Friday, 4 January 2013

FED gives hints that the employment report tonight is good

Dear Friends,

As an investor, I like to always look at hints from the FED just before the jobs reports. Of course it may not be right, it just gives me a guidance whether holding a position over the major report is ok.

Yesterday in the FED minutes, it says that Bond purchase is likely to end this December.

This is the report:

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-sees-bond-buying-program-ending-this-year-2013-01-03

Quotes:
“Several” Fed officials thought that the central bank would be able to slow or stop the purchases well before December 2013.

Almost all Fed members thought that the $40 billion per-month program to buy mortgage debt started in September was working, but there was also uncertainty about whether the benefits would last and that the potential costs could rise as the size of the Fed’s balance sheet increased.

The word I like is that they think it is WORKING, likely to explain the jobs situation in december is to their satisfaction. SEVERAL means that there is a general consensus that economy is recovering.

Studying what the FED officials think before a major report like the jobs report gives me a hint on my trading plan. At least now I know it won't be bad tonight.


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