Dear Friends,
Last Friday's Non farm payroll report is a huge disappointment, the U.S. economy created only 120,000 jobs in March, well below market expectations of 210,000.
Friday is a holiday. Now I finally know why Labour department released the Employment figures on Friday, which is a holiday. This is the first time to my memory that an important Employment Report is released on a non trading day. They probably already know that we would miss the expectations figure. In my view, this is a CLEVER TACTIC! It proves FED really knows the wall street.
If they released the figures on a trading day, I think DOW will be crushed, because of the surprise shortfall after so many months of positive Employment data.
Now after the long weekend, after allowing time for Wall Street to sink in the news, I think the impact is not that great. Let us see how Europe and Wall Street opens today. Market will fall, no doubt, but perhaps not as panic now.
In wall street, some might even think, since Job figures aren't good, QE3 is a great possibility now. This is certainly how Investment Guru Prof Chan Yan Chong thinks when he came to Singapore to share his investment predictions.
For me, I will be extra careful in April after the terrible Jobs report. I would keep track of Market Sentiment to see if Market turns Bearish. However like I said, this is US earnings season time, starting on Tuesday, Alcoa will be releasing its earnings. So there will still be opportunities for a lot of companies in April.
Just that we need to be extra cautious this month.
Rgds
Daniel
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Btw we will be holding a Prof Chan Yan Chong's teachings revision on Thu, 19 Apr 2012 (English) and Fri, 20 Apr 2012 (Chinese). We welcome all to Join us in the revision. HURRY! First come first served!
"Prof Chan Yan Chong revision"
workshop
<<曾渊昌博士投资复习班>>
Topic: 1) Prof Chan views on QE3
2) How the economy will function in 2012
3) What is the risk of STI or Dow Jones now?
4) How is the Europe and China situation going to affect the Stock Market?
Date: Thu, 19 Apr 2012 (English) and Fri, 20 Apr 2012 (Chinese).
Time: 7pm - 10pm
Session: English & Chinese
Speaker: Mr Daniel Loh (Student of Prof Chan), not Prof Chan Yan Chong himself
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02
S(069541),
Tanjong
Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number
of seats> to 93676623
Monday, 9 April 2012
Market Sentiment Indicator for 9 Apr
1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 74.97% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 7 Dec)
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.64% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 82.80% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 60.47% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on S&P 500 energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!)
5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 83.33% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 11 Jan)
2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 64.64% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 82.80% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 60.47% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Pls note that we give a BEARISH CALL on S&P 500 energy stocks at start of March. Now, they are falling like MAD! Avoid Energy stocks now!)
5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 88.89% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 83.33% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 11 Jan)
A reading above
70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70
indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or
lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading
is above 70 means you should liquidate positions.
Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.
Thursday, 5 April 2012
I think the Market Got it Wrong in today Selloff
Dear Friends,
Dow decreased by 150 points now. The market chose to focus on Fed statement that we would not print money now, no QE3 in the near term. This decision will never determine the direction of the market. It is the economical reports and the earnings that determine the direction of the market. The thing is if FED choose not to print money is an indication of Strong Economical Fundamentals, not Weakness.
Today and yesterday I feel, the market got it wrong in going down. Perhaps it went down because last week people thought Ben Bernanke gives hints to print money. Market might be dissapointed this isn't the case now.
Upon checking the ADP employment report, it is slightly, only slightly more than forecast today, 209K compared to expectations of 205K. Though not by a bigger margin to push the market forward, but still quite in line or better than expectation.
Hence I do feel it might be a chance to catch some stocks that are among the selloff today. I would not want to sell off my stocks today amid the selloff. (Apple at $620 looks attractive after dropping $10 today.)
Let us wait a while for the Non farm payroll on Friday before making a decision. Non farm I feel, may not be that bad. But let us see the report before you decide to sell anything. And please bear in mind that next week is start of Earnings Season. Google giving earnings announcement on 12th April! If Non farm is not that bad this Friday, I feel market would not go down much this month.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Btw we will be giving a Free Seminar on
<<How to Profit 100% from the stock market in 5 days? >>
You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market
Date: 10 Apr 2012, Tue 7pm - 10pm (English) OR
Date: 11 Apr 2012, Wed 7pm - 10pm (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),
Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)
To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
Dow decreased by 150 points now. The market chose to focus on Fed statement that we would not print money now, no QE3 in the near term. This decision will never determine the direction of the market. It is the economical reports and the earnings that determine the direction of the market. The thing is if FED choose not to print money is an indication of Strong Economical Fundamentals, not Weakness.
Today and yesterday I feel, the market got it wrong in going down. Perhaps it went down because last week people thought Ben Bernanke gives hints to print money. Market might be dissapointed this isn't the case now.
Upon checking the ADP employment report, it is slightly, only slightly more than forecast today, 209K compared to expectations of 205K. Though not by a bigger margin to push the market forward, but still quite in line or better than expectation.
