US stock Tips: Stocks that are likely to be on the Breakout!

Dear Friends,

Like what I mentioned, I am going bullish these few days, when people are uncertain. Everyday, I have been prowling out stocks that is great despite the bearishness in the market. Everyday, US market have opportunities to spot breakout stocks. These are some of them, either waiting to breakout or has broken...

Corelogic (CLGX):
Stock on the breakout with very unusual volume yesterday, could there be some accumulation? waiting to bounce off support soon.Good earnings.

Dillards (DDS): Stock on the breakout that sees accumulation in this stock by the big boys, waiting to bounce off support soon off $65, wait for a good candle.

BARD (BCR): Breakout occurred yesterday off $100, with strong candle and good volume, bullishness seems likely but dependent on market too. Psychological figure of $100, see how it goes...

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Btw, we are giving a FREE Seminar to teach you how to predict the market direction every month by looking at US economical reports. Join us to learn the Secrets to US Stock Market!

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>
《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 

on  15 May (Tue) English Session  OR  16 May (Wed) Chinese Session.

Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date: 15 May (Tue) English Session    OR

Date:  16 May (Wed) Chinese Session （华文）

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

US Stock Tip: Google march on with $5 increase while US index comeback after Europe close

Dear Friends,

Yesterday, Dow Jones suffered a weak opening with a 160 points decrease at one point in midday. This was due to the Greece problem. Greek parties struggle to form a government after election. Well, this has been a pattern these few days: sell until Europe closes. Once Europe close, US begins its climb.

Dow Jones ended by closing 76 points down. A good comeback.

Btw, Google continues its march by increasing when a lot of stocks are still in the red. Like what I mention, the temporary target would be $617. See if it breaks $620.

At midnoon in US, Index is turning positive! We are suggesting to go Bulllish!

Dear Friends,

As I have mentioned in last article, I am bullish going into the next 2 weeks. If you think of exiting on a terrible US Friday or today in Singapore, you might be making a mistake.

After Dow Jones opened in the red today, it goes to breakeven now. Nasdaq100 and S&P500 have turned positive.

Ha, I am amazed at how the media painted the bad picture of the market over the weekend after the terrible jobs report on Friday. I am just waiting like a shark on the sideline waiting to pounce on any strong stocks that are sold off.

See Google today?!! It goes up $10 after lifting off $600. This is what I called a 97% probability trade in stocks trading. It goes past the "Law of Gravity of Price" of $600, towards $617. Up up it may fly... See the strength. Will this stock break through the resistance near $620? Yeah maybe this time, with the help of a Facebook IPO...

Btw, I am not recommending this stock to those playing US stock market. You should have entered position today. 2moro is already one day late.

What I am trying to bring across is that trading is EASY if you know the ways of how market works. I always believe everyone of us can be a GOOD trader once we put in enough effort, practice and discipline.

You are a Good trader by Choice, not by luck! Choose to start learning today!

Rgds
Daniel

Do not Fear this STI Down Day!!! It is a buying opportunity!

Dear Friends,

Today STI went down BIG, 65 points. This is the biggest one day loss this year. In the morning, I received a call from one friend asking me should he sell away. He told me that he was worried this uncertainty in Europe elections would be ongoing for a few months. I think today a lot of people acted like him, and may have sold away their losing positions.

In fact this STI down day today and Friday's Dow Jones decrease are all predicted. That is the reason we ask everybody not to enter position before last Friday.

Check our recommendation here:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/04/i-am-very-concerned-about-next-fridays.html

This sell down to what we think, is temporary. We are in fact looking of going long in any opportunities. We think you should too! This selldown is because of the sudden panic in the below expectation of non-farm payroll. And this will be forgotten in the coming days leading to FACEBOOK IPO on 18th May, next Friday.

Our view is that the leading bankers and Wallstreet big boys are betting BIG on this IPO of the century. They wouldn't want the market to collapse to a point where nobody want to buy this stock. So do not worry, we are confident of a rise in market SOON!

For stock players, you may enter now. For options players, wait for the market confidence to be slightly up b4 entry, like wait for a up day.

