Monday, 14 May 2012

Singapore Market for this week 新加坡股市

Dear Friends,

STI weekly Summary: In last week, STI fell 108 points from the opening of 2991 and close higher at 2883. A black candle sticks with little upper/lower shadow affirms that investors have no qualms in selling the stocks lower.

Week Ahead:  In the coming week, Investors will be watching for U.S. economic data, minutes from the FOMC and the continuing situation in Europe. However, Europe may continue to drive the action as markets navigate the politics of Greece and Italian and French debt auctions. Many strategists see a further decline ahead for the stock market and expect choppiness to continue as the US market is only 5% down. but we maintain our previous view that we see the recent correction as a good opportunity to enter the market.

STI index broke the critical support at 2906 in the past week to end the consolidation mode since Feb 2011 and this is a bearish mode. The weekly trading volume increases as the selling pressure soars on fears. The supported turn resistance at 2906 will be a critical level for the bulls to clear as the breached of this level affirms to the recovery of the market.

Trading strategy wise now, STI has broken the critical support at 2906 and end the consolidation mode. This is bearish signal. Although we see recent correction as a buying opportunity, but we do not advise anyone to buy on pullback now especially for those stocks with negative earnings result, and watch for sign of consolidation first. STI’s next support is 2848, take note of this figure as we may see a technical rebound at this level ahead.

Below are some main Companies Earnings for last week:

Noble Group Ltd. 1Q net profit fell 46% to US$110 million compared with US$203 million a year ago.

Genting Singapore PLC 1Q net profit fell 31% to S$211.5 million compared with S$305.4 million a year earlier due mainly to lower takings and volumes in its premium-gambler business.

City Developments Ltd. 1Q net profit fell 44.5% to S$156.8 million compared with S$282.3 million a year earlier due mainly to the absence of one-time gains on asset sales made a year earlier.

Wilmar International Ltd. 1Q net profit fell 34% to US$255.9 million compared with US$386.7 million a year earlier as margins in the commodity supplier’s oilseeds and grains business were squeezed.

Singapore Telecommunications Ltd. 4Q net profit rise 30% to S$1.29 billion compared with S$991.7 million a year earlier as contributions from some of its regional mobile associates rose and it logged currency-translation gains from the strength of the Australian dollar.


亲爱的朋友,

海指一周摘要: 上周海指从开盘2991点,到收盘2883点,一共下跌108。走势所形成的略带上下影线的黑色烛台图,显示出了投资者由于对欧洲问题的恐慌而陆续纷纷的抛售股票。

下周重要报告: 下周因为希腊,意大利和法国的债务拍卖的政治行动,欧洲市场会继续成为市场走势的定位。而由于美国市场只掉了5%,所以专家纷纷预言未来股市的进一步下跌。但是我们依旧保持我们之前的看法,在大盘调整的时候是一个入场的机会!

海峡指数在上周打破了关键支撑点2906点。而这也结束了从20112月至今的盘整模式。因为抛售压力大增导致了本周交易量的上升。而2906点也由支撑点变成大盘的关键阻力点。海指只有在回到这个关键点位以上,市场才能确定继续上扬的定位。
本周主要业绩报告公司:

来宝集团第一季度净利润和去年2.03亿美元相比,下降461.1亿美元。

云顶新加坡第一季度净利润下降312.115亿新元。而去年为3.054亿,主要是由于较低的征收和其保费赌徒业务量。

城市发展有限公司第一季度净利润下降44.51.568亿新元,因为一次性出售资产的收益情况,去年同期为2.823亿新元

丰益国际有限公司因为在商品供应商的油籽和谷物业务的利润率被挤压。一季度净利润同比下降342.559亿美元。而去年为3.867亿美元。

新加坡电信有限公司和去年的9.917亿新元相比,第四季度净利润为12.9亿,上涨30由于一些区域移动联营公司的贡献上升以及其澳洲货币兑换率上的盈利。

交易策略:从技术上说,海指掉破了关键支撑点2906点,并且结束了整合模式。这个一个看跌的信号。虽然我们仍然坚持的建议,大盘的调整就是买入的好机会,但我们并不建议现在马上买入,特别是那些业绩报告非常不好的公司,而是等待市场的调整信号。海峡指数的支撑点为2848请密切注意海指在此支撑位的反弹信号。

ART Team

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