Singapore Stock Watch: UtdEnvirotech Flies as predicted, but it may run too much

Dear Friends,

We seldom mention stocks on TV. But there is one stock we recommended all to watch when we were interviewed at the start of the year. That stock is UtdEnvirotech.

I am interviewed by Channel 8 <早安你好> to talk about the whole year stock market and stocks analysis
Below is a summary of my answers to the host's questions.
http://www.danielloh.com/2013/12/82014.html

At that time of the interview, the stock is at $0.88. We mentioned all to watch this environmental stock because of one thing, CHINA. We think that environment is getting from bad to worse in china and the government promise to beautify the environment should provide a strong boost to the environmental industry. One such stock is UtdEnvirotech.

So far, this stock has not disappointed us. It is now $1.25!

Now our stand is to take profits! We think that there might be a resistance at $1.30. 

We urge all to stay at the sidelines for this stock now, and hopefully wait for it to consolidate. At least for two weeks.

A stock without consolidation is dangerous. After it touch $1.30, consolidate for a while, then you may go in after breaking $1.30 the second time!

Either that, or I will look for $1.00-$1.10 to scoup up this stock deliciously if it does reach.

To sum it up, do not rush in to buy this stock now. Patience is needed no matter how good the environmental sector is now.

Free Singapore Stocks Seminar

<< STI has turned around. What are the stocks to look at NOW? >>

股市已经转好，二月份 您可以看哪些股票?

sharing by Andy Yew

Join us to know what Singapore stocks to watch out for!!!
Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

Date: 13 Feb2013, Thu (English Seminar)  7pm - 10pm

         14 Feb 2013, Fri (华文讲座) 7pm - 10pm

(Sorry wrote the dates wrongly in last post)

Sharing on
1) Spore Stocks that are trending upwards that you should take note of
2) Spore Stocks that did well for earnings
3) Spore Stocks that are giving good dividends 
4) Spore Stocks that are suitable for short term trading
5) Spore Stocks that are defensive plays 

Plus we will be providing analysis on your stocks!

Venue: 141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building #07-02 S(069541) Tanjong Pagar MRT Exit G, walk straight 80m, opposite the traffic light

Speaker: Andy Yew (ART system Founder) 

To register pls click here 

or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623 

Radio Interview last Friday "Is it a good time to buy stocks now?" 上星期五电台访问 “现在可以买股票吗？”

Dear Friends,

I am being asked by some friends on my interview last friday. Some have missed and asked for a podcast or summary. No podcast as nowadays find that it is a hassle to record and edit and upload. Hence just give a summary in Chinese:

美国市场

·       

             整个月下来，道琼斯跌了接近1200点。

·         这个月跌的原因有几个.

·         1) 上个月的非农业薪金报告和制造业采购经理指数ISM都不好。这驶到华尔街对股市失去了一些信心。根据我们的研究，通常当这两个报告都不理想的时候，股市就会走弱。

·         2）上个月美国公司的业绩虽然一般都表现不错，但是有相当多的公司都预测接下来的业绩将可能会放慢。例如：S&P500的苹果电脑公司会大掉$50的原因不是因为营业额不好，而是因为他们觉得下个季度表现会不理想。

·         3）更重要股市会掉的原因是联储局宣布接下来几个月可能都会减少QE，每一次减100亿，可能到今年底就减完了QE3的政策。我的看法是联储局很清楚了列下了接下来QE的决策，虽然照成股市最近有波动，好消息是，我们就再也不必担心QE的问题了。这个联储局透明化的政策对股市来可说是一件好事。

·         从技术图表来看，我觉得美国股市已经掉到一个相当便宜的位子。道指已掉到200天的均线。根据我们的研究，只要道指掉到200天均线都值得考虑投资。只要我们还在牛市的状态，均线以下，怎么跌，怎么涨回！当然怎么知道我们还在牛市呢？大家可以看到200天的均线还是往上的。只要方向往上，我们都还在牛市的状态。我们觉得这是一个难得的机会。

·         当然今天晚美国将公布重要的就业报告。有两个可能性，一是报告不理想，驶到股市有压力，股市可能还在均线以下。但是我们觉得股市只要跌最多一到两个星期就见底。

·         第二可能性是报告不错。如果如此，股市很有可能就在200天的均线这里见底，这几天反弹回去。

·         总的来说，我们还是觉得美国经济和股市都还在很健康的状况，大家不必太担心。

新加坡市场

·         新加坡海峡指数最近一度跌到2953的低点。我觉得是一个大好机会。我们曾经在节目中提过，我们觉得3000-3050点是海指的支持点。如果股市没信心，在跌50点，到2950我们觉得可能是财神爷给大家的新年红包。