Trust me, selling into this PANIC is definitely the worst thing you want to do!!  BUY instead!!

Regards
Daniel

Market Sentiment Indicator for 7 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 65.80% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 58.49% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 69.60% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 39.54%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 1.5months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 1 month's time! Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 83.95% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 62.82% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish) 

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

 

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

We are Right in our concern with Nonfarm Payroll today! But it might be time to be BULLISH!

Dear Friends,

Last Friday, do you remember we issued an article indicating our concern with the Non farm payroll report.

This is the article:
http://www.danielloh.com/2012/04/i-am-very-concerned-about-next-fridays.html

Today Dow Jones was shot down after Non-farm payroll comes in below expectations. Dow was down 160 points in midday on Friday. Declining beat Advancing stocks 72.1% to 17.1%.

Non farm payroll report shows that 115,000 jobs added only compared to the expectation of 173,000. This is a total sharp fall in expectation. Last week, we called everybody to sell before Friday's number! I hope you followed our call. If you have, you will avoid this drop today.

Today again proves my point in that "Fundamental reports drive the market direction and Technical Analysis only determines the support and resistance." Once you learn our way how to interpret Fundamental reports, you can forecast how market moves. No kidding, we have proven it time and time again.

If you want to learn how we do it, please come for our Free Seminar on <Secrets of US Stock Market and How it affects Singapore Market>.  Pls help your friends by telling them the news!

Anyway, yesterday we issued an Article <Should we sell in May and Go away>. It was published on our blog, sharesinvestment website, and SIAS website. In the article, we tell everybody not to panic and sell away your positions after today. This month will be in a sideway trend. 

In fact, take this as an opportunity to BUY!!! instead of selling. 

2 reasons why I think market might be up next 2 weeks: 1st is that ISM report is good, 2nd is that FACEBOOK will IPO on 18th May.

Today I heard in CNBC news from a host that Facebook has been the hottest IPO in her 25 years history in this industry. Her clients urge her to buy as many shares as possible! And the best thing is Facebook will price itself less than what the analysts predicts! So, what does this mean? This means that a lot of Retailers and Hedge Funds have more reasons to buy in on the stock after its debut.

Of course, after today's decline, we need to be cautious in our entry.

My strategy is to enter starting next week when a bit of confidence comes back after today's decline. I need to hopefully see Dow increase by a triple digit number. Once this day comes, and confidence is back, it is likely to continue its momentum towards Facebook IPO.

Also, look for strong stocks that has positive results after their earnings. I would send all our Options graduates an email on the US stocks that has positive results! Let us get ready to milk some CASHCOW!!!

----------------------------------------------------

Btw, we are giving a FREE Seminar to teach you how to predict the market direction every month by looking at US economical reports. Join us to learn the Secrets to US Stock Market!

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>
《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 

on  8 May (Tue) English Session  OR  9 May (Wed) Chinese Session.

Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date: 8 May (Tue) English Session    OR

Date:  9 May (Wed) Chinese Session （华文）

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

我们是否应在5月沽售离场？

要知道一个月的市场走向，只需要研究每个月第一个星期的美国经济报告。我们一向来都是以此方法来预测市场走向。我 们在上个星期提到，在本周发布的就业报告值得关注。全美就业报告(ADP employment report)出炉，数字低于预测。5月份的就业情况应会欠佳，主因是整个4月份的每周申领失业救济金数据都比预期差。

非农就业报告将于星期五发布，美国股市在当天开市时的走向将举足轻重。我们预测非农就业数据将不理想。这也华尔街在本周关注的主要课题，因为这两个月的就业报告都不甚理想。
那股市在5月份会大跌吗？市场是否会出现抛售？

实际上，从这几天的走势来看，股市在5月开头的表现并不差。道琼斯工商指数在星期二上升了60点，原因是ISM制造业报告比预期来的好。ISM报告能反映企业的表现是否良好，其发布的数据为54.8%，高于市场预测的53.3%，结果出人意料。

我们的看法是，基于在星期二发布的ISM数据比预期来得好，投资者应在5月沽售离场(sell in May and go away)的说法并不准确。我们认为本月将不会出现抛售！市场最多只会横摆，不会掉很多。道指应该不会下跌超过300点。

