Tuesday, 1 October 2013

A post by Lucia Chen: MarketTalk 20130930

Dear Friends,

After US Fed surprisingly announced that QE will not be tapered in Sep – which is a good news to the market. However after the news,  US made the longest period of consecutive days drop this year. 
 Dow Jones has dropped around 450 points from the top and so many problems seem to crop up recently. The market are playing with a new round of expectation now: will QE taper in October? How will the debt ceiling affect the global market? With all this expectation result in a profit taking and halt to a recent run-up.

So will it be a BLACK October to the stock market? With the US government shutdown dateline on Tuesday, 1 October and the debt ceiling dateline on Thursday, 17 October, it seems the market is heading for a rough ride. The current situation is the Republican vote to delay President Barack Obama’s health-care law by one year as part of legislation to keep the government running. However, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will not accept changes to the health-care law in exchange for temporary government funding. If House Republicans and Senate Democrats cannot agree by the Tuesday-morning (12AM Singapore time) deadline, thousands of government employees will be unable to work.

However when there is a panic there is an opportunity! To us, this is a good opportunity to come back to the stock market again! We still maintain our view that the worldwide international financial markets will continue its rally after a this consolidation! US towards 16000, STI to test 3300!

Thus our trading strategy will be simply conclude to Buy On Dips. The immediate support zone for STI is3120 – 3160, stock you may want to focus on like STI component stocks or Energy sector stocks or Commodity stocks that have good earnings should 3150 be reached. We will keep you all updated via both email and SMS!


亲爱的朋友,

在美联储令人意外的公布将不会在九月进行量化宽松紧缩后-这应该对市场是个好消息。然而,在该消息公布后,美国开始了本年度最长的连续交易日下跌行情。道琼斯指数已经下跌了450点,市场上的问题又层次不穷!由于市场又开始了新的一轮期望与悬念:量化宽松是否会在10月紧缩?美国债务顶限又将如何影响国际市场?由于这些期望与悬念,所以近期市场处于短期的套利,所以为这波上扬暂时喊停。

这会是股市中“黑色的10月”吗?这次债务顶限比起以往,似乎都更加富有悬念。因为美国共和党以延后奥巴马的医改作为这次通过债务顶限的首要条件。目前,奥巴马执掌的白宫宁可冒着政府关门的风险,也丝毫不愿意让步。但不论如何,美国时间930号凌晨前(新加坡时间周二中午12点),都会给我们揭晓这个答案。而随之而来的就是1017日的债务顶先截至日期!

正所谓只要有恐慌!就会有机会!同样,对我们而言,这次的恐慌又是另一个进场的机会!我们依然保持我们的观点,全球市场经过这次调整会继续上扬,道琼斯会到16000点,新加坡会到3300点!

伴随着这些消息对市场的冲击,短期可能会有下跌的波动,而我们现在的主要策略就概括为恶“逢低买入”。海峡指数的支撑位为31203160当海峡指数掉入买入区间后,大家可以选择指数股,以及能源板块和期货板块,特别是业绩表现不错的公司入场。我们也会通过短信和邮件随时为大家更新!


Genting


Buy Zone is at: 1.4– 1.44
1st Target: 1.5 – 1.53
2nd Target: 1.6 – 1.64
Position Size: Medium

买入区间:1.4 – 1.44
目标价11.5– 1.53
目标价21.6 – 1.64
仓位:中



Goldenagri

Buy Zone is at: 0.5-0.53
1st Target: 0.6-0.63
2nd Target: 0.67-0.72
Position Size: Medium

买入区间:0.5 – 0.53
目标价10.6 – 0.63
目标价20.67 – 0.72
仓位:中



Asia-Pacific Strategic

Buy Zone is at: 0.37 – 0.44
1st Target: 0.52 – 0.57
2nd Target: 0.6 – 0.65
Position Size: Small

买入区间:0.37 – 0.44
目标价10.52 – 0.57
目标价20.6 – 0.65
仓位:小


Thank you very much,

Best Regards,
Lucia Chen

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