·         2950到3050点之间，大家可以开始做长远的投资。大家想以下，你要买股票，你要在3200点买还是2950点买？肯定是便宜一点。大家要记得，恐慌的时候就是机会！

·         当然我不排除STI会不会在掉到2800点。如果真的到了2800，你会看到STI好像冲天炮一样冲回3000点以上。

·         因此我呼吁大家放长线钓大鱼，做长期投资打算。

·         如果你现在举例，投资OCBC，不要一次过买到完。分几次投资。如果再跌10%，再进场多一次。如果OCBC上升了，就代表STI也上升了，你可以慢慢买上去。

·         大家可以找出几支最近业绩不错的股票来分散投资。有些好股因为这几天的滑落，开始变便宜了。

中国股市

·         

   上证休息了整个星期今天才开始开市。很好的事上证避开了这几天全球股市的波动。现在是2030点左右。

·         我们还是保持同样的观点，上证在2000点都是进场的机会。如果再点50点到1950，那个真的是捡便宜。

香港股市

·                     

      我们曾经在节目中提过横生如果跌到22000点以下，我们才会留意。23000我们不叫便宜。几天前一度跌到21200点，我们觉是进场的好时机。原本我没什么看香港股，现在我觉得大家可以开始也留意香港股票了。

日本股市

   日本日经期货指数现在是14420点。最近到了14000反弹一点。如果接下来美国股市没有什么意外，日经也可能会反弹。但是对比其他股市，我们还是觉得日经还有点高，可能鼓励大家还是暂时不要看日经指数。香港，中国，新加坡会是一个更不错的选择。

总结：

1    1)  这一次下滑是一个非常好的机会。我们不可能在美国每天创历史高点的时候进场。一定是下滑到了便宜的时候才进。当然这个时候也是大多数人在观望的期间。可能有些朋友已经输到没钱了。有些还害怕不知会不会再掉，再等一下子，看看。如果再看，股市一下可能又回到历史高点再进，太迟了。

      2) 我觉得玩股票不用抓到谷底。很多时候，你觉得便宜，就进先。再跌再买！我觉得现在就是这个时候了。所以鼓励大家现在可以做好功课，分段进场。

Radio FM958 (Fri, today, 7 Feb 1:15pm) talking about "Is a a good chance to enter the market?"

Dear Friends,

Today, I will be interviewed on radio station Capital FM958 at1.15pm talking about 

"Is it a good chance to enter the market?"

If you are interested to know more, just tune in to FM958... :)

Radio Station website: Listen Live 

http://entertainment.xin.msn.com/zh/radio/capital958/ 

Need Windows Media Player 11

Thank you
Daniel Loh

www.danielloh.com

Tomorrow non-farm payroll is crucial, but we think turnaround is near!

Dear Friends,

Like what we mentioned before the chinese new year, we are looking at a bottom for US market when it dips below the 200day MA. Indeed these 2 days it did dip below the 200day SMA line.

We are looking at a potential halt in this downtrend for the US market. Although it may take time to know whether a strong rebound is in the cards, we do think well about this support.

There are two scenarios that might occur tomorrow:

1) non farm is disastrous which means index might still have a big fall. But once this happens, allow dust to settle. We believe it will just drop for another 1-2 weeks and that is it!

2) the market react positively to a not-that-bad or good non farm payroll. When this happens, we believe that it is a good chance to go into the stock market again.

Either way, it is a matter of time we see the bottom. I am keeping my weapons ready!

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Singapore Stock Watch: OCBC is the stock I like in STI component

Dear Friends,

The recent selldown in OCBC seems to be hard done. It all started when the news of a potential acquisition is in the cards.

We do think this stock is a mid to long term play as we believe there is a chance STI might have seen a bottom at 2950. If we are wrong, we think that there is limited downside left.

Whenever we think STI is cheap, I am always looking at the banks as a mid to long term play.

OCBC is the most selldown and of course it should be one of the most watched then. Speculators are always more short sighted in merger and acquisitions. And we think the expectation of the acquisition has already been priced in.

$9 is quite a good support, and it does look strong these few days.

A slightly longer duration play for me...

Now: $9.26
Target 1: $9.67
Target 2: $9.95

Stop loss: $8.95

How I make US$27,057.88 in January despite the January stock market crash

Dear Friends,

It is always a wonder to me that a lot of people think they can make money consistently in the stock market. To me, making money from stocks is one of the toughest business in the world!

After years being in the investment business, I find that making a living in the stock market is hard. You may have a few months of profits, but one month down can wipe out all your hard work for the last few months.