Hence I do feel it might be a chance to catch some stocks that are among the selloff today. I would not want to sell off my stocks today amid the selloff. (Apple at $620 looks attractive after dropping $10 today.)
Let us wait a while for the Non farm payroll on Friday before making a decision. Non farm I feel, may not be that bad. But let us see the report before you decide to sell anything. And please bear in mind that next week is start of Earnings Season. Google giving earnings announcement on 12th April! If Non farm is not that bad this Friday, I feel market would not go down much this month.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Btw we will be giving a Free Seminar on
<<How to Profit 100% from the stock market in 5 days? >>
on 10 Apr (Tue) English Session OR 11 Apr (Thu) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market
Date: 10 Apr 2012, Tue 7pm - 10pm (English) OR
Date: 11 Apr 2012, Wed 7pm - 10pm (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),
Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)
To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
Wednesday, 4 April 2012
Tonight ADP employment report in US gives a hint how the direction of APRIL going to be
Dear Friends,
Pls take note of tonight all important ADP employment report. It will have an importance in Friday ISM report, which together will determine the direction of April market! Remember that in March, we tell everybody that market won't be going too up or down. It went exactly as told.
Let us pay attention to this week Jobs Report!
Rgds
Daniel
Pls take note of tonight all important ADP employment report. It will have an importance in Friday ISM report, which together will determine the direction of April market! Remember that in March, we tell everybody that market won't be going too up or down. It went exactly as told.
Let us pay attention to this week Jobs Report!
Rgds
Daniel
Singapore Stock Tip: Starhub follows our Call to sell: Now dropping to $3.15
Dear Friends,
We already saw that this stock needs to consolidate. Remember we ask everybody to sell at $3.17. Today the stock drops 4 cts to $3.14. This is what we have found in investment. There are invisible support and resistances in prices. We called it the "Law of Gravity of Price"!
This stock needs to consolidate after touching $3.17. At least a few days before running again. When is my entry point?
$3.23! Again by the POWER of LAW of GRAVITY of PRICE! Ha, sounds cheesy right?
Let us MAKE $ together!!!
Rgds
Daniel
We already saw that this stock needs to consolidate. Remember we ask everybody to sell at $3.17. Today the stock drops 4 cts to $3.14. This is what we have found in investment. There are invisible support and resistances in prices. We called it the "Law of Gravity of Price"!
This stock needs to consolidate after touching $3.17. At least a few days before running again. When is my entry point?
$3.23! Again by the POWER of LAW of GRAVITY of PRICE! Ha, sounds cheesy right?
Let us MAKE $ together!!!
Rgds
Daniel
Singapore Stock Tip: Ezion follows our Call in breaking $1! Fantastic!
Dear Friends,
A few days ago, we mentioned Ezion is likely to break $1, as we saw accumulation going on. We saw that Big Money did not leave this stock.
Check this last article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/04/singapore-stock-tip-today-ezion-seems.html
Today it proves we are correct. With the STI down by 17 points, it still rises by 4 cts. Now it is $1.015. Not a fantastic break yet, but it says something about this stock.
This stock has strength! As you might have read our article, it is fundamentally strong, and my one of my favourite long term growth stock.
Having said that, we the market continues to be bad, if STI keeps falling especially when this week US jobs report is bad, this stock might go back below $1. So set your stop loss tight. A good stop loss would be $0.95
Daniel
A few days ago, we mentioned Ezion is likely to break $1, as we saw accumulation going on. We saw that Big Money did not leave this stock.
Check this last article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/04/singapore-stock-tip-today-ezion-seems.html
Today it proves we are correct. With the STI down by 17 points, it still rises by 4 cts. Now it is $1.015. Not a fantastic break yet, but it says something about this stock.
This stock has strength! As you might have read our article, it is fundamentally strong, and my one of my favourite long term growth stock.
Having said that, we the market continues to be bad, if STI keeps falling especially when this week US jobs report is bad, this stock might go back below $1. So set your stop loss tight. A good stop loss would be $0.95
Daniel
Tuesday, 3 April 2012
US Stock Tip: Apple exactly follow our Plan!
Dear Friends,
Yesterday, we mentioned Apple going Berserk after an upgrade! We mentioned that if Apple close at high at end of day, it will gap up next day across $621, its highest point. Indeed, today Apple opened at $628, moved to $632 at highest. Everything came true!
Did you make $?? Well, I just exited my Apple position on a US$7,814 in 1 day! Would give a post trade analysis on Apple again. Today I am not done with Apple. If it comes back again strongly, I may enter again, let us see.
The thing is making $ isn't difficult if you learn investment using the right tools. I am going to share with you how I do it in my next upcoming seminar on "What is Options? How to Profit 100% from it?" Do take part to learn how I did it time and again!
