Commodities Play: Coffee indeed reached our first target at $170!

Dear Friends,

We did mention that this is one chance not to be missed. We forecasted Coffee to hit a deadly rock at $200 on 5th March!

The Article on Coffee hitting a rock at $200:
http://www.danielloh.com/search/label/Commodities%20play

Look at where is coffee price now! $170 in barely 5 trading days. Such is the dramatic fall in the price of coffee from its peak! We got it almost pinpoint right again!

For those who have followed our call (if you have the chance to play coffee futures), you might be laughing like us. This call was issued against the run of play this month when commodities prices is raging up!

Below second trade on shorting coffee futures that I opened two days back and still holding. The first trade I opened and closed a few days back.

For the second trade, I opened 2 days ago, now I am still holding on to a paper profit of US$9693.

I am waiting to see if $170 can be broken to close my trade. 

If $170 is broken, I am looking at $150 2nd target. Now I will just trail my stop loss down.

Rgds

Daniel

www.danielloh.com

Do not be concerned about Yellen comments! Asia shall rally?

Dear Friends,

It  does seem that today, the world is concerned about Yellen yesterday comments about interest rates rising "six months after" QE ends. I think it is still early for a hugh selloff due to interest rates rise.

Rest assured that Yellen will never allow the market to sell off 2000 points in the DOW.

Please remember that FED and Yellen still has the QE tapering trump card in her hand. If she sense that stock market is reacting too nervously, please trust me that she will appear in the media again to reassure us that QE won't taper so fast, and maybe stop tapering temporarily.

Yellen wants the stock market to go up steadily. She understands the whole financial system runs on the stock market. Without the confidence of the stock market, there won't be spending. Without spending and demand, the enterprises will not employ. With no jobs, the housing market will still be weak.

She needs the stock market to survive and thrive!

I am buying into this drop yesterday, instead of worrying.

I think a lot of Asian indices are cheap now. Although the market has not touch the bottom I like, I am already testing the water now.

Buying zone:
1) STI - 3000-3050,                  now is 3057
2) KLCI - 1750- 1800,              now is 1818
3) Hang Seng - 20500 - 21000,  now is 21182
4) Shanghai - 1950 - 2000,         now is 1993
5) Nikkei - 13500 - 14000,        now is 14350

You can see that all the indices are near what we term as the buying zone!

I am ready to test water anytime now by entering positions, are you?

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Free Seminar: 

<< How should you prepare yourself in the stock market if interest rate does rise in mid 2015 >>  By Daniel Loh 

Learn about what Daniel Loh thinks about the stock market before interest rate rises and after it rises!

You shall learn:
1) Will the market be affected by the rise in interest rate now?
2) Will interest rate rise affect safe assets like property, gold and treasuries? How can you protect yourself?
3) Will interest rise signals the end of the bull run?

4) Know about what sectors and stocks will be in play with the rise!

Speaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

Malaysia Date: 

23 Mar  (Sun)  English session

Time: 2pm - 5pm

Malaysia Venue : 

Hotel Armada, Petaling Jaya, Level 3, Room Arista,
Lot 6, Lorong Utara C, Section 52,
46200 Petaling Jaya,
Selangor Darul Ehsan Malaysia

Singapore Date: 

26 Mar  (Wed)  English session
Time: 7pm -10pm

Singapore Venue: 

141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),
Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats><code:B> to 

+65 9367 6623 (Singapore) or 

+6016 310 5528 (Malaysia)

The world is baffled by DOW rally!

Dear Friends,

Wallstreet is baffled by these 2 days rally (up by 270points) just as the world is equally mystified by the disappearance of the MH370 malaysia plane. I have been following constantly every day on the news of the aircraft and hope that everything goes well.

But, unlike some who thinks that the US market should correct hard, I gave my opinion last friday regarding the market. We remain thoroughly bullish of the market. We simply thinks that DOW can't drop much now, given the loose monetary policy that Fed chairwoman Yellen employs.

Check out our chinese article on Friday where we comment to catch hold of any opportunity to buy the indices.
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/03/fm958-interview-today-is-ukraine.html

We do think that with Yellen constantly giving a push and confidence in the market will keep this bull run alive. No correction can be long, especially for these 2 months.

I know that you may be concerned with the market amid the poor China economic reports and Russia episode.

But the market, especially US market, just can't stop running, like a bullet train with no brakes now.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

FREE Singapore market seminar by Andy Yew

<< Do you want to spot the next Amtek?>>
您想找到下一个Amtek吗?

sharing by Andy Yew

Date: 20 Mar 2013, Thu (English Seminar) 7pm - 10pm
21 Mar 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Recently, Andy Yew spotted Amtek and advised all to watch this stock in class. On 24 Feb, there was a signal using the ART software screener. It is now up more than 36% now. Do you want to know which Singapore stock might be the next Amtek?



Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder)

To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

FM958 Interview today "Is Ukraine an opportunity?" 今天FM958 电台访问 “乌克兰会是一个机会吗？”

美国市场  

   

   道琼斯昨晚掉了231点。Nasdaq也跌了63点。这个星期似乎道指有点疲弱。

·    根据报道，昨天的下滑是因为两样担忧。

·    第一是中国最近的经济数据不理想。上个星期的贸易数据和昨天的零售业数据和工业生产指数都比分析师的预测还要低。这个月整体的经济报告显示中国的经济似乎没有相前个月好。

·    第二是乌克兰选举的不稳定事件。这个周末，Crimea克里米亚半岛将会投票选要跟乌克兰或者俄罗斯。那根据统计，视乎可能比较多人会选俄罗斯。选了俄罗斯过后，乌克兰又会有怎样的反应？还会反抗吗？这是市场的担忧。

·    这两件事件驶到最近投资者采取比较谨慎的态度。昨天大家可以看到，华尔街有开始套利的现象。

·    我到觉得这是个机会。好像我在这几个星期访谈中提过，我们觉得联储局还是保持宽松灵活的QE政策。如果股市大掉或者经济数据连续几个月不理想，这个QE解除的政策，耶伦，有说过，有可能暂时停止不减。

·    所以我们暂时的投资建议是等机会！看这几天的走势如何。如果道指又往下滑，导致再下滑500点，我觉得大家可以准备开始进场。现在道指是在16108点。再下滑多500点的点数是15600点。在15600点我觉得就是一个机会。

·    大家请记得股市也不会每天跑。但有着联储局这样的招牌，我们觉得任何休息都是暂时的，股市休息了才能走得更远。

中国股市

·         中国上证指数从上个月最高点2177点掉了下来。开始滑落的原因是因为上个月2月19日的PMI数据非常不理想。从那天起就跌倒现在 。前天上证到达1974点。

·         我们觉得这个是正常现象，大家不用恐慌。中国是制造业国家，生产出国大多数给美国和欧洲。最近生产变少的原因是因为西方的圣诞季节已经过了。中国的生产下降没有达到预期的数字是正常的，大家不用担心是不是全世界的经济和需求走下波。这纯粹是周期性的现象。

·         目前我最希望看到进场的目标价是1950点。只要在1950点以下，我觉得大家都可以考虑分批进场。

·         中国股市现在还在冬眠状态。任何的上升都有可能回调。但回调的幅度有限。长期的支持就差不多在2000点了。这个熊市怎么跌，也不会跌太远。但怎么跑，也跑不过2500点。

·         上证已经两年都一直在很狭窄的空间，1900点到2500点之间徘徊。

·         这个我叫做熊市最尾端的现象。指数寻走的范围视乎越来越狭窄。

·         但是我要提醒大家，万一有一天上证突破了2500点的重要管卡，大家一定要留意中国上证。这条巨龙可能又醒了。

·         中国股市好，会带动很多领域的股票。但是我们还要有耐心等待。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡海峡指数最近几天也逃不了下滑的命运，这4天都急忙下滑了80点。

·         早上是大概在3060点徘徊。

·         我觉得这一样是个机会。

·         我们觉得海指可以买进的区域是3000-3050点之间。

·         在这个区域，我相信如果亚洲很有可能都会一起反弹。

香港股市

·         香港横生最近受中国的影响，从23000点掉了下来。今天又跌了200多点。现在是21500点。

·         横生如果有机会爹到21000点，我就会分批进场。20500-21000点都是横生相当强的支持。大家不要错过这个机会！

·          

日本股市

• 日本日经期货指数现在是14300点。那最近也受了亚洲和美国的压力，掉了接近1000点。
• 我们觉得机会也开始出现了。
• 13500点到14000点都是日本日经的底部，大家可以乘机进场。
• 整体来说，我们都发现亚洲的跌幅已差不多到达我们的理想价位了。日经只差300点，横生500点。中国上证差50点。这些我们叫做机会。大家不要忘记，当股市跌多的时候，我们才能在股市中赚大钱。

总结

• 我想强调的是我们现在还处于牛市的状态。任何的下滑都是进场的时机。大家不必太担心乌克兰有没有出现问题。这些都是媒体炒作的新闻。我跟巴菲特的观点是一样的。如果万一有冲突或打仗，大家要乘机会买股票。
• 任何的恐慌，只要不会影响美国经济的，照成股市下滑的，都是好机会进场。

Free Seminar: The BULL and BEAR market cycle that every trader should know!