I have often seen people lose their entire year profits in one down month.

After becoming a full time trader in 2005, I began to search for ways to make consistent profits from the stock market.

After years of experimenting and trying, I have found a way to make consistent profits almost every month!

My results for the year 2013 is that I manage to increase my whole portfolio 8 times.

With the sudden stock collapse this Janaury, you might think that I may be losing money in my investment.

But I did not!

In this past one month, year to date, I made US$27,057.88

Check out my results in january.

This method is easy and consistent. I did not short the market, nor I buy or short any stocks.

If you would really like to find out how I consistently grow my portfolio 10-15% PER MONTH, and consistently make US$20-$30k PER MONTH, do come for our FREE Sharing session on 

------------------------------------------------------------------

Free Seminar

<< Trading for a Living in the Investment Market >>

Learn about the SECRETS of the Investment Market!
You shall learn:
1) How do you double your account in 1 year systematically even when market is bad?
2) Market Outlook for the Singapore and US markets
3) What are the sectors in play this quarter?
4) Secret Strategies to increase your winning probability in trading

In the session, you shall see Daniel Loh <2013 investment portfolio> how he grow his account 800% across the months!!!

Date: 

11 Feb (Tue)  English Session

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541), Singapore
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh  

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp FM958

Regular invited speaker for Mediacorp Channel 8 Financial Programmes
SIAS investment trainer
Invited speaker for Phillip Securities

Invited speaker for Affin Investment Bank

Cost: Free

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Wish Everybody a Wonderful wonderful 2014!

We started with a scare in the stock market! All major indices got a KO punch, including local index. But what we think is that the end may be near.

DOW if touch 15500 at the 200Day MA or below will be a good buying area! Now 15700 triple top support. Hang Seng below 22000 is cheap, Shanghai Composite is strong at 2000, STI multiple support at 3000, KLCI should go back above 1800 support, Nikkei buying zone is 14500-15000. 

Let us hope this CNY does wash off the bad start to the year ahead! Huat ah!

HSI set for a rebound between 21500-22000?

Dear Friends,

Recently, HSI has been a good decline. Today it drops 400 plus points amid the Asian panic following DOW strong decline on Friday.

However we do think HSI is set for a rebound in the area between 21500 - 22000.

We did mention we would only take a look at HSI if it is below 22000 through our radio interviews.

Our view is that it is the time to start accumulating HSI now by testing water. If it goes down to 21500, accumulate somemore. 21000 should be the lowest for HSI.

We also believe that Shanghai composite pick up point continues to be 2000-2050!

There is a chance that this panic might be over sooner than we think, especially for HSI and Shanghai. composite.

Rgds
Daniel
www.danielloh.com

Dow drops near 200 points again in 2 days!

Dear Friends,

Yes, there seems to be a big drop again. A lot of us are worried whether this drop would continue and DOW tanks another 1000 points.

My suggestion is to hold your reins as I would most probably like to see the results of some important companies next week. Kicking of next week, is Apple earnings on monday, Facebook earnings on wed, Google and Amazon earnings on thursday. It is a jam packed week with tech powerhouses.

Recent weakness in the tech sector will set up an interesting next week.

Somehow, I do feel wallstreet has not been a serious panic mood yet, and there is a chance for a rebound.

I am looking at Dow 15700 to hold. We shall have an answer from the market next week!

Stay tuned.
Rgds
Daniel

------------------------------------------------------------

(P.S.) Now it is near closing bell, DOW has dropped 290 points now. It does seems now everything is getting worse. for those that invest in local stocks, it is better to keep your stop losses tight, in fear of a backlash for Asia market on Monday.

Shanghai rebounded as predicted

Dear Friends,

If you have heard of our recent interview in FM958 radio, we did talked about Shanghai Composite.

This is what we mentioned.

"中国股市

·         上证今天是大概2012点。上证指数最近的表现相当的弱。上证从12月头到现在已经滑落了200点，接近10% 。

·         长期来说，我觉得如果投资上证指数等两三年是不会亏的。从技术分析，上证已经视乎到了熊市的尾端。熊市的尾端有一个现象。就是下不多，上不了。

·         上证已经在1900-2500点之间徘徊了2年0 两个月了。要他狂跌到比如1600点也很难。

·         短期来说，我们也判断现在2000点值得投资，再跌到1950点可以再准备进场"

At that time, Shanghai composite is hovering around 2000 points.

Today it indeed rebounded strongly! Today it goes up a strong 43 points. Temporarily I think this is the best oversold index. 

2000 we think is a good support. At most we predict the lowest it reach is 1950.

Rgds

Daniel

www.danielloh.com