Regards
Daniel
-------------------------------------------------------------------
<<What is Options and How to Profit 100% from the stock market using options? >>
You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market
Date: 10 Apr 2012, Tue 7pm - 10pm (English) OR
Date: 11 Apr 2012, Wed 7pm - 10pm (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),
Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)
To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
Yesterday, we mentioned Apple going Berserk after an upgrade! We mentioned that if Apple close at high at end of day, it will gap up next day across $621, its highest point. Indeed, today Apple opened at $628, moved to $632 at highest. Everything came true!
Did you make $?? Well, I just exited my Apple position on a US$7,814 in 1 day! Would give a post trade analysis on Apple again. Today I am not done with Apple. If it comes back again strongly, I may enter again, let us see.
The thing is making $ isn't difficult if you learn investment using the right tools. I am going to share with you how I do it in my next upcoming seminar on "What is Options? How to Profit 100% from it?" Do take part to learn how I did it time and again!
Regards
Daniel
-------------------------------------------------------------------
<<What is Options and How to Profit 100% from the stock market using options? >>
on 10 Apr (Tue) English Session OR 11 Apr (Thu) Chinese Session.
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!You shall learn
1) Basics of Options and why Hedge Fund managers like it so much
2) How Warren Buffett make use of Options to make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market
Date: 10 Apr 2012, Tue 7pm - 10pm (English) OR
Date: 11 Apr 2012, Wed 7pm - 10pm (Chinese)
Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
#07-02 S(069541),
Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light
Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)
To register pls click here
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623
US Stock Tip: Apple seems to be going berserk today
Dear Friends,
Apple still is going higher. It is at $615 now. If it does not fall, and ends near its highest price at end of day, it has a high chance of gapping up 2moro. $621 new high may be exceeded 2moro if it gaps up. Exciting time.
Regards
Daniel
Apple still is going higher. It is at $615 now. If it does not fall, and ends near its highest price at end of day, it has a high chance of gapping up 2moro. $621 new high may be exceeded 2moro if it gaps up. Exciting time.
Regards
Daniel
ISM is in-line with forecast, Apple target $1001!
Dear Friends,
Thankfully the market likes the in-line result of ISM report of 53.4% vs 53.5% forecast by Marketwatch. I would consider this result to be in-line although it differs by a meagre 0.1%. After last Friday Bad Chicago PMI, the market thinks that this is a good result. I also think so!
That is the reason why Dow Jones begins its climb after 10am EST. Currently at midday, it is at its highest point. I would think 2moro should be a positive market in Singapore too. This bullishness may continue for next 2 days.
Today is an opportunity to enter some of the Big Caps in America. Apple will likely test $620 again after Topeka Capital upgrade them to $1001, using a forward P/E of 17. Now Apple P/E is probably around 13. I still think this run-up has potential to continue till its earnings mid of April.
Google also comes back to $645. I would like it to go past $650 before going in again. Mastercard is bullish after galloping back $10 to breakthrough $430. I still continue my target that it has potential to reach $447.
These are some of the Big Caps worth watching in US.
Regards
Daniel
Thankfully the market likes the in-line result of ISM report of 53.4% vs 53.5% forecast by Marketwatch. I would consider this result to be in-line although it differs by a meagre 0.1%. After last Friday Bad Chicago PMI, the market thinks that this is a good result. I also think so!
That is the reason why Dow Jones begins its climb after 10am EST. Currently at midday, it is at its highest point. I would think 2moro should be a positive market in Singapore too. This bullishness may continue for next 2 days.
Today is an opportunity to enter some of the Big Caps in America. Apple will likely test $620 again after Topeka Capital upgrade them to $1001, using a forward P/E of 17. Now Apple P/E is probably around 13. I still think this run-up has potential to continue till its earnings mid of April.
Google also comes back to $645. I would like it to go past $650 before going in again. Mastercard is bullish after galloping back $10 to breakthrough $430. I still continue my target that it has potential to reach $447.
These are some of the Big Caps worth watching in US.
Regards
Daniel
Monday, 2 April 2012
Singapore Stock Tip: Biosensor a Lift off $1.50 a strong sign of Bullishness!
A favorite among Singaporeans has a breakout off a small box. Has momentum going forward. If momentum strong, next price target to exit is $1.67. See if it reached.
If it test $1.50 again and stand above that point, may enter again.
Singapore Stock Tip: Starhub today reaches our Target of $3.17 exactly!
Dear Friends,
Remember my call on Starhub reaching $3.17 a few days back?
Check this article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/congratulations-on-those-that-follow-my.html
Today, it reaches my target price before retreating to close at $3.15
Of course for me, I would definitely sell first at $3.17, and wait for the breakout off $3.20. Enter at $3.23 after consolidating a bit. Let us see how it reacts this few days. A consolidation might be needed
Remember my call on Starhub reaching $3.17 a few days back?
Check this article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/03/congratulations-on-those-that-follow-my.html
Today, it reaches my target price before retreating to close at $3.15
Of course for me, I would definitely sell first at $3.17, and wait for the breakout off $3.20. Enter at $3.23 after consolidating a bit. Let us see how it reacts this few days. A consolidation might be needed
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