当然，道指是否会上升，要视在星期五发布的就业数据而定。如果就业数字没有比预期差，那么道指在本月仍有可能上升。

另外，Facebook将在5月份首次公开售股(IPO)，科技股可能会在它上市之前上涨，而Facebook上市肯定会影响大盘。

如果在周五发布的就业报告真的有欠理想并导致股市下跌，令你想脱售手中的股票的话，请先想想亚洲股市教父胡立阳老师常说的一句话：“当大多数人的想法都一样时，市场的反应往往是相反的。一个人的想法必须异于常人，才能成为赢家！”

投资讲座《美国市场的秘密 及 它如何影响新加坡股市》

1） 您如何从第一个星期就了解市场的方向
2） 新加坡和美国股市5月份的展望
3） 了解美国市场的秘密
4） 如何在市场中每个月稳定的收取租金
5） 巴菲特如何在2011年10月利用金融衍生商品得到1亿的利润

日期： 5月8日(星期二，英文讲座) 或5月9日(星期三，华文讲座)
时间：晚上7pm 至10pm

地点：141 Cecil Street, Tung Ann Association Building 
#07-02 S(069541), 
丹戎巴葛地铁站G出口，直走80米，红绿灯对面

入场：免费 （座位有限）

报名方式： 拨电或发简讯至9367 6623 (请列明[姓名]、[电邮]、[手机号码]、[所选择的日期] 及 [席位数目]) 
                 

Be careful of Crude Oil, Sensitive now!

Dear Friends,

Crude Oil falls hard these 2 days! Now Crude futures for May is below $100, at $98 now. Just today, it drops $5 now.

In this article, it states the reasons for the drop:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-futures-fall-sharply-ahead-of-us-jobs-data-2012-05-04

There are 2:
1) Today bad non farm report may signal weakening economy and demand
2) Chicago Mercantile Exchange, CME has instill higher margin rules for traders to trade crude, thereby sending the speculators flying. This happen when Silver hit the high of $50 a year back. The rule will start in 3 months, so there may still be some weakness in Crude.

Do we SELL in MAY and go away? Not really, judging from the opening these couple of days

Dear Friends,

We have always say that to know the direction of the month, we need to study the first week. Last week we mentioned that we are concerned of the Jobs report this month. Today ADP employment report came out. It is below expectation as predicted. That is the reason that Dow Jones is in the red by 21 points now. Not much, but still in red.

The big moment comes Friday, when the mother of all Reports, the Non farm payroll comes out. We do not expect a good number btw.

However, I must say, so far, May has been having a good opening. Yesterday Dow was up 60 points yesterday because of surprising good ISM report. In fact actual results beat expectations 54.8% to forecast of 53.3%, which is a very good figure.

Report of the ISM figure:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-manufacturing-growth-picks-up-in-april-2012-05-01

Will May be a SELL AWAY May????

I must say, after yesterday ISM, which blows away the estimate, I think this sell in MAY thing seems more like a story of the past. I wouldn't expect a selloff this month! At most, the trend is sideway. It won't fall a lot, not 500 points down for Dow Jones. Whether it be up depends on this Friday Jobs number. Keep a lookout on our coverage after the number.

If Jobs number is not that bad, maybe there is a chance that Dow will end in the green this month. Bcos, don't forget, we will be having the FACEBOOK IPO this month. Tech will be running before that IPO.

Sell in May and Go away? I must say, May is a month where you sell your stocks that have not run much, but buy those strong stocks that have strong earnings.

An example in US stocks that beats earnings and show strength will be Under Armour (UA) and American Express (AXP). These are the stocks that you can constantly play this quarter. I would be covering some Strong US stock tips soon in my next article. Keep a lookout!

Rgds
Daniel

----------------------------------------------------

Btw, we are giving a FREE Seminar to teach you how to predict the market direction every month by looking at US economical reports. Join us to learn the Secrets to US Stock Market!

