Wednesday, 25 April 2012
All eyes on Apple Earnings 2night in US Market
It is so Funny that yesterday Europe problems are forgotten in today's market. The so called political crisis of French left wing right wing is not in the headlines anymore. Same to the Dutch government problems. If it is such a problem, it would be in the headlines constantly this week! Sigh, the ploy of the market makers work again!!! They scare the market off again on Monday....
By the way, today's Wallstreet million dollar question is "Will Apple gap down tonight?" If so, it might bring down Nasdaq100 2moro. In fact, I hope it gaps down 25 points so that I can get on this boat again. Now it is trading at $557. I think if earnings is not up to expectation, it may gap down to around $525, which looks tasty again.
But having said that, I think the probability of this stock gapping down a lot tonight has diminished with the drop it has suffered recently. After learning about the US Market the past 10 years, I noticed that the weird thing about Earnings is "It always play against the Market Expectation". If Apple was where it was 10 days back at $644, I would have bet 100% of my money on a GAP Down.
But now after dropping almost $90 from its high within 11 trading days, I feel that now the chances of gapping down has decreased a lot more. In fact if it is In-line with expectations ie. its EPS is same as that forecasted by analysts, I think the stock might just open in the green. Now I am really looking at a potential Long opportunity after earnings.
I think this is a tremendous lesson we can learn. I will update you on any progress.
· 美国 股市担心苹果业绩，巴菲特却大胆投资！ 道琼斯昨晚闭市在 25080 ，掉了 205 点。在这 10 月 11 月道琼斯的波动都相当大。有很多投资朋友开始怀疑熊市是不是已经来临了。我的答案是还没有。这个跌幅反而是好时机进场。大家不用太担心。 ...