<< The Bull and Bear Market Cycle that Every Trader should know! >>  By Daniel Loh 

<<每位投资家必须知道的牛熊阶段>>

Learn about the SECRETS of the Bull and Bear Market!

You shall learn:
1) How do you identify the END of a Bull Market?
2) Will 2014 be the start of the Bear Market?
3) 4 signals to note of that will kickstart the Bear Run
4) How do you grow rich by buying at the bottom of a Bear?

5) Sectors and different investing products to invest in different phases!

Date: 

18 Mar  (Tue)  English session or
19 Mar  (Wed)  Chinese session 华文讲座

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Asia Market does not look good? What is the plan?

Dear Friends,

You may think that Asia is going into a selling frenzy given that Nikkei and Hang Seng both drop more than 300 points. STI drop 32 points.

In my opinion, I think that this selloff today is unwarranted. A lot of us are scared that US may tumble given that it is at all time high. DOW nearly touches 16588, the all time high a few days back, before dropping for 3 days. S&P500 reached a new high just 4 days back.

With China economy showing weakness, surely the US market is going to halt, RIGHT???

Ha, I would like to think so, given that I don't even have the chance to board my favorite retirement stock, FACEBOOK. It simply is not cheap enough at 70.94!

But sad to say, I think US is not entering a correction yet. I don't think you might see it this month. Given the positive data of the non farm payroll and ISM report, I do think that DOW is capable of hitting all time high again.

So, if Asia has a selloff, I do think it may be time to watch a few markets again! Hang Seng and China is again in my radar now!!!

Stay tuned to my blog where I will post where I think might be a bottom.

I do hope that STI might reach 3050 again, but, I feel it has a better chance of advancing to 3150 again first.

Let us see!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

FREE Singapore market seminar by Andy Yew

<< Are there any stocks worth watching now?>>

三月还有哪一些新加坡股票可以看?

sharing by Andy Yew

Date: 13 Mar 2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm

         14 Mar 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
3) Spore Stocks that are showing reversal signals

4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for long term
Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Who fears Russia?! Not Wallstreet

Dear Friends,

It seems like the world is not paying respect to any drop in the stock market. Yesterday DOW drops 160 points. But all those drop is erased in today's 200 points up move now in mid noon in US.

This stock market like what we suggested, simply is tremendous!

With yesterday's great ISM report, it does seem that this month might continue to be a good month. The last hurdle to clear will be the non farm payroll on friday. My guess is that the non farm payroll on friday might be slightly below expectations.

However I just can't see the DOW falling much this month! Not when the FED and Yellen continues to be so "accommodative" on the monetary policy.

Our last article on Yellen being my hero
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/02/janet-yellen-is-my-new-wall-street-hero.html

The market needs to have a bigger problem than this RUSSIA scare to really knock it off the bullet train track!

What can happen in march?

I just can't seem to see any problems yet! Can you?

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

A summary on Commodities play in January! Coffee is hitting a rock?

Dear Friends,

Recently as QE tapering fear is over, there has been a commodities run led by Gold.

On the 3rd January, we predicted that Gold has reached a bottom on 3rd January when it is at $1200. Now Gold is $1340.

Our article on 3rd January:
http://www.danielloh.com/2014/01/a-mid-term-reversal-in-gold-is-in-cards.html

Even though it hits our target of $1320, we continue to believe it has a chance to travel higher. Our second target now is set at $1400, which if reached, we will be looking to really short Gold around $1400-$1450 region.

A lot of commodities actually did quite well because of the QE episode. Agricultural commodities like Oil Palm, Coffee, Sugar, Cocoa, Wheat, Corn or Soy Bean all did very well recently. Most of them rebounded off their lows in January or early February.

Hence this is the reason why this month local commodities stocks also ran.

But the best performing commodities play of them all is COFFEE!

This is the chart of coffee:

We do think that Coffee may have hit a deadly cliff at $200. And we are looking to short this commodity expecting at least a 15% drop from the peak.

See the steep ascend?

Let us see what really happen to coffee these few weeks and if our prediction holds true.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Free Seminar: Views from Mr Hu Li Yang on 2014 market 免费讲座： 亚洲股神胡立阳老师对2014年股市的看法

<<Views from Mr Hu Li Yang on 2014 market>>

<< 亚洲股神胡立阳老师对2014年股市的看法>>

sharing by Daniel Loh

Date: 4 Mar 2014, Tue (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm

Sharing on
1) Outlook for first quarter 2014
2) Will the Market tumble in 2014
3) 3 Entry signals you should watch out for in buying stocks
4) Ways to always know the turning point of a market


Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic lightSpeaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623