<<Secrets to US Stock Market & How it affects Singapore Market>>
《美国股市的秘密 及 他如何影响新加坡股市》 

on  8 May (Tue) English Session  OR  9 May (Wed) Chinese Session.

Do recommend your friends to this workshop!

You shall learn
1) Basics of US Market
2) Learn How Warren Buffett make 100million in Oct 2012
3) Outlook of Singapore and US market
4) How to Earn Rental Income every month from the Stock Market

Date: 8 May (Tue) English Session    OR

Date:  9 May (Wed) Chinese Session （华文）

Time: 7pm -10pm

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building
            #07-02 S(069541),
            Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

Speaker: Daniel Loh (Raffles Business International Director, Mr Hu Li Yang partner, US Stock & Options Trainer)

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623

Market Sentiment Indicator for 3 May

1) New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator: 67.41% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(NYSE Exchange Stocks has turned bearish)

2) Nasdaq Sentiment indicator: 60.50% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 17 Jan)
3) S&P 500 Sentiment indicator: 71.80% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert 10 Apr)
(S&P500 Stocks has turned bearish)  

4) Energy Sentiment indicator: 39.54%   (Bearish signal: Bear Alert on 7 Mar)
(Energy Sector has been falling for 1.5months ever since we give a bear alert early march. We are now watching for a change in sentiment soon. We predict it should change in 1 month's time! Keep a lookout if our indicator change direction!)

5) Financial Sentiment indicator: 87.65% (Bullish signal: Bull confirmed 5 Dec)
6) Technology Sentiment indicator: 69.23% (Bearish signal: Bear Alert confirmed 20 Apr)
(S&P500 Technological stocks has turned bearish) 

A reading above 70 means Overbought condition. Pls note that entering position above 70 indicates Market Risk is high. You may want to play short term or lower your position size. If Bullish sign turns Bearish when reading is above 70 means you should liquidate positions. 

 

Pls note that this is not a RSI reading. Eg. New York Stock Exchange Sentiment indicator measures how many stocks are bullish now for all stocks listed in NYSE.

Singapore Stock Tips for this week

Dear Friends,

Happy Labor Day to you, hope you enjoyed your holiday. STI is still trading at a narrow range between 2906-3030.  Did you received our sms? 2weeks ago we SMSed Genting at 1.705, congrats to some of you who followed our trade. In the sms we also Mentioned a few weak stocks Ezra(that day close 1.08 now 1.01), Cosco(1.085 now 1.035), GLP (2.08, now 2.06). Again congrats to those who made some money shorting Ezra. As we all know it is quite hard to make money this few weeks, by knowing which stocks is strong and which is weak give us advantage to be at the right side of the market. 

Last week we SMS out a WARNING on the penny stocks, to stay out. We believe that the run is going to be over soon. Btw, if you would like to receive our SMS, pls participate in our Free Course on Thu or Fri.

Using the ART position trade scanner we found some Strong stocks that you should be looking at right now, no buy signal. Listing from the most expensive stocks to the least, we see that Banking Sector and REITS sector is current still quite strong.  A lot of blue chips is not longer in the list, hence we need to be careful if your stocks is not in this list.

Using the ART position trade scanner we found some Weak stocks that can be in your shorting list. Meaning if you want to short, can look into this list of weak stocks, however this does not mean to short all this stocks tomorrow. Overall market does not have momentum to swing up or down, there is not signal for short yet. Signal will come when the stock in this list move higher and turn back down.

Btw, this week we will be having the following FREE seminar

Profitable Trading with CFD & Stock analysis

-         Foundation you need before you start trading

-         What is CFD

-         What is CFD Direct market access

-         Advantage of CFD

-         Top Singapore Stocks to take note off in May

-         The pitfalls you can avoid when trading CFD

Time: 7pm - 10pm
Session: Thu, 3 May(Eng) & Fri, 4 May(Chinese), 7pm - 9.30pm
Speaker: Mr Andy Yew

Venue: 141 cecil street, Tung Ann Association Building 
                #07-02 S(069541), 
                Tanjong Pagar MRT exit G, walk straight 80m, opp traffic light

To register pls click here 
or SMS <Name><Email><HP><Date><Number of seats> to 93676623