gangnam.html
On 28th november, we did say that dow is waiting to break 13000 in gangnam style, meaning dancing around before breaking the resistance and also the 200day MA mark. We assured that just by studying the daily movement in the index, you will know whether market is positive and optimistic or not. How it close is one way of knowing it!
A look at the Gangnam style dance again off DOW 13000 and 200day MA!
3) <<Controversy is what makes the market - 30th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/controversy-is-what-makes-market-will.html
On the 30th november, we wrote an article about the fiscal cliff controversy, reminding all not to guess too much into whether there be a cliff or not. Just focus on the expectation of Wallstreet and your strategy. Controversy always happen in the market. It is how we study the market confidence and sentiment that matters. Don't be a politician or media! Be a trader!
Having said that, I would like to share something that perhaps nobody has yet to comment. Do not think that if the fiscal cliff policy is out, stock market will continue to burst forward! Don't fall into the media hands again!
If this stock market continues to burst forward, when expectation has already been factored into the market, whether got policy or not, it is bound to consolidate. Do not be a FOOL to rush into the market then just like the QE3! Buy on expectation and sell on news should be our game!
You are just playing into the hands of the pros who are always one step ahead of you if you are slow in the game. If you would like to make some money. start now.
P.S. Do take note that STI will have a big resistance at 3200 - 3240. It won't past that easily.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
Glad to be back form my holidays! During my seven days off, the Dow has climbed 6 out of 6 sessions. Let me do a bit of recap...
Do you remember that 3 weeks back, a lot of the folks are still worried of the fiscal cliff incident? People are still worried that the economy next year is falling down the cliff, and even some in Wallstreet are very sure that the republicans and democrats can't solve it in time.
Looking back, don't you think that this is a great opportunity missed? While people are lamenting and doubtful about the market, we have made quite some money from the market.
Lesson learnt here is not to trust the media. Learn how to study the market sentiment and confidence.
A recap of this month's written articles to show there is faith in this market...
1) <<Who says we are falling over the cliff? Not Americans - 26th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/who-says-we-are-falling-over-cliff-not.html
On 26th november, we mentioned that the retail spending is up with the best post thanksgiving shopping - Black Friday ever. It indicates bullish sentiment among americans. Do they care what cliff or mountain there is? And I believe that next earnings season in january will be a blockbuster, and I continue to believe so. Watch out for tech and internet sector! Watch out for Apple earnings this time! A potential to FLY!
2) <<Dow waiting to beak 13000 with gangnam style - 28th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/dow-waiting-to-break-13000-with-gangnam.html
On 28th november, we did say that dow is waiting to break 13000 in gangnam style, meaning dancing around before breaking the resistance and also the 200day MA mark. We assured that just by studying the daily movement in the index, you will know whether market is positive and optimistic or not. How it close is one way of knowing it!
A look at the Gangnam style dance again off DOW 13000 and 200day MA!
3) <<Controversy is what makes the market - 30th november>>
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/11/controversy-is-what-makes-market-will.html
On the 30th november, we wrote an article about the fiscal cliff controversy, reminding all not to guess too much into whether there be a cliff or not. Just focus on the expectation of Wallstreet and your strategy. Controversy always happen in the market. It is how we study the market confidence and sentiment that matters. Don't be a politician or media! Be a trader!
Having said that, I would like to share something that perhaps nobody has yet to comment. Do not think that if the fiscal cliff policy is out, stock market will continue to burst forward! Don't fall into the media hands again!
If this stock market continues to burst forward, when expectation has already been factored into the market, whether got policy or not, it is bound to consolidate. Do not be a FOOL to rush into the market then just like the QE3! Buy on expectation and sell on news should be our game!
You are just playing into the hands of the pros who are always one step ahead of you if you are slow in the game. If you would like to make some money. start now.
P.S. Do take note that STI will have a big resistance at 3200 - 3240. It won't past that easily.
Regards
Daniel
www.danielloh.com
Tuesday, 11 December 2012
Singapore Stock Tip: All 3 singapore banks hit a major roadblock
Dear Friends,
I am still holidaying in Hong Kong and Macau, but can't help to take a look at the market every night. I am now currently looking at stocks to short to hedge my long position going ahead. We think a lot of us have earned quite a bit from this run ever since the drop a few weeks ago when we advised all to accumulate some strong earnings stocks. Now I am looking to unwind some position and do some hedging.
If you are also considering a short for hedging against your long position, there is a sector that I would recommend to see.
UOB: Today it hit a high of 19.92, near to the major big resistance of $20 which I think will be having some difficulty going past unless Fiscal Cliff is over.
OCBC: OCBC hits highest 9.75 today with a big red candle. For OCBC, 9.75 and 9.80 are resistances it must clear. Even if it clear these, $10 is a major roadblock I think will be very difficult to cross. If it reach $10, without hesitation, I would short first. So too for now as 9.75 is a minor resistance and with both other banks weak, this one can't be spared too.
DBS: Triple Top at $15, $14.94 to be exact is a major major resistance. Today it brought down both UOB and OCBC. A big short to consider now.
Just be careful of any long position for the banking sector. You may consider doing pair hedging by shorting this sector against your long position going into the year ahead of the Fiscal Cliff incident.
Regards
Daniel
I am still holidaying in Hong Kong and Macau, but can't help to take a look at the market every night. I am now currently looking at stocks to short to hedge my long position going ahead. We think a lot of us have earned quite a bit from this run ever since the drop a few weeks ago when we advised all to accumulate some strong earnings stocks. Now I am looking to unwind some position and do some hedging.
If you are also considering a short for hedging against your long position, there is a sector that I would recommend to see.
UOB: Today it hit a high of 19.92, near to the major big resistance of $20 which I think will be having some difficulty going past unless Fiscal Cliff is over.
OCBC: OCBC hits highest 9.75 today with a big red candle. For OCBC, 9.75 and 9.80 are resistances it must clear. Even if it clear these, $10 is a major roadblock I think will be very difficult to cross. If it reach $10, without hesitation, I would short first. So too for now as 9.75 is a minor resistance and with both other banks weak, this one can't be spared too.
DBS: Triple Top at $15, $14.94 to be exact is a major major resistance. Today it brought down both UOB and OCBC. A big short to consider now.
Just be careful of any long position for the banking sector. You may consider doing pair hedging by shorting this sector against your long position going into the year ahead of the Fiscal Cliff incident.
Regards
Daniel
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Apple 5G phone will be a revolution! How do you take advantage of this hype?
Dear Friends, It is a well known fact that US is trying to catch up with the 5G technology of China. That is the reason why US has viewed ...
